Ferroviária vs Maringá — Serie C
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Ferroviária and Maringá meet in the Serie C 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Ferroviária have recorded 24 wins from 50 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.32 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 34%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Maringá have won 47% of their 36 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Ferroviária and 1.26 for Maringá. The models give Ferroviária a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Maringá win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ferroviária | Home | Away | Maringá | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 85% | 67% | 78% | 61% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 38% | 29% | 44% | 50% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 19% | 8% | 28% | 22% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 15% | 33% | 22% | 39% | 6% |
Goals Conceded
| Ferroviária | Home | Away | Maringá | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 54% | 63% | 69% | 67% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 27% | 17% | 31% | 33% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 8% | 14% | 17% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 46% | 38% | 31% | 33% | 28% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ferroviária | Maringá | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 34% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 31% |
| BTTS | 44% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ferroviária | Maringá | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 34% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Ferroviária | Maringá |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | +9 | 33 | |
| 2 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +6 | 32 | |
| 3 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +7 | 30 | |
| 4 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 30 | |
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 30 | |
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 30 | |
| 7 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | -1 | 29 | |
| 8 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | +5 | 29 | |
| 9 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | +3 | 29 | |
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | +10 | 28 | |
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 28 | |
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +1 | 27 | |
| 13 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 26 | |
| 14 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 25 | |
| 15 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -3 | 22 | |
| 16 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | -12 | 21 | |
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 21 | |
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -5 | 19 | |
| 19 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -13 | 17 | |
| 20 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -9 | 13 |
Team Insights
- ●Ferroviária have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ferroviária have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ferroviária failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Ferroviária have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Ferroviária failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●68% of Ferroviária's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Maringá have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Maringá have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Maringá have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Maringá have been undefeated in their last 9 away matches.
- ●Maringá failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Maringá have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Maringá have scored in 12 of their 13 away matches.