Juventud vs Penarol — Primera División
← Back
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Juventud and Penarol meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Juventud have recorded 17 wins from 50 matches this season (34% win rate), averaging 1.26 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Penarol have won 46% of their 48 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.28 for Juventud and 1.32 for Penarol. The models give Juventud a 33% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Penarol win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Juventud—
Penarol14º
Position
4º
1.00
PPG
1.80
27%
Win %
53%
1.13
Goals / game
1.53
1.47
Conceded / game
1.07
54%
BTTS %
54%
30%
Clean sheet %
33%
46%
Over 2.5 %
40%
4.2
Avg corners
4.0
12.0
Avg shots
13.2
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.6
Avg yellow cards
3.3
11.1
Avg fouls
10.7
50.6%
Avg possession
47.1%
Home vs Away
Juventud
Home (8)
—
Penarol
Away (7)
1.25
PPG
2.14
38%
Win %
71%
1.00
Goals / game
1.43
1.00
Conceded / game
0.71
38%
BTTS %
45%
38%
Clean sheet %
45%
35%
Over 2.5 %
25%
4.2
Avg corners
4.0
12.0
Avg shots
13.2
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.6
Avg yellow cards
3.3
50.6%
Avg possession
47.1%
Goals Scored
| Juventud | Home | Away | Penarol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 69% | 83% | 79% | 75% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 38% | 29% | 40% | 43% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 15% | 8% | 17% | 21% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 31% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Juventud | Home | Away | Penarol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 62% | 79% | 67% | 75% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 15% | 46% | 19% | 18% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 8% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 38% | 21% | 33% | 25% | 45% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Juventud | Penarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 4% |
| BTTS | 54% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Juventud | Penarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Juventud (H)W
Racing Montevideo2–0
Racing Montevideo2–0D
Cerro0–0
Cerro0–0WRacing Montevideo3–0
Racing Montevideo3–0D
Danubio1–1
Danubio1–1W
Deportivo Maldonado2–0
Deportivo Maldonado2–0W
Oriental1–0
Oriental1–0Penarol (A)WRacing Montevideo1–0
Racing Montevideo1–0D
Atletico Torque1–1
Atletico Torque1–1DDanubio1–1
Danubio1–1WCerro2–1
Cerro2–1WDanubio4–0
Danubio4–0D
Atenas2–2
Atenas2–2Number of Corners
8.1
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
7.8
17 games
6.9
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Juventud | Penarol | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 64% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 7 | 57% | 44% | 47% |
| Over 8 | 43% | 22% | 35% |
| Over 9 | 36% | 11% | 18% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 11% | 12% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 12 | 7% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Juventud | Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 2.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 71% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 29% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 79% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 43% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 22% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
1
Juventud
6%
5
Draws
29%
11
Penarol
65%
59%
Over 1.5
10/17
29%
Over 2.5
5/17
29%
Over 3.5
5/17
35%
BTTS
6/17
20/04/26Juventud
Penarol
2–2Juventud21/09/25Juventud
Penarol
1–0Juventud27/03/25Penarol
Juventud
0–2Penarol21/09/19Penarol
Juventud
1–1Penarol18/08/19Juventud
Penarol
0–0Juventud03/03/19Juventud
Penarol
4–1Juventud11/11/17Juventud
Penarol
1–0Juventud08/04/17Penarol
Juventud
0–2Penarol25/09/16Penarol
Juventud
1–0Penarol04/06/16Penarol
Juventud
1–1Penarol06/12/15Juventud
Penarol
1–0Juventud22/02/15Juventud
Penarol
4–1Juventud24/08/14Penarol
Juventud
0–1Penarol03/05/14Juventud
Penarol
4–0Juventud30/11/13Penarol
Juventud
0–0Penarol26/05/13Penarol
Juventud
1–5Penarol02/12/12Juventud
Penarol
2–0Juventud| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 69 | 43 | 13 | 13 | +57 | 142 |
| 2 |  Club Nacional | 69 | 41 | 14 | 14 | +53 | 134 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | +22 | 59 |
| 4 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 69 | 31 | 22 | 16 | +26 | 115 |
| 5 | Atletico Torque | 69 | 30 | 16 | 23 | +19 | 106 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 69 | 28 | 22 | 19 | +10 | 106 |
| 7 | Juventud | 69 | 28 | 17 | 24 | +4 | 101 |
| 8 |  Defensor Sporting | 69 | 26 | 18 | 25 | -5 | 96 |
| 8 |  Albion FC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 |  Boston River | 69 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 0 | 89 |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo | 69 | 20 | 22 | 27 | -8 | 82 |
| 12 |  Central Espanol | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Cerro | 69 | 22 | 17 | 30 | -30 | 82 |
| 14 |  Wanderers | 69 | 20 | 21 | 28 | -20 | 81 |
| 15 | Danubio | 69 | 15 | 27 | 27 | -15 | 72 |
| 16 |  Progreso | 69 | 18 | 14 | 37 | -41 | 68 |
Team Insights
Juventud- ●Juventud have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Juventud have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Juventud have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Juventud have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Juventud have been undefeated in their last 8 away matches.
- ●Juventud failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Juventud failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Juventud have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Juventud have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Penarol- ●Penarol have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Penarol have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Penarol have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Penarol failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Penarol have been undefeated in their last 9 away matches.
- ●Penarol have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Penarol failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Penarol have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Penarol have won 10 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Penarol have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●70% of Penarol's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Penarol have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
JuventudWHRacing Montevideo2–0
Racing Montevideo2–0DABoston River0–0
Boston River0–0DHCerro0–0
Cerro0–0WAAlbion FC3–1
Albion FC3–1DHDanubio1–1
Danubio1–1DAClub Nacional2–2
Club Nacional2–2–AProgreso17/10
Progreso17/10–HPenarol24/10
Penarol24/10PenarolDHProgreso1–1
Progreso1–1WARacing Montevideo1–0
Racing Montevideo1–0DAAtletico Torque1–1
Atletico Torque1–1WHBoston River2–1
Boston River2–1WACerro2–1
Cerro2–1WHAlbion FC3–1
Albion FC3–1–ALiverpool Montevideo18/10
Liverpool Montevideo18/10–AJuventud24/10
Juventud24/10Top Scorers
JuventudF. Mimbacas12 ⚽
R. Peralta9 ⚽
B. Larregui5 ⚽
A. Cruz5 ⚽
F. Barrandeguy3 ⚽
G. Pereiro3 ⚽
PenarolM. Arezo14 ⚽
A. Hernandez8 ⚽
L. Umpierrez6 ⚽
L. Angulo4 ⚽
C. Jaime4 ⚽
M. Olivera4 ⚽
Cards Given
JuventudRenzo Rabino7 🟨
Leonel Roldán6 🟨
Patricio Pernicone6 🟨
David Morosini6 🟨
Martín Cáceres5 🟨
Franco Risso5 🟨
PenarolEric Remedi11 🟨
L. Ferreira8 🟨
Washington Aguerre6 🟨
Maximiliano Olivera6 🟨
Lucas Ferreira6 🟨
Jesús Trindade5 🟨