Uruguay · Primera División · Clausura - 12

Cerro Largo

12º · 1.13 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 14d 1h

–

Boston River

13º · 1.13 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 11d 0h

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Cerro Largo and Boston River meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Cerro Largo have recorded 10 wins from 39 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 0.97 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 49% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Boston River have won 32% of their 47 matches, with 1.04 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 23%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Cerro Largo and 1.08 for Boston River. The models give Cerro Largo a 43% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Boston River win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Cerro Largo

—

Boston River

12º

Position

13º

1.13

PPG

1.13

33%

Win %

33%

1.07

Goals / game

0.93

1.27

Conceded / game

1.33

49%

BTTS %

47%

23%

Clean sheet %

23%

36%

Over 2.5 %

43%

4.0

Avg corners

3.2

7.5

Avg shots

9.7

2.0

Avg shots on target

3.1

4.0

Avg yellow cards

1.8

0.0

Avg fouls

11.3

50.0%

Avg possession

42.6%

Home vs Away

Cerro Largo

Home (7)

—

Boston River

Away (7)

1.00

PPG

1.00

29%

Win %

29%

1.29

Goals / game

0.86

1.29

Conceded / game

1.71

55%

BTTS %

50%

25%

Clean sheet %

30%

Over 2.5 %

50%

4.0

Avg corners

3.2

7.5

Avg shots

9.7

2.0

Avg shots on target

3.1

4.0

Avg yellow cards

1.8

50.0%

Avg possession

42.6%

Goals Scored

	Cerro Largo	Home	Away	Boston River	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	67%	75%	58%	60%	60%	59%
Over 1.5 Scored	21%	25%	16%	28%	28%	27%
Over 2.5 Scored	10%	10%	11%	13%	16%	9%
Failed To Score	33%	25%	42%	40%	40%	41%

Goals Conceded

	Cerro Largo	Home	Away	Boston River	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	77%	75%	79%	77%	64%	91%
Over 1.5 Conceded	36%	25%	47%	40%	28%	55%
Over 2.5 Conceded	10%	10%	11%	11%	4%	18%
Clean Sheets	23%	25%	21%	23%	36%	9%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Cerro Largo	Boston River
Over 0.5	95%	89%
Over 1.5	69%	64%
Over 2.5	36%	43%
Over 3.5	15%	21%
Over 4.5	5%	17%
BTTS	49%	47%
BTTS & Win	8%	19%
BTTS & Draw	23%	11%
BTTS & Over 2.5	28%	38%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	8%	4%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Cerro Largo	Boston River
Win 1st Half	26%	17%
Draw 1st Half	36%	53%
Loss 1st Half	38%	30%
Scored 1st Half	41%	30%
Conceded 1st Half	54%	47%
Win 2nd Half	31%	26%
Draw 2nd Half	31%	40%
Loss 2nd Half	38%	34%
Scored 2nd Half	38%	49%
Conceded 2nd Half	46%	55%
Over 0.5 HT	77%	60%
Over 1.5 HT	21%	23%

Recent Venue Form

Cerro Largo (H)

Albion FC0–1

Rentistas1–0

Club Nacional0–2

Central Espanol0–0

Defensor Sporting1–1

Liverpool Montevideo1–1

Boston River (A)

Wanderers3–1

Penarol1–2

Racing Montevideo2–3

Liverpool Montevideo0–1

Liverpool Montevideo1–0

Albion FC3–2

Number of Corners

8.0

Corners / Match

2 games

League Avg

7.8

17 games

10.6

Corners / Match

9 games

Match Corners	Cerro Largo	Boston River	League Avg
Over 6	100%	100%	71%
Over 7	50%	78%	47%
Over 8	50%	78%	35%
Over 9	0%	56%	18%
Over 10	0%	44%	12%
Over 11	0%	22%	6%
Over 12	0%	22%	6%
Over 13	0%	22%	0%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Cerro Largo	Boston River
Corners Earned / Match	4.0	3.2
Corners Against / Match	4.0	7.3
Over 2.5 Corners For	100%	67%
Over 3.5 Corners For	50%	33%
Over 4.5 Corners For	50%	22%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	100%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	100%	100%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	0%	78%

