Lugano vs Canuelas — Primera C
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Lugano and Canuelas meet in the Primera C 2026 season on 19 October 2026. Lugano have recorded 11 wins from 32 matches this season (34% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Canuelas have won 53% of their 32 matches, with 1.34 goals scored and 0.69 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 28%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.96 for Lugano and 1.08 for Canuelas. The models give Lugano a 29% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Canuelas win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 34% and BTTS at 41%.
Season Statistics
Lugano—
Canuelas7º
Position
2º
1.44
PPG
1.91
34%
Win %
53%
1.09
Goals / game
1.34
0.91
Conceded / game
0.69
41%
BTTS %
44%
50%
Clean sheet %
47%
41%
Over 2.5 %
28%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lugano
Home (16)
—
Canuelas
Away (16)
1.44
PPG
1.88
31%
Win %
50%
1.19
Goals / game
1.38
0.81
Conceded / game
0.75
44%
BTTS %
50%
56%
Clean sheet %
44%
44%
Over 2.5 %
19%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lugano | Home | Away | Canuelas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 66% | 69% | 63% | 81% | 69% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 31% | 31% | 41% | 38% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 19% | 6% | 9% | 19% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 34% | 31% | 38% | 19% | 31% | 6% |
Goals Conceded
| Lugano | Home | Away | Canuelas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 44% | 56% | 53% | 50% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 31% | 31% | 16% | 13% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 6% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 56% | 44% | 47% | 50% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lugano | Canuelas | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 75% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 28% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 3% |
| BTTS | 41% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lugano | Canuelas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 34% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 56% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 31% | 31% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Lugano (H)L
Argentino Rosario2–3
Argentino Rosario2–3D
Estrella Del Sur1–1
Estrella Del Sur1–1D
Leones de Rosario0–0
Leones de Rosario0–0D
Berazategui1–1
Berazategui1–1L
Lujan1–2
Lujan1–2D
Victoriano Arenas0–0
Victoriano Arenas0–0Canuelas (A)D
El Porvenir1–1
El Porvenir1–1W
Sportivo Barracas2–0
Sportivo Barracas2–0W
General Lamadrid2–0
General Lamadrid2–0L
Atletico Atlas0–2
Atletico Atlas0–2W
Yupanqui2–1
Yupanqui2–1W
Deportivo Español1–0
Deportivo Español1–0Head to Head · 9 matches
1
Lugano
11%
2
Draws
22%
6
Canuelas
67%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
04/10/25Lugano
Canuelas
3–1Lugano27/09/25Canuelas
Lugano
0–2Canuelas08/10/14Lugano
Canuelas
5–0Lugano20/08/14Canuelas
Lugano
2–2Canuelas14/12/13Canuelas
Lugano
1–2Canuelas17/08/13Lugano
Canuelas
0–0Lugano21/08/12Canuelas
Lugano
2–1Canuelas03/03/12Canuelas
Lugano
0–1Canuelas24/09/11Lugano
Canuelas
2–0Lugano| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | +24 | 64 |
| 1 | Berazategui | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | +16 | 51 |
| 2 | Canuelas | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | +21 | 61 |
| 2 |  Sacachispas | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | +7 | 50 |
| 3 | Deportivo Español | 32 | 12 | 16 | 4 | +10 | 52 |
| 3 | Estrella Del Sur | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | +3 | 48 |
| 4 | Leones de Rosario | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | +6 | 51 |
| 4 |  Centro Español | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | +13 | 47 |
| 5 |  Central Cordoba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | +9 | 49 |
| 5 |  Mercedes | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | +7 | 47 |
| 6 | Victoriano Arenas | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 | Lugano | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | +6 | 46 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 |  Juventud Unida | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | +6 | 45 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | -4 | 40 |
| 8 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 26 |
| 9 |  Puerto Nuevo | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 41 |
| 9 |  Central Ballester | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -5 | 38 |
| 10 | Atletico Atlas | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -5 | 37 |
| 10 |  Defensores de Cambaceres | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 |  Claypole | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | -13 | 36 |
| 11 |  JJ Urquiza | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | -5 | 35 |
| 12 | Yupanqui | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -3 | 35 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Paraguayo | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -18 | 32 |
| 13 |  Fénix | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 |  Leandro N. Alem | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -28 | 31 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Muñiz | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -15 | 29 |
| 14 | Argentino Rosario | 32 | 4 | 15 | 13 | -12 | 27 |
Team Insights
Lugano- ●Lugano have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Lugano have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Lugano have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Lugano have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Lugano have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
Canuelas- ●Canuelas have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Canuelas have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Canuelas have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Canuelas have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Canuelas have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Canuelas have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Canuelas have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Canuelas have won 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Canuelas have scored in 15 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
LuganoLAMercedes0–1
Mercedes0–1LHArgentino Rosario2–3
Argentino Rosario2–3DADeportivo Paraguayo1–1
Deportivo Paraguayo1–1DHEstrella Del Sur1–1
Estrella Del Sur1–1DHLeones de Rosario0–0
Leones de Rosario0–0WAPuerto Nuevo1–0
Puerto Nuevo1–0–HCanuelas19/10
Canuelas19/10CanuelasWHCentral Ballester4–0
Central Ballester4–0DAEl Porvenir1–1
El Porvenir1–1WHFénix2–1
Fénix2–1WASportivo Barracas2–0
Sportivo Barracas2–0WHVictoriano Arenas2–0
Victoriano Arenas2–0WHLujan3–2
Lujan3–2–ALugano19/10
Lugano19/10Top Scorers
LuganoG. Urruchua8 ⚽
J. Iglesias5 ⚽
M. Coselli4 ⚽
A. N. Gomez3 ⚽
R. Soria3 ⚽
J. C. Julian2 ⚽
CanuelasJ. Arias11 ⚽
D. Aguirre7 ⚽
T. Roca7 ⚽
M. Tarrio6 ⚽
V. Lazarte3 ⚽
A. Scelzi2 ⚽
Cards Given
LuganoR. Soria3 🟨
T. Cagliari2 🟨
N. Campa1 🟨
A. Calo1 🟨
1 🟨
P. Quiroga1 🟨
CanuelasE. Ibanez1 🟨
H. Ortiz1 🟨
R. De Mario1 🟨
T. Roca1 🟨
T. Ybarra1 🟨