Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio — Primera División
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Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Deportivo Maldonado have recorded 21 wins from 37 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.68 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 49% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Danubio have won 17% of their 36 matches, with 0.83 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Deportivo Maldonado and 0.91 for Danubio. The models give Deportivo Maldonado a 59% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Danubio win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Deportivo Maldonado—
Danubio2º
Position
11º
1.93
PPG
1.20
60%
Win %
27%
1.60
Goals / game
1.13
1.07
Conceded / game
1.40
49%
BTTS %
47%
43%
Clean sheet %
19%
43%
Over 2.5 %
36%
3.0
Avg corners
3.5
6.0
Avg shots
10.5
2.5
Avg shots on target
2.5
2.5
Avg yellow cards
4.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
50.5%
Avg possession
49.0%
Home vs Away
Deportivo Maldonado
Home (7)
—
Danubio
Away (8)
2.57
PPG
1.00
86%
Win %
25%
1.86
Goals / game
0.88
0.86
Conceded / game
1.88
53%
BTTS %
37%
47%
Clean sheet %
16%
53%
Over 2.5 %
37%
3.0
Avg corners
3.5
6.0
Avg shots
10.5
2.5
Avg shots on target
2.5
2.5
Avg yellow cards
4.0
50.5%
Avg possession
49.0%
Goals Scored
| Deportivo Maldonado | Home | Away | Danubio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 89% | 72% | 53% | 65% | 42% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 51% | 63% | 39% | 22% | 29% | 16% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 32% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 11% | 28% | 47% | 35% | 58% |
Goals Conceded
| Deportivo Maldonado | Home | Away | Danubio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 53% | 61% | 81% | 76% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 16% | 33% | 33% | 24% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 3% | 0% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 47% | 39% | 19% | 24% | 16% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Deportivo Maldonado | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 6% |
| BTTS | 49% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 28% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Deportivo Maldonado | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 51% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 47% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 25% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Deportivo Maldonado (H)W
Albion FC4–1
Albion FC4–1D
Liverpool Montevideo1–1
Liverpool Montevideo1–1W
Central Espanol3–0
Central Espanol3–0W
Cerro Largo2–0
Cerro Largo2–0W
Wanderers4–1
Wanderers4–1WWanderers2–0
Wanderers2–0Danubio (A)L
Atletico Torque0–1
Atletico Torque0–1L
Defensor Sporting0–1
Defensor Sporting0–1D
Juventud1–1
Juventud1–1LAtletico Torque0–2
Atletico Torque0–2L
Progreso0–1
Progreso0–1D
Boston River0–0
Boston River0–0Number of Corners
6.5
Corners / Match
2 games
League Avg
7.8
17 games
10.0
Corners / Match
2 games
| Match Corners | Deportivo Maldonado | Danubio | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 50% | 47% |
| Over 8 | 0% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 9 | 0% | 50% | 18% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 50% | 12% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 50% | 6% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 50% | 6% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Deportivo Maldonado | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 6.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
2
Deportivo Maldonado
20%
5
Draws
50%
3
Danubio
30%
80%
Over 1.5
8/10
60%
Over 2.5
6/10
40%
Over 3.5
4/10
70%
BTTS
7/10
18/05/26Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
3–1Danubio19/04/26Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
1–1Deportivo Maldonado02/12/24Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
3–1Danubio03/06/24Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
1–1Deportivo Maldonado06/11/23Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1–2Danubio25/03/23Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
4–0Deportivo Maldonado07/08/22Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
0–0Deportivo Maldonado15/02/22Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1–2Danubio23/03/21Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
2–2Deportivo Maldonado06/10/20Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
0–0Danubio| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 69 | 43 | 13 | 13 | +57 | 142 |
| 2 |  Club Nacional | 69 | 41 | 14 | 14 | +53 | 134 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | +22 | 59 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 69 | 31 | 22 | 16 | +26 | 115 |
| 5 | Atletico Torque | 69 | 30 | 16 | 23 | +19 | 106 |
| 6 |  Racing Montevideo | 69 | 28 | 22 | 19 | +10 | 106 |
| 7 | Juventud | 69 | 28 | 17 | 24 | +4 | 101 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 69 | 26 | 18 | 25 | -5 | 96 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Boston River | 69 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 0 | 89 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 69 | 20 | 22 | 27 | -8 | 82 |
| 12 | Central Espanol | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 |  Cerro | 69 | 22 | 17 | 30 | -30 | 82 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 69 | 20 | 21 | 28 | -20 | 81 |
| 15 | Danubio | 69 | 15 | 27 | 27 | -15 | 72 |
| 16 | Progreso | 69 | 18 | 14 | 37 | -41 | 68 |
Team Insights
Deportivo Maldonado- ●Deportivo Maldonado have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have been undefeated in their last 11 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
Danubio- ●Danubio failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Danubio have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Danubio failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Danubio failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Danubio have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Deportivo MaldonadoDHLiverpool Montevideo1–1
Liverpool Montevideo1–1WHCentral Espanol3–0
Central Espanol3–0WAAtletico Torque2–0
Atletico Torque2–0WHCerro Largo2–0
Cerro Largo2–0LADefensor Sporting0–1
Defensor Sporting0–1WHWanderers2–0
Wanderers2–0–AClub Nacional19/10
Club Nacional19/10–HDanubio24/10
Danubio24/10DanubioLAAtletico Torque0–1
Atletico Torque0–1WHCerro Largo2–1
Cerro Largo2–1LADefensor Sporting0–1
Defensor Sporting0–1DHWanderers1–1
Wanderers1–1DAJuventud1–1
Juventud1–1LHPenarol0–4
Penarol0–4–HCentral Espanol18/10
Central Espanol18/10–ADeportivo Maldonado24/10
Deportivo Maldonado24/10Top Scorers
Deportivo MaldonadoC. Tabo11 ⚽
S. Ramirez7 ⚽
A. M. Noble Sequeira6 ⚽
R. Cesar6 ⚽
G. Larrazabal3 ⚽
A. Vila2 ⚽
DanubioS. Fernandez5 ⚽
M. Peralta5 ⚽
M. Ferreira4 ⚽
E. Cabrera4 ⚽
S. Rodriguez2 ⚽
Mateo peralta2 ⚽
Cards Given
Deportivo MaldonadoM. Gonzalez9 🟨
H. Menosse7 🟨
C. Tabo6 🟨
Maximiliano González6 🟨
Hernán Menosse5 🟨
Facundo Tealde5 🟨
DanubioS. Rodriguez6 🟨
M. Brasil5 🟨
Tomás Cavanagh5 🟨
Iván Rossi4 🟨
E. Velazquez4 🟨
M. Rinaldi4 🟨