Atletico Torque vs Cerro — Primera División
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Estadio Centenario·Montevideo·Uruguay·60,235
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Atletico Torque and Cerro meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Atletico Torque have recorded 27 wins from 49 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.65 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Cerro have won 28% of their 36 matches, with 0.81 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for Atletico Torque and 1.44 for Cerro. The models give Atletico Torque a 54% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Cerro win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Atletico Torque—
Cerro6º
Position
16º
1.53
PPG
0.67
40%
Win %
13%
1.47
Goals / game
0.53
1.07
Conceded / game
1.60
55%
BTTS %
47%
31%
Clean sheet %
19%
51%
Over 2.5 %
42%
4.5
Avg corners
3.0
10.1
Avg shots
13.5
3.3
Avg shots on target
6.0
2.4
Avg yellow cards
3.5
10.6
Avg fouls
0.0
46.3%
Avg possession
56.0%
Home vs Away
Atletico Torque
Home (7)
—
Cerro
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
0.14
57%
Win %
0%
1.86
Goals / game
0.43
1.29
Conceded / game
2.57
56%
BTTS %
58%
33%
Clean sheet %
11%
56%
Over 2.5 %
63%
4.5
Avg corners
3.0
10.1
Avg shots
13.5
3.3
Avg shots on target
6.0
2.4
Avg yellow cards
3.5
46.3%
Avg possession
56.0%
Goals Scored
| Atletico Torque | Home | Away | Cerro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 89% | 74% | 64% | 65% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 59% | 35% | 11% | 6% | 16% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 22% | 17% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 11% | 26% | 36% | 35% | 37% |
Goals Conceded
| Atletico Torque | Home | Away | Cerro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 67% | 74% | 81% | 71% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 30% | 30% | 42% | 24% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 15% | 13% | 19% | 0% | 37% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 26% | 19% | 29% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atletico Torque | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 6% |
| BTTS | 54% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atletico Torque | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 53% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 31% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Atletico Torque (H)W
Danubio1–0
Danubio1–0D
Penarol1–1
Penarol1–1L
Deportivo Maldonado0–2
Deportivo Maldonado0–2D
Atenas3–3
Atenas3–3W
Cienciano3–0
Cienciano3–0W
Liverpool Montevideo3–1
Liverpool Montevideo3–1Cerro (A)W
Defensor Sporting3–2
Defensor Sporting3–2D
Juventud0–0
Juventud0–0W
Progreso3–1
Progreso3–1D
Wanderers1–1
Wanderers1–1D
Boston River1–1
Boston River1–1LLiverpool Montevideo0–4
Liverpool Montevideo0–4Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
7.8
17 games
6.0
Corners / Match
2 games
| Match Corners | Atletico Torque | Cerro | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 0% | 71% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 0% | 47% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 0% | 35% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 0% | 18% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 0% | 12% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atletico Torque | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 3.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 53% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 53% | 50% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
4
Atletico Torque
44%
4
Draws
44%
1
Cerro
11%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
33%
Over 2.5
3/9
11%
Over 3.5
1/9
67%
BTTS
6/9
19/04/26Atletico Torque
Cerro
1–1Atletico Torque18/10/25Cerro
Atletico Torque
1–2Cerro20/04/25Atletico Torque
Cerro
1–2Atletico Torque18/11/23Cerro
Atletico Torque
1–0Cerro16/04/23Atletico Torque
Cerro
0–2Atletico Torque31/01/21Atletico Torque
Cerro
1–3Atletico Torque07/03/20Cerro
Atletico Torque
1–1Cerro21/10/18Cerro
Atletico Torque
0–0Cerro21/04/18Atletico Torque
Cerro
1–1Atletico Torque| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 69 | 43 | 13 | 13 | +57 | 142 |
| 2 |  Club Nacional | 69 | 41 | 14 | 14 | +53 | 134 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | +22 | 59 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 69 | 31 | 22 | 16 | +26 | 115 |
| 5 | Atletico Torque | 69 | 30 | 16 | 23 | +19 | 106 |
| 6 |  Racing Montevideo | 69 | 28 | 22 | 19 | +10 | 106 |
| 7 | Juventud | 69 | 28 | 17 | 24 | +4 | 101 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 69 | 26 | 18 | 25 | -5 | 96 |
| 8 |  Albion FC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Boston River | 69 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 0 | 89 |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo | 69 | 20 | 22 | 27 | -8 | 82 |
| 12 |  Central Espanol | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Cerro | 69 | 22 | 17 | 30 | -30 | 82 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 69 | 20 | 21 | 28 | -20 | 81 |
| 15 | Danubio | 69 | 15 | 27 | 27 | -15 | 72 |
| 16 | Progreso | 69 | 18 | 14 | 37 | -41 | 68 |
Team Insights
Atletico Torque- ●Atletico Torque failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Atletico Torque failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Atletico Torque have won 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Atletico Torque have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Atletico Torque have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Cerro- ●Cerro have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Cerro failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Cerro failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 17 away matches.
- ●74% of Cerro's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Cerro have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Atletico TorqueWHDanubio1–0
Danubio1–0LAClub Nacional0–2
Club Nacional0–2DHPenarol1–1
Penarol1–1LHDeportivo Maldonado0–2
Deportivo Maldonado0–2WACentral Espanol4–1
Central Espanol4–1WHLiverpool Montevideo3–1
Liverpool Montevideo3–1–AAlbion FC18/10
Albion FC18/10–HCerro25/10
Cerro25/10CerroWADefensor Sporting3–2
Defensor Sporting3–2LHWanderers0–2
Wanderers0–2DAJuventud0–0
Juventud0–0LHPenarol1–2
Penarol1–2WAProgreso3–1
Progreso3–1WHRacing Montevideo1–0
Racing Montevideo1–0–HCerro Largo16/10
Cerro Largo16/10–AAtletico Torque25/10
Atletico Torque25/10Top Scorers
Atletico TorqueS. Rodriguez16 ⚽
N. Da Silva12 ⚽
E. Obregon8 ⚽
F. Pizzichillo7 ⚽
F. Silvera4 ⚽
G. Montes3 ⚽
CerroA. Cambon6 ⚽
J. Amaro3 ⚽
A. Macelli3 ⚽
A. Severo3 ⚽
B. Aleman2 ⚽
Agustin Miranda1 ⚽
Cards Given
Atletico TorquePablo Siles10 🟨
Diogo Guzmán8 🟨
Salomón Rodríguez8 🟨
G. Montes7 🟨
Facundo Silvera7 🟨
P. Siles6 🟨
CerroD. Suarez10 🟨
B. Aleman6 🟨
A. Macelli6 🟨
Cristian Barros6 🟨
C. Barros5 🟨
Alejo Macelli5 🟨