Club Nacional vs Deportivo Maldonado — Primera División
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Club Nacional and Deportivo Maldonado meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 19 October 2026. Club Nacional have recorded 23 wins from 48 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Deportivo Maldonado have won 56% of their 36 matches, with 1.61 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Club Nacional and 1.07 for Deportivo Maldonado. The models give Club Nacional a 45% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Deportivo Maldonado win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Club Nacional—
Deportivo Maldonado7º
Position
2º
1.47
PPG
1.93
47%
Win %
60%
1.73
Goals / game
1.60
1.40
Conceded / game
1.07
50%
BTTS %
47%
38%
Clean sheet %
44%
50%
Over 2.5 %
42%
4.9
Avg corners
3.0
9.2
Avg shots
6.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
2.5
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.5
10.3
Avg fouls
0.0
43.5%
Avg possession
50.5%
Home vs Away
Club Nacional
Home (7)
—
Deportivo Maldonado
Away (8)
1.43
PPG
1.38
43%
Win %
38%
1.57
Goals / game
1.38
0.71
Conceded / game
1.25
44%
BTTS %
44%
44%
Clean sheet %
39%
44%
Over 2.5 %
33%
4.9
Avg corners
3.0
9.2
Avg shots
6.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
2.5
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.5
43.5%
Avg possession
50.5%
Goals Scored
| Club Nacional | Home | Away | Deportivo Maldonado | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 76% | 78% | 81% | 89% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 36% | 43% | 50% | 61% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 16% | 13% | 19% | 28% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 24% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 28% |
Goals Conceded
| Club Nacional | Home | Away | Deportivo Maldonado | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 56% | 70% | 56% | 50% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 24% | 43% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 4% | 26% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 44% | 30% | 44% | 50% | 39% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Club Nacional | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS | 50% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Club Nacional | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Club Nacional (H)W
Atletico Torque2–0
Atletico Torque2–0W
Defensor Sporting3–2
Defensor Sporting3–2D
Juventud2–2
Juventud2–2D
Albion FC0–0
Albion FC0–0W
Progreso1–0
Progreso1–0L
Boston River1–2
Boston River1–2Deportivo Maldonado (A)WAtletico Torque2–0
Atletico Torque2–0W
Cerro2–1
Cerro2–1LDefensor Sporting0–1
Defensor Sporting0–1W
Cerrito2–0
Cerrito2–0LJuventud0–2
Juventud0–2WProgreso2–0
Progreso2–0Number of Corners
10.4
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
7.8
17 games
6.5
Corners / Match
2 games
| Match Corners | Club Nacional | Deportivo Maldonado | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 90% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 7 | 90% | 50% | 47% |
| Over 8 | 70% | 0% | 35% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 0% | 18% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 0% | 12% |
| Over 11 | 40% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 0% | 0% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Club Nacional | Deportivo Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 3.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 60% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 50% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
5
Club Nacional
36%
3
Draws
21%
6
Deportivo Maldonado
43%
79%
Over 1.5
11/14
57%
Over 2.5
8/14
36%
Over 3.5
5/14
50%
BTTS
7/14
31/05/26Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
3–0Club Nacional11/04/26Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
4–2Club Nacional14/01/26Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
0–0Deportivo Maldonado16/11/24Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
5–2Deportivo Maldonado20/05/24Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
0–2Club Nacional23/10/23Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
1–3Deportivo Maldonado17/06/23Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
4–0Deportivo Maldonado18/03/23Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
0–0Club Nacional30/07/22Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2–1Club Nacional06/02/22Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
2–3Deportivo Maldonado13/11/21Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
1–0Club Nacional01/08/21Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
2–0Deportivo Maldonado28/03/21Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
1–2Club Nacional11/10/20Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
1–1Deportivo Maldonado| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 69 | 43 | 13 | 13 | +57 | 142 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 69 | 41 | 14 | 14 | +53 | 134 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | +22 | 59 |
| 4 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 69 | 31 | 22 | 16 | +26 | 115 |
| 5 | Atletico Torque | 69 | 30 | 16 | 23 | +19 | 106 |
| 6 |  Racing Montevideo | 69 | 28 | 22 | 19 | +10 | 106 |
| 7 | Juventud | 69 | 28 | 17 | 24 | +4 | 101 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 69 | 26 | 18 | 25 | -5 | 96 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Boston River | 69 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 0 | 89 |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo | 69 | 20 | 22 | 27 | -8 | 82 |
| 12 |  Central Espanol | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Cerro | 69 | 22 | 17 | 30 | -30 | 82 |
| 14 |  Wanderers | 69 | 20 | 21 | 28 | -20 | 81 |
| 15 |  Danubio | 69 | 15 | 27 | 27 | -15 | 72 |
| 16 | Progreso | 69 | 18 | 14 | 37 | -41 | 68 |
Team Insights
Club Nacional- ●Club Nacional have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Club Nacional have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Club Nacional have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Club Nacional have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Club Nacional have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Club Nacional have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Club Nacional have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Club Nacional have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Club Nacional have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Club Nacional have won 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Club Nacional have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Deportivo Maldonado- ●Deportivo Maldonado have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have been undefeated in their last 11 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
Club NacionalWACentral Espanol1–0
Central Espanol1–0WHAtletico Torque2–0
Atletico Torque2–0WACerro Largo2–0
Cerro Largo2–0WHDefensor Sporting3–2
Defensor Sporting3–2DAWanderers1–1
Wanderers1–1DHJuventud2–2
Juventud2–2–HDeportivo Maldonado19/10
Deportivo Maldonado19/10Deportivo MaldonadoDHLiverpool Montevideo1–1
Liverpool Montevideo1–1WHCentral Espanol3–0
Central Espanol3–0WAAtletico Torque2–0
Atletico Torque2–0WHCerro Largo2–0
Cerro Largo2–0LADefensor Sporting0–1
Defensor Sporting0–1WHWanderers2–0
Wanderers2–0–AClub Nacional19/10
Club Nacional19/10Top Scorers
Club NacionalM. Gomez20 ⚽
M. Silvera6 ⚽
T. Veron5 ⚽
T. Correa4 ⚽
F. Calvo3 ⚽
N. Lopez3 ⚽
Deportivo MaldonadoC. Tabo10 ⚽
S. Ramirez7 ⚽
A. M. Noble Sequeira6 ⚽
R. Cesar6 ⚽
G. Larrazabal3 ⚽
A. Vila2 ⚽
Cards Given
Club NacionalL. Rodriguez8 🟨
Maximiliano Gómez6 🟨
M. Gomez6 🟨
E. Ancheta6 🟨
T. Viera6 🟨
A. Rogel5 🟨
Deportivo MaldonadoM. Gonzalez9 🟨
H. Menosse7 🟨
C. Tabo6 🟨
Maximiliano González6 🟨
Hernán Menosse5 🟨
Facundo Tealde5 🟨