Tacuary vs Independiente F.b.c. — Division Intermedia
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Tacuary and Independiente F.b.c. meet in the Division Intermedia 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Tacuary have recorded 4 wins from 29 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Independiente F.b.c. have won 40% of their 30 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 37%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Tacuary and 1.76 for Independiente F.b.c.. The models give Tacuary a 29% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Independiente F.b.c. win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Tacuary—
Independiente F.b.c.15º
Position
4º
0.86
PPG
1.54
14%
Win %
39%
1.14
Goals / game
1.54
1.68
Conceded / game
1.25
62%
BTTS %
57%
21%
Clean sheet %
37%
52%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tacuary
Home (14)
—
Independiente F.b.c.
Away (14)
0.93
PPG
1.64
21%
Win %
43%
1.14
Goals / game
2.00
1.64
Conceded / game
1.71
53%
BTTS %
79%
20%
Clean sheet %
21%
53%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tacuary | Home | Away | Independiente F.b.c. | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 60% | 79% | 83% | 75% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 33% | 36% | 53% | 31% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 7% | 0% | 13% | 6% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 40% | 21% | 17% | 25% | 7% |
Goals Conceded
| Tacuary | Home | Away | Independiente F.b.c. | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 80% | 79% | 63% | 50% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 53% | 57% | 40% | 31% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 13% | 29% | 10% | 0% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 20% | 21% | 37% | 50% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tacuary | Independiente F.b.c. | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS | 62% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tacuary | Independiente F.b.c. | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 34% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 41% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Tacuary (H)L
Paraguari AC2–4
Paraguari AC2–4W
Benjamín Aceval2–1
Benjamín Aceval2–1L
12 de Junio VH1–2
12 de Junio VH1–2L
Deportivo Santani0–3
Deportivo Santani0–3L
3 de Noviembre0–1
3 de Noviembre0–1D
Libertad Asuncion0–0
Libertad Asuncion0–0Independiente F.b.c. (A)WBenjamín Aceval3–2
Benjamín Aceval3–2W12 de Junio VH4–0
12 de Junio VH4–0WDeportivo Santani2–1
Deportivo Santani2–1L3 de Noviembre2–5
3 de Noviembre2–5W
Guairena FC2–1
Guairena FC2–1D
SOL DE America1–1
SOL DE America1–1Head to Head · 5 matches
3
Tacuary
60%
1
Draws
20%
1
Independiente F.b.c.
20%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
13/07/26Tacuary
Independiente F.b.c.
2–2Tacuary20/08/25Independiente F.b.c.
Tacuary
1–0Independiente F.b.c.14/05/25Tacuary
Independiente F.b.c.
0–1Tacuary17/09/21Tacuary
Independiente F.b.c.
0–2Tacuary13/06/21Independiente F.b.c.
Tacuary
1–3Independiente F.b.c.| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  General Caballero | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | +22 | 56 |
| 2 | Deportivo Santani | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | +20 | 54 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio VH | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | +9 | 51 |
| 4 | Independiente F.b.c. | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 43 |
| 5 | Benjamín Aceval | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 42 |
| 6 |  Sportivo Carapeguá | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | -5 | 42 |
| 7 | SOL DE America | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | +6 | 41 |
| 8 | Paraguari AC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +3 | 41 |
| 9 |  Resistencia | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 |  Atlético Tembetary | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 36 |
| 11 |  Fernando De La Mora | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Capiata | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -4 | 32 |
| 13 | 3 de Noviembre | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 28 | 4 | 12 | 12 | -15 | 24 |
| 16 |  Encarnación | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -15 | 22 |
Team Insights
Tacuary- ●Tacuary have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Tacuary failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tacuary failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Tacuary have lost 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Tacuary failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Tacuary have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
Independiente F.b.c.- ●Independiente F.b.c. have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have scored in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have won 6 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have scored in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●65% of Independiente F.b.c.'s goals have been scored away.
- ●69% of Independiente F.b.c.'s goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
TacuaryLHParaguari AC2–4
Paraguari AC2–4LAAtlético Tembetary2–3
Atlético Tembetary2–3WHBenjamín Aceval2–1
Benjamín Aceval2–1DASportivo Carapeguá0–0
Sportivo Carapeguá0–0LH12 de Junio VH1–2
12 de Junio VH1–2DAEncarnación1–1
Encarnación1–1–HIndependiente F.b.c.20/10
Independiente F.b.c.20/10Independiente F.b.c.WHAtlético Tembetary3–0
Atlético Tembetary3–0WABenjamín Aceval3–2
Benjamín Aceval3–2LHSportivo Carapeguá0–1
Sportivo Carapeguá0–1WA12 de Junio VH4–0
12 de Junio VH4–0WHEncarnación1–0
Encarnación1–0WADeportivo Santani2–1
Deportivo Santani2–1–ATacuary20/10
Tacuary20/10Top Scorers
TacuaryM. Nunez6 ⚽
A. Valdez5 ⚽
S. Salcedo4 ⚽
B. Diaz3 ⚽
J. M. Franco Almada3 ⚽
G. de Lira Benedito2 ⚽
Independiente F.b.c.D. Dramane9 ⚽
S. Dietze8 ⚽
R. Roa5 ⚽
E. Sarquis5 ⚽
F. Morel4 ⚽
D. Zarate3 ⚽
Cards Given
Tacuary2 🟨
A. Valdez1 🟨
F. Ferro1 🟨
J. Nieva1 🟨
A. Alexis1 🟨
R. J. Britos1 🟨
Independiente F.b.c.S. Dietze2 🟨
A. Vera1 🟨