Liverpool Montevideo vs Penarol — Primera División
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Estadio Belvedere·Montevideo·Uruguay·8,384
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Liverpool Montevideo and Penarol meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Liverpool Montevideo have recorded 15 wins from 38 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Penarol have won 46% of their 48 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Liverpool Montevideo and 1.43 for Penarol. The models give Liverpool Montevideo a 34% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Penarol win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Liverpool Montevideo—
Penarol9º
Position
4º
1.33
PPG
1.80
33%
Win %
53%
1.33
Goals / game
1.53
1.20
Conceded / game
1.07
42%
BTTS %
54%
45%
Clean sheet %
33%
42%
Over 2.5 %
40%
4.0
Avg corners
4.0
10.5
Avg shots
13.2
4.8
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.8
Avg yellow cards
3.3
10.0
Avg fouls
10.7
55.5%
Avg possession
47.1%
Home vs Away
Liverpool Montevideo
Home (7)
—
Penarol
Away (7)
1.14
PPG
2.14
29%
Win %
71%
1.43
Goals / game
1.43
1.43
Conceded / game
0.71
32%
BTTS %
45%
53%
Clean sheet %
45%
47%
Over 2.5 %
25%
4.0
Avg corners
4.0
10.5
Avg shots
13.2
4.8
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.8
Avg yellow cards
3.3
55.5%
Avg possession
47.1%
Goals Scored
| Liverpool Montevideo | Home | Away | Penarol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 63% | 79% | 79% | 75% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 32% | 37% | 40% | 43% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 26% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 37% | 21% | 21% | 25% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Liverpool Montevideo | Home | Away | Penarol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 47% | 63% | 67% | 75% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 42% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 11% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 53% | 37% | 33% | 25% | 45% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Liverpool Montevideo | Penarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 4% |
| BTTS | 42% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Liverpool Montevideo | Penarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Liverpool Montevideo (H)W
Progreso3–2
Progreso3–2W
Colón3–0
Colón3–0D
Racing Montevideo0–0
Racing Montevideo0–0W
Boston River1–0
Boston River1–0LBoston River0–1
Boston River0–1W
Cerro4–0
Cerro4–0Penarol (A)WRacing Montevideo1–0
Racing Montevideo1–0D
Atletico Torque1–1
Atletico Torque1–1D
Danubio1–1
Danubio1–1WCerro2–1
Cerro2–1WDanubio4–0
Danubio4–0D
Atenas2–2
Atenas2–2Number of Corners
7.8
Corners / Match
4 games
League Avg
7.8
17 games
6.9
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Liverpool Montevideo | Penarol | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 44% | 47% |
| Over 8 | 25% | 22% | 35% |
| Over 9 | 0% | 11% | 18% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 11% | 12% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Liverpool Montevideo | Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 2.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 22% |
Head to Head · 36 matches
10
Liverpool Montevideo
28%
7
Draws
19%
19
Penarol
53%
64%
Over 1.5
23/36
44%
Over 2.5
16/36
25%
Over 3.5
9/36
44%
BTTS
16/36
16/05/26Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2–1Liverpool Montevideo13/04/26Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
0–2Liverpool Montevideo16/11/25Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
1–2Penarol13/09/25Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2–2Penarol10/09/25Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2–1Liverpool Montevideo19/06/25Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
3–2Penarol20/03/25Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
0–3Liverpool Montevideo09/11/24Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2–0Liverpool Montevideo03/05/24Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2–2Penarol12/02/24Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
3–1Liverpool Montevideo16/12/23Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
0–1Liverpool Montevideo13/12/23Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2–0Penarol09/12/23Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
0–1Penarol05/11/23Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
0–1Liverpool Montevideo25/03/23Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
1–0Penarol15/09/22Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
0–1Penarol26/06/22Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
0–1Liverpool Montevideo09/04/22Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2–1Liverpool Montevideo07/11/21Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1–0Liverpool Montevideo25/07/21Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
3–3Penarol| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 69 | 43 | 13 | 13 | +57 | 142 |
| 2 |  Club Nacional | 69 | 41 | 14 | 14 | +53 | 134 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | +22 | 59 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 69 | 31 | 22 | 16 | +26 | 115 |
| 5 | Atletico Torque | 69 | 30 | 16 | 23 | +19 | 106 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 69 | 28 | 22 | 19 | +10 | 106 |
| 7 |  Juventud | 69 | 28 | 17 | 24 | +4 | 101 |
| 8 |  Defensor Sporting | 69 | 26 | 18 | 25 | -5 | 96 |
| 8 |  Albion FC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Boston River | 69 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 0 | 89 |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo | 69 | 20 | 22 | 27 | -8 | 82 |
| 12 |  Central Espanol | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Cerro | 69 | 22 | 17 | 30 | -30 | 82 |
| 14 |  Wanderers | 69 | 20 | 21 | 28 | -20 | 81 |
| 15 | Danubio | 69 | 15 | 27 | 27 | -15 | 72 |
| 16 | Progreso | 69 | 18 | 14 | 37 | -41 | 68 |
Team Insights
Liverpool Montevideo- ●Liverpool Montevideo have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have won 7 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have scored in 14 of their 17 away matches.
Penarol- ●Penarol have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Penarol have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Penarol have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Penarol failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Penarol have been undefeated in their last 9 away matches.
- ●Penarol have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Penarol failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Penarol have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Penarol have won 10 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Penarol have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●70% of Penarol's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Penarol have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Liverpool MontevideoDADeportivo Maldonado1–1
Deportivo Maldonado1–1WHProgreso3–2
Progreso3–2WACentral Espanol2–1
Central Espanol2–1DHRacing Montevideo0–0
Racing Montevideo0–0LAAtletico Torque1–3
Atletico Torque1–3WHBoston River1–0
Boston River1–0–HPenarol18/10
Penarol18/10PenarolDHProgreso1–1
Progreso1–1WARacing Montevideo1–0
Racing Montevideo1–0DAAtletico Torque1–1
Atletico Torque1–1WHBoston River2–1
Boston River2–1WACerro2–1
Cerro2–1WHAlbion FC3–1
Albion FC3–1–ALiverpool Montevideo18/10
Liverpool Montevideo18/10Top Scorers
Liverpool MontevideoF. Martinez10 ⚽
F. Barcelo9 ⚽
R. Bentancourt7 ⚽
D. Romero5 ⚽
R. Machado3 ⚽
Diego Zabala2 ⚽
PenarolM. Arezo14 ⚽
A. Hernandez8 ⚽
L. Umpierrez6 ⚽
L. Angulo4 ⚽
C. Jaime4 ⚽
M. Olivera4 ⚽
Cards Given
Liverpool MontevideoN. Garayalde7 🟨
Rubén Bentancourt6 🟨
Enzo Castillo6 🟨
Nicolás Garayalde5 🟨
E. Castillo4 🟨
F. Barcelo4 🟨
PenarolEric Remedi11 🟨
L. Ferreira8 🟨
Washington Aguerre6 🟨
Maximiliano Olivera6 🟨
Lucas Ferreira6 🟨
Jesús Trindade5 🟨