Leones de Rosario vs Mercedes — Primera C
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Leones de Rosario and Mercedes meet in the Primera C 2026 season on 26 October 2026. Leones de Rosario have recorded 13 wins from 33 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 0.97 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 39% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 24%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Mercedes have won 39% of their 33 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 30%, Over 2.5 at 18%, and clean sheets at 48%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.02 for Leones de Rosario and 0.84 for Mercedes. The models give Leones de Rosario a 42% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Mercedes win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 29% and BTTS at 37%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Leones de | Home | Away | Mercedes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 69% | 65% | 67% | 76% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 38% | 24% | 21% | 29% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 31% | 35% | 33% | 24% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| Leones de | Home | Away | Mercedes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 63% | 47% | 52% | 41% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 38% | 53% | 48% | 59% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leones de | Mercedes | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 | 24% | 18% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 6% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 6% |
| BTTS | 39% | 30% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 3% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 24% | 9% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leones de | Mercedes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 61% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 27% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 39% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 27% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 48% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | +24 | 64 | |
| 1 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | +16 | 51 | |
| 2 | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | +21 | 61 | |
| 2 | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | +7 | 50 | |
| 3 | 32 | 12 | 16 | 4 | +10 | 52 | |
| 3 | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | +3 | 48 | |
| 4 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | +6 | 51 | |
| 4 | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | +13 | 47 | |
| 5 | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | +9 | 49 | |
| 5 | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | +7 | 47 | |
| 6 | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 47 | |
| 6 | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | -4 | 41 | |
| 7 | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | +6 | 46 | |
| 7 | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 40 | |
| 8 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | +6 | 45 | |
| 8 | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | -4 | 40 | |
| 8 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 26 | |
| 9 | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 41 | |
| 9 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -5 | 38 | |
| 10 | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -5 | 37 | |
| 10 | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | -9 | 36 | |
| 11 | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | -13 | 36 | |
| 11 | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | -5 | 35 | |
| 12 | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -3 | 35 | |
| 12 | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -18 | 32 | |
| 13 | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -8 | 34 | |
| 13 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -28 | 31 | |
| 14 | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -15 | 29 | |
| 14 | 32 | 4 | 15 | 13 | -12 | 27 |
Team Insights
- ●Leones de Rosario have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Leones de Rosario have won 6 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Mercedes have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Mercedes have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Mercedes have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mercedes have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Mercedes have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 17 home matches.
- ●64% of Mercedes's goals have been scored at home.