Canuelas vs Lugano — Primera C
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Canuelas and Lugano meet in the Primera C 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Canuelas have recorded 17 wins from 32 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.34 goals scored and 0.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 28%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Lugano have won 33% of their 33 matches, with 1.06 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 39%, Over 2.5 at 39%, and clean sheets at 48%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.17 for Canuelas and 0.81 for Lugano. The models give Canuelas a 52% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Lugano win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 32% and BTTS at 38%.
Season Statistics
Canuelas—
Lugano2º
Position
7º
1.91
PPG
1.44
53%
Win %
34%
1.34
Goals / game
1.09
0.69
Conceded / game
0.91
44%
BTTS %
39%
47%
Clean sheet %
48%
28%
Over 2.5 %
39%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Canuelas
Home (16)
—
Lugano
Away (16)
1.94
PPG
1.44
56%
Win %
38%
1.31
Goals / game
1.00
0.63
Conceded / game
1.00
38%
BTTS %
38%
50%
Clean sheet %
44%
38%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Canuelas | Home | Away | Lugano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 69% | 94% | 64% | 65% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 38% | 41% | 30% | 29% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 19% | 0% | 12% | 18% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 31% | 6% | 36% | 35% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Canuelas | Home | Away | Lugano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 52% | 50% | 53% | 52% | 47% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 15% | 13% | 18% | 30% | 29% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 6% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 48% | 50% | 47% | 48% | 53% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Canuelas | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 | 12% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 9% |
| BTTS | 42% | 39% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 24% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Canuelas | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 61% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 24% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 58% | 48% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 12% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 52% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Canuelas (H)W
Central Ballester4–0
Central Ballester4–0W
Fénix2–1
Fénix2–1W
Victoriano Arenas2–0
Victoriano Arenas2–0W
Lujan3–2
Lujan3–2W
Leones de Rosario1–0
Leones de Rosario1–0L
Estrella Del Sur1–2
Estrella Del Sur1–2Lugano (A)L
Mercedes0–1
Mercedes0–1D
Deportivo Paraguayo1–1
Deportivo Paraguayo1–1W
Puerto Nuevo1–0
Puerto Nuevo1–0W
Leandro N. Alem1–0
Leandro N. Alem1–0W
Defensores de Cambaceres2–1
Defensores de Cambaceres2–1D
Juventud Unida0–0
Juventud Unida0–0Head to Head · 10 matches
7
Canuelas
70%
2
Draws
20%
1
Lugano
10%
70%
Over 1.5
7/10
50%
Over 2.5
5/10
30%
Over 3.5
3/10
40%
BTTS
4/10
19/10/26Canuelas
Lugano
0–1Canuelas04/10/25Lugano
Canuelas
3–1Lugano27/09/25Canuelas
Lugano
0–2Canuelas08/10/14Lugano
Canuelas
5–0Lugano20/08/14Canuelas
Lugano
2–2Canuelas14/12/13Canuelas
Lugano
1–2Canuelas17/08/13Lugano
Canuelas
0–0Lugano21/08/12Canuelas
Lugano
2–1Canuelas03/03/12Canuelas
Lugano
0–1Canuelas24/09/11Lugano
Canuelas
2–0Lugano| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | +24 | 64 |
| 1 |  Berazategui | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | +16 | 51 |
| 2 | Canuelas | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | +21 | 61 |
| 2 |  Sacachispas | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | +7 | 50 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Español | 32 | 12 | 16 | 4 | +10 | 52 |
| 3 | Estrella Del Sur | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | +3 | 48 |
| 4 | Leones de Rosario | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | +6 | 51 |
| 4 |  Centro Español | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | +13 | 47 |
| 5 |  Central Cordoba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | +9 | 49 |
| 5 | Mercedes | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | +7 | 47 |
| 6 | Victoriano Arenas | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 6 |  General Lamadrid | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 | Lugano | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | +6 | 46 |
| 7 |  Sportivo Barracas | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Juventud Unida | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | +6 | 45 |
| 8 |  El Porvenir | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | -4 | 40 |
| 8 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 26 |
| 9 | Puerto Nuevo | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 41 |
| 9 | Central Ballester | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -5 | 38 |
| 10 |  Atletico Atlas | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -5 | 37 |
| 10 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 |  Claypole | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | -13 | 36 |
| 11 |  JJ Urquiza | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | -5 | 35 |
| 12 |  Yupanqui | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -3 | 35 |
| 12 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -18 | 32 |
| 13 | Fénix | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Leandro N. Alem | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -28 | 31 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Muñiz | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -15 | 29 |
| 14 |  Argentino Rosario | 32 | 4 | 15 | 13 | -12 | 27 |
Team Insights
Canuelas- ●Canuelas have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Canuelas have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Canuelas have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Canuelas have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Canuelas have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Canuelas have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Canuelas have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Canuelas have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Canuelas have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Canuelas have won 9 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Canuelas have scored in 16 of their 17 away matches.
Lugano- ●Lugano have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Lugano have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Lugano failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lugano have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Lugano have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Lugano have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Lugano have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
CanuelasWALugano1–0
Lugano1–0WHCentral Ballester4–0
Central Ballester4–0DAEl Porvenir1–1
El Porvenir1–1WHFénix2–1
Fénix2–1WASportivo Barracas2–0
Sportivo Barracas2–0WHVictoriano Arenas2–0
Victoriano Arenas2–0–HLugano24/10
Lugano24/10LuganoLHCanuelas0–1
Canuelas0–1LAMercedes0–1
Mercedes0–1LHArgentino Rosario2–3
Argentino Rosario2–3DADeportivo Paraguayo1–1
Deportivo Paraguayo1–1DHEstrella Del Sur1–1
Estrella Del Sur1–1DHLeones de Rosario0–0
Leones de Rosario0–0–ACanuelas24/10
Canuelas24/10Top Scorers
CanuelasJ. Arias11 ⚽
D. Aguirre7 ⚽
T. Roca7 ⚽
M. Tarrio6 ⚽
V. Lazarte3 ⚽
A. Scelzi2 ⚽
LuganoG. Urruchua8 ⚽
J. Iglesias5 ⚽
M. Coselli4 ⚽
A. N. Gomez3 ⚽
R. Soria3 ⚽
J. C. Julian2 ⚽
Cards Given
CanuelasE. Ibanez1 🟨
H. Ortiz1 🟨
R. De Mario1 🟨
T. Roca1 🟨
T. Ybarra1 🟨
LuganoR. Soria3 🟨
T. Cagliari2 🟨
N. Campa1 🟨
A. Calo1 🟨
1 🟨
P. Quiroga1 🟨