Head to Head · 22 matches

Cerro Largo

32%

Draws

27%

Boston River

41%

64%

Over 1.5

14/22

41%

Over 2.5

9/22

18%

Over 3.5

4/22

36%

BTTS

8/22

23/05/26

Cerro Largo

3–0

Boston River

20/04/26

Boston River

1–0

Cerro Largo

11/10/25

Cerro Largo

2–2

Boston River

13/04/25

Boston River

1–0

Cerro Largo

03/11/24

Boston River

3–0

Cerro Largo

17/06/24

Boston River

0–2

Cerro Largo

27/04/24

Cerro Largo

2–0

Boston River

03/12/23

Boston River

0–1

Cerro Largo

05/05/23

Cerro Largo

2–2

Boston River

04/09/22

Cerro Largo

1–1

Boston River

20/07/22

Boston River

2–0

Cerro Largo

25/02/22

Boston River

3–0

Cerro Largo

04/11/21

Cerro Largo

1–1

Boston River

11/07/21

Boston River

1–0

Cerro Largo

29/01/21

Boston River

2–1

Cerro Largo

09/03/20

Cerro Largo

0–0

Boston River

27/11/19

Cerro Largo

1–0

Boston River

26/05/19

Boston River

2–3

Cerro Largo

03/06/16

Cerro Largo

0–1

Boston River

08/11/15

Boston River

1–2

Cerro Largo

Primera División

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	69	43	13	13	+57	142
2	Club Nacional	69	41	14	14	+53	134
2	Deportivo Maldonado	32	17	8	7	+22	59
4	Liverpool Montevideo	69	31	22	16	+26	115
5	Atletico Torque	69	30	16	23	+19	106
6	Racing Montevideo	69	28	22	19	+10	106
7	Juventud	69	28	17	24	+4	101
8	Defensor Sporting	69	26	18	25	-5	96
8	Albion FC	32	11	7	14	0	40
9	Boston River	69	23	20	26	0	89
11	Cerro Largo	69	20	22	27	-8	82
12	Central Espanol	32	10	8	14	-11	38
13	Cerro	69	22	17	30	-30	82
14	Wanderers	69	20	21	28	-20	81
15	Danubio	69	15	27	27	-15	72
16	Progreso	69	18	14	37	-41	68

Team Insights

Cerro Largo

●Cerro Largo have failed to win in their last 11 matches.
●Cerro Largo have lost their last 4 matches.
●Cerro Largo have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
●Cerro Largo have lost their last 3 away matches.
●Cerro Largo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Cerro Largo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Cerro Largo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
●Cerro Largo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
●62% of Cerro Largo's goals have been scored at home.

Boston River

●Boston River have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
●70% of Boston River's goals conceded were conceded away.

Cerro Largo

LHAlbion FC3º0–1

LHAlbion FC14º0–1

LHAlbion FC10º0–1

LHAlbion FC8º0–1

LHAlbion FC6º0–1

LADanubio11º1–2

LADanubio13º1–2

LADanubio15º1–2

Boston River

DHCA River Plate0–0

WAWanderers10º3–1

WAWanderers8º3–1

WAWanderers14º3–1

WAWanderers7º3–1

WAWanderers1º3–1

DHJuventud14º0–0

DHJuventud6º0–0

Season Schedule

Cerro Largo

Albion FC0–1

Danubio1–2

Club Nacional0–2

Deportivo Maldonado0–2

Central Espanol0–0

Atletico Torque1–2

–A

Cerro16/10

–H

Boston River25/10

Boston River

Wanderers3–1

Juventud0–0

Penarol1–2

Progreso1–2

Racing Montevideo2–3

Liverpool Montevideo0–1

–H

Defensor Sporting17/10

–A

Cerro Largo25/10

Top Scorers

Cerro Largo

A. Pandiani9 ⚽

D. Daguerre5 ⚽

T. Correa5 ⚽

F. Sellecchia3 ⚽

B. Barone2 ⚽

B. Hernandez2 ⚽

Boston River

F. Bonfiglio8 ⚽

F. Munoa7 ⚽

L. Suhr5 ⚽

J. S. O'Neill Lopez3 ⚽

A. Gonzalez3 ⚽

G. Ramirez3 ⚽

Cards Given

Cerro Largo

A. Piegas7 🟨

Lucas Correa5 🟨

S. Franca4 🟨

L. Correa4 🟨

A. Hernandez4 🟨

Santiago Marcel4 🟨

Boston River

L. Vazquez7 🟨

L. Suhr5 🟨

Franco Pérez5 🟨

F. Bonfiglio5 🟨

J. Acosta5 🟨

M. Gonzalez5 🟨

Cerro Largo vs Boston River — Primera División

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 22 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given