La Luz vs Miramar — Segunda División
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La Luz and Miramar meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 25 October 2026. La Luz have recorded 9 wins from 29 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 0.90 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 31%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Miramar have won 31% of their 36 matches, with 1.08 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for La Luz and 1.19 for Miramar. The models give La Luz a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Miramar win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
La Luz—
Miramar9º
Position
10º
1.17
PPG
0.83
17%
Win %
17%
0.83
Goals / game
0.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.17
38%
BTTS %
56%
45%
Clean sheet %
14%
31%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
La Luz
Home (3)
—
Miramar
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
0.33
33%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
0.67
1.67
Conceded / game
1.67
50%
BTTS %
72%
29%
Clean sheet %
0%
43%
Over 2.5 %
61%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| La Luz | Home | Away | Miramar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 59% | 71% | 47% | 67% | 61% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 28% | 50% | 7% | 22% | 11% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 7% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 41% | 29% | 53% | 33% | 39% | 28% |
Goals Conceded
| La Luz | Home | Away | Miramar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 71% | 40% | 86% | 72% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 50% | 13% | 31% | 22% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 14% | 7% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 29% | 60% | 14% | 28% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| La Luz | Miramar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 76% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 59% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 31% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 6% |
| BTTS | 38% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| La Luz | Miramar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 52% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
La Luz (H)D
Plaza Colonia1–1
Plaza Colonia1–1W
CA River Plate3–2
CA River Plate3–2L
Atenas0–1
Atenas0–1L
Sportivo Huracan1–3
Sportivo Huracan1–3L
Oriental0–2
Oriental0–2L
Rentistas2–5
Rentistas2–5Miramar (A)DAtenas1–1
Atenas1–1W
Ferrymead Bays4–1
Ferrymead Bays4–1LSportivo Huracan1–2
Sportivo Huracan1–2D
Napier City Rovers1–1
Napier City Rovers1–1WOriental3–1
Oriental3–1D
Fenix1–1
Fenix1–1Head to Head · 3 matches
2
La Luz
67%
1
Draws
33%
0
Miramar
0%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
26/07/26La Luz
Miramar
0–1La Luz29/07/22La Luz
Miramar
1–1La Luz08/05/22Miramar
La Luz
3–1Miramar| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atenas | 49 | 24 | 8 | 17 | +16 | 80 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | +6 | 36 |
| 3 |  Colón | 49 | 21 | 15 | 13 | +23 | 78 |
| 4 | Oriental | 49 | 20 | 18 | 11 | +12 | 78 |
| 5 | Fenix | 49 | 19 | 13 | 17 | +8 | 70 |
| 5 | CA River Plate | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | +6 | 33 |
| 6 | Rentistas | 49 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 0 | 68 |
| 7 |  Tacuarembo | 49 | 17 | 17 | 15 | -1 | 68 |
| 8 |  Paysandu | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 |  Cerrito | 49 | 13 | 15 | 21 | -21 | 54 |
| 11 | Miramar | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | -2 | 29 |
| 12 | La Luz | 48 | 9 | 24 | 15 | -14 | 51 |
| 12 | Sportivo Huracan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 |  Uruguay Montevideo | 49 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -29 | 44 |
Team Insights
La Luz- ●La Luz have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●La Luz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●La Luz have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●La Luz failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●La Luz have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●69% of La Luz's goals have been scored at home.
- ●68% of La Luz's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Miramar- ●Miramar have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Miramar have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Miramar have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Miramar have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Miramar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Miramar have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Miramar failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Miramar failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 14 away matches.
- ●65% of Miramar's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
La LuzWATacuarembo1–0
Tacuarembo1–0DHPlaza Colonia1–1
Plaza Colonia1–1WHCA River Plate3–2
CA River Plate3–2WACerrito2–1
Cerrito2–1LHAtenas0–1
Atenas0–1WAPaysandu1–0
Paysandu1–0–HMiramar25/10
Miramar25/10MiramarWHCerrito1–0
Cerrito1–0DAAtenas1–1
Atenas1–1WHPaysandu1–0
Paysandu1–0LASportivo Huracan1–2
Sportivo Huracan1–2WHUruguay Montevideo1–0
Uruguay Montevideo1–0WAOriental3–1
Oriental3–1–ALa Luz25/10
La Luz25/10Top Scorers
La Luz7 ⚽
J. Gottesman4 ⚽
F. Sosa2 ⚽
F. Martirena2 ⚽
D. Vega2 ⚽
L. Suarez1 ⚽
Miramar7 ⚽
A. de Freitas5 ⚽
B. Abatte5 ⚽
A. Gonzalez3 ⚽
J. Harris2 ⚽
A. Hewson2 ⚽
Cards Given
La Luz6 🟨
F. Martirena2 🟨
A. Prieto1 🟨
G. Peralta1 🟨
Miramar2 🟨
B. Abatte1 🟨
G. Acevedo1 🟨