Wanderers vs Progreso — Primera División
← Back
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Wanderers and Progreso meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Wanderers have recorded 14 wins from 40 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Progreso have won 25% of their 40 matches, with 0.85 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Wanderers and 1.22 for Progreso. The models give Wanderers a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Progreso win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Wanderers—
Progreso10º
Position
15º
1.33
PPG
0.67
40%
Win %
13%
1.07
Goals / game
0.80
1.40
Conceded / game
1.53
57%
BTTS %
48%
30%
Clean sheet %
15%
53%
Over 2.5 %
43%
4.0
Avg corners
3.0
5.5
Avg shots
9.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.5
3.5
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
48.5%
Avg possession
43.0%
Home vs Away
Wanderers
Home (8)
—
Progreso
Away (7)
1.75
PPG
0.71
50%
Win %
14%
1.13
Goals / game
0.71
1.00
Conceded / game
1.29
55%
BTTS %
50%
35%
Clean sheet %
18%
45%
Over 2.5 %
36%
4.0
Avg corners
3.0
5.5
Avg shots
9.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.5
3.5
Avg yellow cards
2.0
48.5%
Avg possession
43.0%
Goals Scored
| Wanderers | Home | Away | Progreso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 80% | 80% | 60% | 56% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 28% | 25% | 30% | 23% | 22% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 44% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Wanderers | Home | Away | Progreso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 65% | 75% | 85% | 89% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 30% | 60% | 45% | 56% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 15% | 25% | 10% | 17% | 5% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 35% | 25% | 15% | 11% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Wanderers | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 5% |
| BTTS | 57% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Wanderers | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 55% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Wanderers (H)L
Boston River1–3
Boston River1–3W
Albion FC2–1
Albion FC2–1L
Cerrito1–3
Cerrito1–3D
Club Nacional1–1
Club Nacional1–1D
Cerro1–1
Cerro1–1W
Central Espanol3–0
Central Espanol3–0Progreso (A)D
Penarol1–1
Penarol1–1L
Liverpool Montevideo2–3
Liverpool Montevideo2–3WBoston River2–1
Boston River2–1WAlbion FC1–0
Albion FC1–0LAlbion FC1–2
Albion FC1–2LClub Nacional0–1
Club Nacional0–1Number of Corners
7.5
Corners / Match
2 games
League Avg
7.8
17 games
6.5
Corners / Match
2 games
| Match Corners | Wanderers | Progreso | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 0% | 47% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 0% | 35% |
| Over 9 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Wanderers | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 3.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
7
Wanderers
41%
3
Draws
18%
7
Progreso
41%
76%
Over 1.5
13/17
47%
Over 2.5
8/17
35%
Over 3.5
6/17
41%
BTTS
7/17
11/07/26Progreso
Wanderers
2–0Progreso18/04/26Wanderers
Progreso
2–1Wanderers21/09/25Wanderers
Progreso
2–0Wanderers27/03/25Progreso
Wanderers
1–1Progreso10/11/24Wanderers
Progreso
0–0Wanderers14/07/24Progreso
Wanderers
4–2Progreso04/05/24Progreso
Wanderers
2–0Progreso15/11/21Wanderers
Progreso
3–1Wanderers31/07/21Progreso
Wanderers
2–0Progreso21/03/21Progreso
Wanderers
1–3Progreso20/09/20Wanderers
Progreso
3–0Wanderers05/10/19Progreso
Wanderers
0–1Progreso09/03/19Wanderers
Progreso
2–2Wanderers23/09/18Progreso
Wanderers
3–2Progreso31/03/18Wanderers
Progreso
0–1Wanderers14/04/13Progreso
Wanderers
4–0Progreso21/10/12Wanderers
Progreso
1–0Wanderers| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 69 | 43 | 13 | 13 | +57 | 142 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 69 | 41 | 14 | 14 | +53 | 134 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | +22 | 59 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 69 | 31 | 22 | 16 | +26 | 115 |
| 5 |  Atletico Torque | 69 | 30 | 16 | 23 | +19 | 106 |
| 6 |  Racing Montevideo | 69 | 28 | 22 | 19 | +10 | 106 |
| 7 |  Juventud | 69 | 28 | 17 | 24 | +4 | 101 |
| 8 |  Defensor Sporting | 69 | 26 | 18 | 25 | -5 | 96 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Boston River | 69 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 0 | 89 |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo | 69 | 20 | 22 | 27 | -8 | 82 |
| 12 | Central Espanol | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Cerro | 69 | 22 | 17 | 30 | -30 | 82 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 69 | 20 | 21 | 28 | -20 | 81 |
| 15 |  Danubio | 69 | 15 | 27 | 27 | -15 | 72 |
| 16 | Progreso | 69 | 18 | 14 | 37 | -41 | 68 |
Team Insights
Wanderers- ●Wanderers have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Wanderers have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Wanderers have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Wanderers failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Wanderers have won 7 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Wanderers have scored in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●66% of Wanderers's goals conceded were conceded away.
Progreso- ●Progreso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Progreso have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Progreso have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Progreso failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Progreso have lost 9 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Progreso failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 17 away matches.
Season Schedule
WanderersLHBoston River1–3
Boston River1–3WACerro2–0
Cerro2–0WHAlbion FC2–1
Albion FC2–1DADanubio1–1
Danubio1–1DHClub Nacional1–1
Club Nacional1–1LADeportivo Maldonado0–2
Deportivo Maldonado0–2–ARacing Montevideo17/10
Racing Montevideo17/10–HProgreso25/10
Progreso25/10ProgresoDAPenarol1–1
Penarol1–1LALiverpool Montevideo2–3
Liverpool Montevideo2–3WHRacing Montevideo2–1
Racing Montevideo2–1WABoston River2–1
Boston River2–1LHCerro1–3
Cerro1–3WAAlbion FC1–0
Albion FC1–0–HJuventud17/10
Juventud17/10–AWanderers25/10
Wanderers25/10Top Scorers
WanderersL. Cosentino10 ⚽
J. Zeballos5 ⚽
J. Luna4 ⚽
F. Labandeira4 ⚽
Facundo Labandeira2 ⚽
J. Alberti2 ⚽
ProgresoN. Lopez7 ⚽
D. Sanchez3 ⚽
F. De Leon3 ⚽
J. Dos Santos2 ⚽
G. Silva2 ⚽
F. Fernandez2 ⚽
Cards Given
WanderersDarlin Mencía9 🟨
L. Zazpe6 🟨
6 🟨
Gonzalo Freitas5 🟨
G. Freitas5 🟨
L. N. Olivera Moreira4 🟨
ProgresoA. Cougo7 🟨
Mauro Martín6 🟨
Agustin Pinheiro5 🟨
F. Andueza4 🟨
Ayrton Cougo4 🟨
A. Ocampo4 🟨