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Italy W vs Finland W — World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe

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International · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · Qualification - Promotion - Play Offs
Italy W
Italy W
2º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 52d 21h
vs
–
–
Finland W
Finland W
2º · 2.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 52d 23h
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Italy W and Finland W meet in the World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe 2027 season on 5 December 2026. Italy W have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Finland W have won 88% of their 8 matches, with 2.63 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Italy W and 2.04 for Finland W. The models give Italy W a 36% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Finland W win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 64%.

Season Statistics

Italy W
—
Finland W
2º
Position
2º
1.50
PPG
2.50
33%
Win %
83%
2.00
Goals / game
2.50
0.67
Conceded / game
1.00
38%
BTTS %
63%
50%
Clean sheet %
25%
38%
Over 2.5 %
75%
10.0
Avg corners
7.0
28.5
Avg shots
18.5
8.5
Avg shots on target
9.0
0.5
Avg yellow cards
0.5
6.0
Avg fouls
9.0
74.5%
Avg possession
59.0%

Home vs Away

Italy W
Home (3)
—
Finland W
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
1.33
Goals / game
1.67
0.67
Conceded / game
0.67
50%
BTTS %
25%
25%
Clean sheet %
50%
25%
Over 2.5 %
50%
10.0
Avg corners
7.0
28.5
Avg shots
18.5
8.5
Avg shots on target
9.0
0.5
Avg yellow cards
0.5
74.5%
Avg possession
59.0%

Goals Scored

Italy WHomeAwayFinland WHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored75%75%75%88%100%75%
Over 1.5 Scored50%25%75%75%100%50%
Over 2.5 Scored25%25%25%75%100%50%
Failed To Score25%25%25%13%0%25%

Goals Conceded

Italy WHomeAwayFinland WHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded50%75%25%75%100%50%
Over 1.5 Conceded13%0%25%25%25%25%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets50%25%75%25%0%50%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Italy WFinland W
Over 0.588%100%
Over 1.575%88%
Over 2.538%75%
Over 3.525%75%
Over 4.513%13%
BTTS38%63%
BTTS & Win0%63%
BTTS & Draw38%0%
BTTS & Over 2.513%63%
BTTS No & Over 2.525%13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Italy WFinland W
Win 1st Half50%50%
Draw 1st Half38%50%
Loss 1st Half13%0%
Scored 1st Half50%75%
Conceded 1st Half13%38%
Win 2nd Half38%75%
Draw 2nd Half25%13%
Loss 2nd Half38%13%
Scored 2nd Half38%88%
Conceded 2nd Half38%50%
Over 0.5 HT63%75%
Over 1.5 HT25%50%

Recent Venue Form

Italy W (H)
DBelarus W1–1
WSerbia W3–0
DDenmark W1–1
LSweden W0–1
LBrazil W0–1
DJapan W1–1
Finland W (A)
WSerbia W3–1
WSlovakia W4–0
WLatvia W1–0
LPortugal W0–2
DBelgium W1–1
LDenmark W0–2

Number of Corners

13.0
Corners / Match
2 games
League Avg
10.3
32 games
9.0
Corners / Match
2 games
Match CornersItaly WFinland WLeague Avg
Over 6100%100%91%
Over 7100%100%81%
Over 8100%50%69%
Over 9100%50%56%
Over 10100%0%38%
Over 11100%0%31%
Over 1250%0%19%
Over 1350%0%13%

Team Corners

Team CornersItaly WFinland W
Corners Earned / Match10.07.0
Corners Against / Match3.02.0
Over 2.5 Corners For100%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For100%100%
Over 4.5 Corners For100%100%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%50%
Over 3.5 Corners Against0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against0%0%

Head to Head · 2 matches

1
Italy W
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Finland W
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
16/07/24
Italy W
4–0
Finland W
09/04/24
Finland W
2–1
Italy W
World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Hungary W6510+1916
1Switzerland W6510+1316
1Germany W6510+1716
1Portugal W6501+1315
1Kosovo W6501+1715
1Spain W6501+1815
1Wales W6420+1214
1Scotland W6420+2214
1Denmark W6420+714
1France W6411+613
1Greece W4400+712
1Romania W4310+810
1Belarus W4301+99
2Croatia W6501+1515
2England W6501+815
2Finland W6501+915
2Belgium W6420+2114
2Turkey W6411+613
2Azerbaijan W6402+612
2Norway W6402+212
2Bosnia-Herzegovina W6321+1811
2Czechia W6321+1011
2Netherlands W6321+311
2Lithuania W6321+811
2Italy W6231+89
2Kazakhstan W4211+37
2Faroe Islands W4202-16
2Moldova W4121+15
3Estonia W6321+511
3Republic of Ireland W630309
3Sweden W622208
3Albania W6213-57
3Israel W6204-106
3Iceland W6204-96
3Slovakia W6204-96
3Northern Ireland W6204+16
3Bulgaria W6204-16
3North Macedonia W6204-126
3Austria W6114-64
3Armenia W4013-121
3Cyprus W4013-91
3Georgia W4004-60
4Slovenia W6105-133
4Poland W6015-91
4Andorra W6015-131
4Montenegro W6015-171
4Serbia W6015-151
4Latvia W6006-130
4Malta W6006-200
4Liechtenstein W6006-310
4Ukraine W6006-170
4Luxembourg W6006-330
4Gibraltar W6006-310

Team Insights

Italy W
  • ●Italy W have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
  • ●Italy W have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Italy W have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●67% of Italy W's goals have been scored away.
  • ●62% of Italy W's points have been earned away.
Finland W
  • ●Finland W have won their last 7 matches.
  • ●Finland W have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Finland W have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Finland W have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Finland W have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Finland W have won their last 3 away matches.
  • ●62% of Finland W's goals have been scored at home.
Italy WItaly W
DHBelarus W1º1–1
DHBelarus W1º1–1
WABelarus W1º2–0
WABelarus W1º2–0
DASweden W3º2–2
DASweden W3º2–2
WHSerbia W4º3–0
WHSerbia W4º3–0
DADenmark W1º0–0
DADenmark W1º0–0
Finland WFinland W
WASerbia W4º3–1
WASerbia W4º3–1
WHSerbia W4º3–1
WHSerbia W4º3–1
WHPortugal W1º3–1
WHPortugal W1º3–1
WASlovakia W3º4–0
WASlovakia W3º4–0
WALatvia W4º1–0
WALatvia W4º1–0

Season Schedule

Italy W
DHBelarus W1–1
WABelarus W2–0
DASweden W2–2
WHSerbia W3–0
DADenmark W0–0
WASerbia W6–0
–AFinland W26/11
–HFinland W05/12
Finland W
WASerbia W3–1
WHSerbia W3–1
WHPortugal W3–1
WASlovakia W4–0
WALatvia W1–0
WHSlovakia W4–2
–HItaly W26/11
–AItaly W05/12

Top Scorers

Italy W
E. Oliviero2 ⚽
M. Piemonte2 ⚽
A. Caruso2 ⚽
C. Girelli1 ⚽
Elisa Polli1 ⚽
G. Greggi1 ⚽
Finland W
L. Lindstrom3 ⚽
R. Oling3 ⚽
O. Sevenius2 ⚽
E. Nystrom2 ⚽
Emma Koivisto2 ⚽
N. Lehtola2 ⚽

Cards Given

Italy W
A. Caruso2 🟨
A. Soffia2 🟨
E. Linari1 🟨
C. Salvai1 🟨
C. Girelli1 🟨
B. Bonansea1 🟨
Finland W
K. Kosola2 🟨
Adelina Engman1 🟨
E. Koivisto1 🟨