Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo — Primera División
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Estadio Luis Franzini·Montevideo·Uruguay·18,000
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Defensor Sporting and Racing Montevideo meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Defensor Sporting have recorded 8 wins from 39 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 0.82 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 28%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Racing Montevideo have won 42% of their 38 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 34%, and clean sheets at 34%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.28 for Defensor Sporting and 0.90 for Racing Montevideo. The models give Defensor Sporting a 41% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Racing Montevideo win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Defensor Sporting—
Racing Montevideo8º
Position
1º
1.40
PPG
2.07
33%
Win %
60%
0.87
Goals / game
1.53
0.73
Conceded / game
0.93
51%
BTTS %
45%
26%
Clean sheet %
34%
28%
Over 2.5 %
34%
5.7
Avg corners
5.7
8.3
Avg shots
8.7
4.3
Avg shots on target
1.3
4.3
Avg yellow cards
3.3
14.0
Avg fouls
11.0
54.7%
Avg possession
50.7%
Home vs Away
Defensor Sporting
Home (7)
—
Racing Montevideo
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
2.29
57%
Win %
71%
1.14
Goals / game
1.43
0.57
Conceded / game
0.86
43%
BTTS %
40%
38%
Clean sheet %
25%
33%
Over 2.5 %
35%
5.7
Avg corners
5.7
8.3
Avg shots
8.7
4.3
Avg shots on target
1.3
4.3
Avg yellow cards
3.3
54.7%
Avg possession
50.7%
Goals Scored
| Defensor Sporting | Home | Away | Racing Montevideo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 67% | 61% | 68% | 89% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 18% | 19% | 17% | 32% | 39% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 11% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 33% | 39% | 32% | 11% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Defensor Sporting | Home | Away | Racing Montevideo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 62% | 89% | 66% | 56% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 29% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 11% | 5% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 38% | 11% | 34% | 44% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Defensor Sporting | Racing Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 | 28% | 34% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 16% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS | 51% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 26% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Defensor Sporting | Racing Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 62% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 41% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 26% |
Recent Venue Form
Defensor Sporting (H)L
Cerro2–3
Cerro2–3L
Plaza Colonia0–1
Plaza Colonia0–1W
Danubio1–0
Danubio1–0W
Deportivo Maldonado1–0
Deportivo Maldonado1–0L
Atletico Torque1–3
Atletico Torque1–3D
Rentistas0–0
Rentistas0–0Racing Montevideo (A)L
Juventud0–2
Juventud0–2L
Progreso1–2
Progreso1–2D
Liverpool Montevideo0–0
Liverpool Montevideo0–0LJuventud0–3
Juventud0–3LCerro0–1
Cerro0–1W
Oriental2–1
Oriental2–1Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
3 games
League Avg
7.8
17 games
7.3
Corners / Match
3 games
| Match Corners | Defensor Sporting | Racing Montevideo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 0% | 35% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 0% | 18% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 0% | 12% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Defensor Sporting | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.7 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 33% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 0% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
20
Defensor Sporting
65%
6
Draws
19%
5
Racing Montevideo
16%
61%
Over 1.5
19/31
52%
Over 2.5
16/31
26%
Over 3.5
8/31
45%
BTTS
14/31
30/05/26Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0–0Defensor Sporting18/04/26Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
1–1Defensor Sporting17/08/25Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0–1Defensor Sporting16/02/25Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
2–0Racing Montevideo24/10/24Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1–0Racing Montevideo13/09/24Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1–2Racing Montevideo22/06/24Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0–1Defensor Sporting02/03/24Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
1–2Defensor Sporting11/11/23Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
3–0Racing Montevideo03/04/23Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0–1Defensor Sporting07/09/22Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0–1Defensor Sporting09/12/21Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0–0Defensor Sporting07/12/21Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
3–0Racing Montevideo20/10/21Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0–1Defensor Sporting08/07/21Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1–4Racing Montevideo20/10/19Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
4–0Racing Montevideo31/03/19Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
4–2Defensor Sporting16/09/18Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
2–1Racing Montevideo28/03/18Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
2–2Defensor Sporting08/11/17Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
4–2Racing Montevideo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 69 | 43 | 13 | 13 | +57 | 142 |
| 2 |  Club Nacional | 69 | 41 | 14 | 14 | +53 | 134 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | +22 | 59 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 69 | 31 | 22 | 16 | +26 | 115 |
| 5 | Atletico Torque | 69 | 30 | 16 | 23 | +19 | 106 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 69 | 28 | 22 | 19 | +10 | 106 |
| 7 | Juventud | 69 | 28 | 17 | 24 | +4 | 101 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 69 | 26 | 18 | 25 | -5 | 96 |
| 8 |  Albion FC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 |  Boston River | 69 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 0 | 89 |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo | 69 | 20 | 22 | 27 | -8 | 82 |
| 12 |  Central Espanol | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Cerro | 69 | 22 | 17 | 30 | -30 | 82 |
| 14 |  Wanderers | 69 | 20 | 21 | 28 | -20 | 81 |
| 15 | Danubio | 69 | 15 | 27 | 27 | -15 | 72 |
| 16 | Progreso | 69 | 18 | 14 | 37 | -41 | 68 |
Team Insights
Defensor Sporting- ●Defensor Sporting have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Defensor Sporting have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Defensor Sporting have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Defensor Sporting failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Defensor Sporting have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Defensor Sporting failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
Racing Montevideo- ●Racing Montevideo have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Racing Montevideo have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Racing Montevideo have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Racing Montevideo have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Racing Montevideo have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
Season Schedule
Defensor SportingLHCerro2–3
Cerro2–3LAAlbion FC2–3
Albion FC2–3WHDanubio1–0
Danubio1–0LAClub Nacional2–3
Club Nacional2–3WHDeportivo Maldonado1–0
Deportivo Maldonado1–0DACentral Espanol1–1
Central Espanol1–1–ABoston River17/10
Boston River17/10–HRacing Montevideo23/10
Racing Montevideo23/10Racing MontevideoLAJuventud0–2
Juventud0–2LHPenarol0–1
Penarol0–1LAProgreso1–2
Progreso1–2DALiverpool Montevideo0–0
Liverpool Montevideo0–0WHBoston River3–2
Boston River3–2LACerro0–1
Cerro0–1–HWanderers17/10
Wanderers17/10–ADefensor Sporting23/10
Defensor Sporting23/10Top Scorers
Defensor SportingB. Montenegro7 ⚽
A. Machado3 ⚽
N. Wunsch3 ⚽
L. Agazzi3 ⚽
L. Navarro2 ⚽
F. Castro2 ⚽
Racing MontevideoT. Habib6 ⚽
S. Da Silva5 ⚽
F. Alvarez4 ⚽
E. Da Silva4 ⚽
A. Vazquez4 ⚽
F. Suarez3 ⚽
Cards Given
Defensor SportingAxel Frugone7 🟨
Lucas Paul De los Santos5 🟨
Juan Pablo Goicochea5 🟨
M. Amaro5 🟨
Guillermo De los Santos4 🟨
A. Frugone4 🟨
Racing MontevideoSebastián da Silva6 🟨
I. Manzur6 🟨
Y. Oyarzo5 🟨
M. Ferreira5 🟨
Tomas Habib5 🟨
Álex Vázquez5 🟨