SAT Moreno vs Defensores Glew — Torneo Promocional Amateur
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SAT Moreno and Defensores Glew meet in the Torneo Promocional Amateur 2026 season on 18 October 2026. SAT Moreno have recorded 11 wins from 19 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 1.47 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 32% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 37%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Defensores Glew have won 63% of their 19 matches, with 2.26 goals scored and 0.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 37%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 53%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.03 for SAT Moreno and 1.29 for Defensores Glew. The models give SAT Moreno a 33% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Defensores Glew win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
SAT Moreno—
Defensores Glew1º
Position
2º
2.36
PPG
2.29
79%
Win %
71%
1.71
Goals / game
2.64
0.64
Conceded / game
0.57
32%
BTTS %
37%
47%
Clean sheet %
53%
37%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
SAT Moreno
Home (7)
—
Defensores Glew
Away (7)
2.57
PPG
2.00
86%
Win %
57%
1.86
Goals / game
2.14
0.57
Conceded / game
0.29
22%
BTTS %
11%
67%
Clean sheet %
78%
44%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| SAT Moreno | Home | Away | Defensores Glew | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 89% | 70% | 84% | 90% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 44% | 40% | 58% | 60% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 22% | 20% | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 11% | 30% | 16% | 10% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| SAT Moreno | Home | Away | Defensores Glew | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 33% | 70% | 47% | 70% | 22% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 22% | 20% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 67% | 30% | 53% | 30% | 78% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| SAT Moreno | Defensores Glew | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 16% |
| BTTS | 32% | 37% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 21% | 21% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 32% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| SAT Moreno | Defensores Glew | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 61% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 72% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 26% | 17% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 28% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
SAT Moreno (H)D
Deportivo Metalurgico2–2
Deportivo Metalurgico2–2L
Barrancas UMET0–1
Barrancas UMET0–1LDeportivo Metalurgico1–4
Deportivo Metalurgico1–4W
Atletico Pilar2–0
Atletico Pilar2–0W
Nautico Hacoaj1–0
Nautico Hacoaj1–0W
Provincial3–0
Provincial3–0Defensores Glew (A)WUribelarrea1–0
W
Buenos Aires City3–0
Buenos Aires City3–0WAtletico Pilar2–0
Atletico Pilar2–0WProvincial4–0
Provincial4–0WDeportivo Metalurgico3–0
Deportivo Metalurgico3–0W
Juventud de Bernal5–0
Juventud de Bernal5–0Head to Head · 7 matches
3
SAT Moreno
43%
2
Draws
29%
2
Defensores Glew
29%
57%
Over 1.5
4/7
14%
Over 2.5
1/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
43%
BTTS
3/7
11/10/26SAT Moreno
Defensores Glew
1–1SAT Moreno02/08/26SAT Moreno
Defensores Glew
2–0SAT Moreno06/06/26Defensores Glew
SAT Moreno
1–0Defensores Glew11/09/25SAT Moreno
Defensores Glew
2–4SAT Moreno03/09/25Defensores Glew
SAT Moreno
1–0Defensores Glew29/09/24SAT Moreno
Defensores Glew
1–1SAT Moreno04/05/24Defensores Glew
SAT Moreno
0–1Defensores Glew| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SAT Moreno | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | +15 | 33 |
| 2 | Defensores Glew | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +29 | 32 |
| 3 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +22 | 32 |
| 4 | Barrancas UMET | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +8 | 31 |
| 5 | Uribelarrea | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +8 | 29 |
| 6 |  Ezeiza | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 26 |
| 7 | Buenos Aires City | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +5 | 25 |
| 8 | Nautico Hacoaj | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +13 | 24 |
| 9 |  Belgrano Zarate | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Alumni Los Hornos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Control Orientado | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 18 |
| 12 |  Estrella de Berisso | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 |  Everton La Plata | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 |  Las Mandarinas | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | Atletico Pilar | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 9 |
| 16 | Juventud de Bernal | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -31 | 8 |
| 17 | Provincial | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -29 | 7 |
Team Insights
SAT Moreno- ●SAT Moreno have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●SAT Moreno failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●SAT Moreno have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●SAT Moreno have scored in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●SAT Moreno failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●SAT Moreno have won 5 of their 10 away matches.
- ●SAT Moreno have scored in 7 of their 10 away matches.
Defensores Glew- ●Defensores Glew have won their last 6 away matches.
- ●Defensores Glew have kept a clean sheet in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Defensores Glew have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Defensores Glew failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Defensores Glew have scored in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Defensores Glew have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Defensores Glew have won 6 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Defensores Glew have scored in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●82% of Defensores Glew's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
SAT MorenoDADefensores Glew1–1
Defensores Glew1–1DHDeportivo Metalurgico2–2
Deportivo Metalurgico2–2DADeportivo Metalurgico1–1
Deportivo Metalurgico1–1LHBarrancas UMET0–1
Barrancas UMET0–1LABarrancas UMET0–2
Barrancas UMET0–2WAEstrella de Berisso3–1
Estrella de Berisso3–1–HDefensores Glew18/10
Defensores Glew18/10Defensores GlewDHSAT Moreno1–1
SAT Moreno1–1LHUribelarrea0–1
WAUribelarrea1–0
DHBuenos Aires City1–1
Buenos Aires City1–1WABuenos Aires City3–0
Buenos Aires City3–0WHNautico Hacoaj3–1
Nautico Hacoaj3–1–ASAT Moreno18/10
SAT Moreno18/10Top Scorers
SAT MorenoG. Caceres1 ⚽
J. Melian1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Defensores GlewA. Martinez1 ⚽
K. Pla1 ⚽
L. Ojeda1 ⚽
Cards Given
SAT Moreno1 🟨
Defensores Glew