Maringá vs Ferroviária — Serie C
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Maringá and Ferroviária meet in the Serie C 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Maringá have recorded 17 wins from 36 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Ferroviária have won 48% of their 50 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 34%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Maringá and 1.38 for Ferroviária. The models give Maringá a 40% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Ferroviária win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Maringá—
Ferroviária9º
Position
10º
1.44
PPG
1.44
44%
Win %
33%
2.11
Goals / game
1.00
2.33
Conceded / game
1.00
53%
BTTS %
44%
31%
Clean sheet %
42%
47%
Over 2.5 %
34%
4.5
Avg corners
0.0
12.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
4.3
Avg yellow cards
0.0
12.0
Avg fouls
0.0
48.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Maringá
Home (5)
—
Ferroviária
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
1.20
40%
Win %
20%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
2.60
Conceded / game
1.00
33%
BTTS %
46%
33%
Clean sheet %
38%
44%
Over 2.5 %
29%
4.5
Avg corners
0.0
12.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
4.3
Avg yellow cards
0.0
48.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Maringá | Home | Away | Ferroviária | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 61% | 94% | 76% | 85% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 39% | 34% | 38% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 22% | 33% | 14% | 19% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 39% | 6% | 24% | 15% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Maringá | Home | Away | Ferroviária | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 67% | 72% | 58% | 54% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 33% | 28% | 22% | 27% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 33% | 28% | 42% | 46% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Maringá | Ferroviária | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 34% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 12% |
| BTTS | 53% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 2% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Maringá | Ferroviária | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 53% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Maringá (H)W
Floresta2–0
Floresta2–0W
Botafogo PB2–0
Botafogo PB2–0L
Santa Cruz0–1
Santa Cruz0–1W
Barra2–1
Barra2–1L
Amazonas0–3
Amazonas0–3W
Volta Redonda4–0
Volta Redonda4–0Ferroviária (A)L
Paysandu0–1
Paysandu0–1D
Brusque1–1
Brusque1–1D
Inter De Limeira3–3
Inter De Limeira3–3L
Ypiranga-RS0–1
Ypiranga-RS0–1D
Figueirense2–2
Figueirense2–2W
Ituano3–1
Ituano3–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Maringá | Ferroviária |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
3
Maringá
60%
1
Draws
20%
1
Ferroviária
20%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
04/04/26Ferroviária
Maringá
3–2Ferroviária15/07/23Maringá
Ferroviária
1–2Maringá13/05/23Ferroviária
Maringá
0–0Ferroviária25/05/19Maringá
Ferroviária
0–1Maringá18/05/19Ferroviária
Maringá
0–2Ferroviária| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | +9 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +6 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviária | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +7 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringá | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 30 |
| 6 | Inter De Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | -1 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | +5 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga-RS | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 |  Guarani Campinas | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | +10 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 28 |
| 12 |  Maranhão | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +1 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 |  Caxias | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -3 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | -12 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 21 |
| 18 |  Anápolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -5 | 19 |
| 19 |  AO Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -13 | 17 |
| 20 |  Confiança | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -9 | 13 |
Team Insights
Maringá- ●Maringá have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Maringá have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Maringá have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Maringá have been undefeated in their last 9 away matches.
- ●Maringá failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Maringá have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Maringá have scored in 12 of their 13 away matches.
Ferroviária- ●Ferroviária have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ferroviária have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ferroviária failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Ferroviária have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Ferroviária failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●68% of Ferroviária's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
MaringáWHFloresta2–0
Floresta2–0DASanta Cruz1–1
Santa Cruz1–1DABotafogo PB0–0
Botafogo PB0–0WHBotafogo PB2–0
Botafogo PB2–0LHSanta Cruz0–1
Santa Cruz0–1WAFloresta1–0
Floresta1–0–HFerroviária18/10
Ferroviária18/10–AFerroviária25/10
Ferroviária25/10FerroviáriaWHInter De Limeira2–0
Inter De Limeira2–0LAPaysandu0–1
Paysandu0–1DABrusque1–1
Brusque1–1WHBrusque3–2
Brusque3–2WHPaysandu1–0
Paysandu1–0DAInter De Limeira3–3
Inter De Limeira3–3–AMaringá18/10
Maringá18/10–HMaringá25/10
Maringá25/10Top Scorers
MaringáEdison Negueba9 ⚽
Ronald Camarao8 ⚽
Caique Calito8 ⚽
Guilherme Pira5 ⚽
Caique3 ⚽
Gabriel Santos3 ⚽
FerroviáriaVitor Barreto12 ⚽
M. Thiago6 ⚽
Denilson Chaves6 ⚽
Douglas Skilo5 ⚽
Albano4 ⚽
Allison3 ⚽
Cards Given
Maringá12 🟨
Paulinho9 🟨
Thiago Rosa7 🟨
Lucas Bonifacio6 🟨
Kelvi Gomes5 🟨
Gabriel Santos4 🟨
Ferroviária12 🟨
Eduardo Oliveira6 🟨
Albano6 🟨
Alencar5 🟨
Rhuan5 🟨
Lucas Rodrigues4 🟨