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Finland W vs Italy W — World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe

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Finland W
Finland W
2º · 2.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 43d 23h
vs
–
–
Italy W
Italy W
2º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 43d 21h
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Finland W and Italy W meet in the World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe 2027 season on 26 November 2026. Finland W have recorded 7 wins from 8 matches this season (88% win rate), averaging 2.63 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Italy W have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.88 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 50%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.33 for Finland W and 2.32 for Italy W. The models give Finland W a 44% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Italy W win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 74%.

Season Statistics

Finland W
—
Italy W
2º
Position
2º
2.50
PPG
1.50
83%
Win %
33%
2.50
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.67
63%
BTTS %
38%
25%
Clean sheet %
50%
75%
Over 2.5 %
38%
7.0
Avg corners
10.0
18.5
Avg shots
28.5
9.0
Avg shots on target
8.5
0.5
Avg yellow cards
0.5
9.0
Avg fouls
6.0
59.0%
Avg possession
74.5%

Home vs Away

Finland W
Home (3)
—
Italy W
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
1.67
100%
Win %
33%
3.33
Goals / game
2.67
1.33
Conceded / game
0.67
100%
BTTS %
25%
0%
Clean sheet %
75%
100%
Over 2.5 %
50%
7.0
Avg corners
10.0
18.5
Avg shots
28.5
9.0
Avg shots on target
8.5
0.5
Avg yellow cards
0.5
59.0%
Avg possession
74.5%

Goals Scored

Finland WHomeAwayItaly WHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored88%100%75%75%75%75%
Over 1.5 Scored75%100%50%50%25%75%
Over 2.5 Scored75%100%50%25%25%25%
Failed To Score13%0%25%25%25%25%

Goals Conceded

Finland WHomeAwayItaly WHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded75%100%50%50%75%25%
Over 1.5 Conceded25%25%25%13%0%25%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets25%0%50%50%25%75%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Finland WItaly W
Over 0.5100%88%
Over 1.588%75%
Over 2.575%38%
Over 3.575%25%
Over 4.513%13%
BTTS63%38%
BTTS & Win63%0%
BTTS & Draw0%38%
BTTS & Over 2.563%13%
BTTS No & Over 2.513%25%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Finland WItaly W
Win 1st Half50%50%
Draw 1st Half50%38%
Loss 1st Half0%13%
Scored 1st Half75%50%
Conceded 1st Half38%13%
Win 2nd Half75%38%
Draw 2nd Half13%25%
Loss 2nd Half13%38%
Scored 2nd Half88%38%
Conceded 2nd Half50%38%
Over 0.5 HT75%63%
Over 1.5 HT50%25%

Recent Venue Form

Finland W (H)
WSerbia W3–1
WPortugal W3–1
WSlovakia W4–2
WLatvia W3–1
DAustria W1–1
LDenmark W1–6
Italy W (A)
WBelarus W2–0
DSweden W2–2
DDenmark W0–0
WSerbia W6–0
LUSA W0–2
LUSA W0–3

Number of Corners

9.0
Corners / Match
2 games
League Avg
10.3
32 games
13.0
Corners / Match
2 games
Match CornersFinland WItaly WLeague Avg
Over 6100%100%91%
Over 7100%100%81%
Over 850%100%69%
Over 950%100%56%
Over 100%100%38%
Over 110%100%31%
Over 120%50%19%
Over 130%50%13%

Team Corners

Team CornersFinland WItaly W
Corners Earned / Match7.010.0
Corners Against / Match2.03.0
Over 2.5 Corners For100%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For100%100%
Over 4.5 Corners For100%100%
Over 2.5 Corners Against50%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against0%0%

Head to Head · 2 matches

1
Finland W
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Italy W
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
16/07/24
Italy W
4–0
Finland W
09/04/24
Finland W
2–1
Italy W
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Hungary W6510+1916
1Switzerland W6510+1316
1Germany W6510+1716
1Portugal W6501+1315
1Kosovo W6501+1715
1Spain W6501+1815
1Wales W6420+1214
1Scotland W6420+2214
1Denmark W6420+714
1France W6411+613
1Greece W4400+712
1Romania W4310+810
1Belarus W4301+99
2Croatia W6501+1515
2England W6501+815
2Finland W6501+915
2Belgium W6420+2114
2Turkey W6411+613
2Azerbaijan W6402+612
2Norway W6402+212
2Bosnia-Herzegovina W6321+1811
2Czechia W6321+1011
2Netherlands W6321+311
2Lithuania W6321+811
2Italy W6231+89
2Kazakhstan W4211+37
2Faroe Islands W4202-16
2Moldova W4121+15
3Estonia W6321+511
3Republic of Ireland W630309
3Sweden W622208
3Albania W6213-57
3Israel W6204-106
3Iceland W6204-96
3Slovakia W6204-96
3Northern Ireland W6204+16
3Bulgaria W6204-16
3North Macedonia W6204-126
3Austria W6114-64
3Armenia W4013-121
3Cyprus W4013-91
3Georgia W4004-60
4Slovenia W6105-133
4Poland W6015-91
4Andorra W6015-131
4Montenegro W6015-171
4Serbia W6015-151
4Latvia W6006-130
4Malta W6006-200
4Liechtenstein W6006-310
4Ukraine W6006-170
4Luxembourg W6006-330
4Gibraltar W6006-310

Team Insights

Finland W
  • ●Finland W have won their last 7 matches.
  • ●Finland W have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Finland W have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Finland W have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Finland W have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Finland W have won their last 3 away matches.
  • ●62% of Finland W's goals have been scored at home.
Italy W
  • ●Italy W have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
  • ●Italy W have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Italy W have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●67% of Italy W's goals have been scored away.
  • ●62% of Italy W's points have been earned away.
WASerbia W4º3–1
WASerbia W4º3–1
WHSerbia W4º3–1
WHSerbia W4º3–1
WHPortugal W1º3–1
WHPortugal W1º3–1
WASlovakia W3º4–0
WASlovakia W3º4–0
WALatvia W4º1–0
WALatvia W4º1–0
DHBelarus W1º1–1
DHBelarus W1º1–1
WABelarus W1º2–0
WABelarus W1º2–0
DASweden W3º2–2
DASweden W3º2–2
WHSerbia W4º3–0
WHSerbia W4º3–0
DADenmark W1º0–0
DADenmark W1º0–0

Season Schedule

Finland W
WASerbia W3–1
WHSerbia W3–1
WHPortugal W3–1
WASlovakia W4–0
WALatvia W1–0
WHSlovakia W4–2
–HItaly W26/11
–AItaly W05/12
Italy W
DHBelarus W1–1
WABelarus W2–0
DASweden W2–2
WHSerbia W3–0
DADenmark W0–0
WASerbia W6–0
–AFinland W26/11
–HFinland W05/12

Top Scorers

Finland W
L. Lindstrom3 ⚽
R. Oling3 ⚽
O. Sevenius2 ⚽
E. Nystrom2 ⚽
Emma Koivisto2 ⚽
N. Lehtola2 ⚽
Italy W
E. Oliviero2 ⚽
M. Piemonte2 ⚽
A. Caruso2 ⚽
C. Girelli1 ⚽
Elisa Polli1 ⚽
G. Greggi1 ⚽

Cards Given

Finland W
K. Kosola2 🟨
Adelina Engman1 🟨
E. Koivisto1 🟨
Italy W
A. Caruso2 🟨
A. Soffia2 🟨
E. Linari1 🟨
C. Salvai1 🟨
C. Girelli1 🟨
B. Bonansea1 🟨