Finland W vs Italy W — World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe
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Finland W and Italy W meet in the World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe 2027 season on 26 November 2026. Finland W have recorded 7 wins from 8 matches this season (88% win rate), averaging 2.63 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Italy W have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.88 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.33 for Finland W and 2.32 for Italy W. The models give Finland W a 44% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Italy W win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Finland W | Home | Away | Italy W | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Finland W | Home | Away | Italy W | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Finland W | Italy W | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 75% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS | 63% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 63% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 13% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Finland W | Italy W | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 75% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 13% |
| Win 2nd Half | 75% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 88% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Finland W | Italy W | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 91% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 100% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 100% | 56% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 100% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 100% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 50% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 50% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Finland W | Italy W |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.0 | 10.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
Team Insights
- ●Finland W have won their last 7 matches.
- ●Finland W have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Finland W have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Finland W have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Finland W have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Finland W have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●62% of Finland W's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Italy W have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Italy W have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Italy W have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Italy W's goals have been scored away.
- ●62% of Italy W's points have been earned away.

