Real Estelí vs Jalapa — Primera Division
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Real Estelí and Jalapa meet in the Primera Division 2026 season on 16 October 2026. Real Estelí have recorded 10 wins from 17 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 35% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Jalapa have won 15% of their 13 matches, with 0.77 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Real Estelí and 1.20 for Jalapa. The models give Real Estelí a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Jalapa win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Real Estelí—
Jalapa4º
Position
5º
2.00
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
0.50
0.50
Conceded / game
1.50
35%
BTTS %
46%
41%
Clean sheet %
8%
29%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Real Estelí
Home (2)
—
Jalapa
Away (1)
2.00
PPG
0.00
50%
Win %
0%
1.50
Goals / game
0.00
0.50
Conceded / game
3.00
38%
BTTS %
67%
38%
Clean sheet %
0%
25%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Real Estelí | Home | Away | Jalapa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 75% | 78% | 54% | 43% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 63% | 33% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 25% | 22% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 25% | 22% | 46% | 57% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Estelí | Home | Away | Jalapa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 59% | 63% | 56% | 92% | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 25% | 11% | 54% | 14% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 11% | 23% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 41% | 38% | 44% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Estelí | Jalapa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 8% |
| BTTS | 35% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 18% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Estelí | Jalapa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 23% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 15% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 69% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 31% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 77% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Estelí (H)W
San Marcos2–0
San Marcos2–0L
Diriangén0–2
Diriangén0–2L
CS Herediano0–2
CS Herediano0–2W
Alianza3–1
Alianza3–1W
Walter Ferretti4–1
Walter Ferretti4–1W
Matagalpa2–0
Matagalpa2–0Jalapa (A)DWalter Ferretti2–2
Walter Ferretti2–2LSan Marcos1–3
San Marcos1–3LDiriangén0–2
Diriangén0–2L
UNAN Managua1–2
UNAN Managua1–2L
Managua0–3
Managua0–3LMatagalpa1–3
Matagalpa1–3Head to Head · 35 matches
19
Real Estelí
54%
7
Draws
20%
9
Jalapa
26%
77%
Over 1.5
27/35
54%
Over 2.5
19/35
31%
Over 3.5
11/35
51%
BTTS
18/35
30/07/26Real Estelí
Jalapa
0–1Real Estelí07/05/26Jalapa
Real Estelí
3–1Jalapa02/05/26Real Estelí
Jalapa
0–0Real Estelí06/03/26Jalapa
Real Estelí
2–1Jalapa01/02/26Real Estelí
Jalapa
2–2Real Estelí19/10/25Real Estelí
Jalapa
1–1Real Estelí27/07/25Jalapa
Real Estelí
4–2Jalapa29/03/25Real Estelí
Jalapa
1–2Real Estelí02/02/25Jalapa
Real Estelí
1–2Jalapa13/11/24Real Estelí
Jalapa
0–1Real Estelí07/11/24Jalapa
Real Estelí
5–1Jalapa03/04/24Jalapa
Real Estelí
5–0Jalapa27/01/24Real Estelí
Jalapa
2–0Real Estelí30/09/23Real Estelí
Jalapa
2–0Real Estelí05/08/23Jalapa
Real Estelí
4–0Jalapa10/03/23Jalapa
Real Estelí
3–1Jalapa22/01/23Real Estelí
Jalapa
1–1Real Estelí05/09/22Real Estelí
Jalapa
0–0Real Estelí10/07/22Jalapa
Real Estelí
4–1Jalapa11/04/22Real Estelí
Jalapa
2–1Real Estelí| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | +24 | 29 |
| 2 | Diriangén | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 | Real Estelí | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 21 |
| 4 | UNAN Managua | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  H&H Export | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 14 |
| 6 | Walter Ferretti | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | San Marcos | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Matagalpa | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
| 9 |  Rancho Santana | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
| 10 | Jalapa | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Real Estelí- ●Real Estelí have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Real Estelí have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Jalapa- ●Jalapa have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
- ●Jalapa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Jalapa have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Jalapa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Jalapa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Jalapa have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Jalapa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Jalapa have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Jalapa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Jalapa have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of Jalapa's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Real EstelíWAMatagalpa4–1
Matagalpa4–1LAUNAN Managua0–1
UNAN Managua0–1DAManagua1–1
Managua1–1DARancho Santana1–1
Rancho Santana1–1WHSan Marcos2–0
San Marcos2–0WAH&H Export5–0
H&H Export5–0–HJalapa16/10
Jalapa16/10–HManagua26/10
Managua26/10JalapaLHManagua0–1
Managua0–1DAWalter Ferretti2–2
Walter Ferretti2–2LASan Marcos1–3
San Marcos1–3DHRancho Santana1–1
Rancho Santana1–1LADiriangén0–2
Diriangén0–2LHMatagalpa0–1
Matagalpa0–1–AReal Estelí16/10
Real Estelí16/10–HUNAN Managua25/10
UNAN Managua25/10Top Scorers
Real Estelí7 ⚽
B. Bonilla6 ⚽
E. Castillo3 ⚽
M. Castro2 ⚽
J. Gutierrez2 ⚽
E. Casado1 ⚽
JalapaO. Villalobos3 ⚽
P. Luna2 ⚽
T. Diaz1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Cards Given
Real EstelíE. Casado3 🟨
J. Quijano2 🟨
H. Aranda2 🟨
O. Acevedo2 🟨
2 🟨
J. Faust1 🟨
JalapaL. Baltodano1 🟨
R. Moncada1 🟨
1 🟨