UCD vs Longford Town — First Division
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UCD Bowl·Dublin·Ireland·3,000
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UCD and Longford Town meet in the First Division 2026 season on 27 October 2026. UCD have recorded 17 wins from 41 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Longford Town have won 37% of their 41 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.51 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for UCD and 1.13 for Longford Town. The models give UCD a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Longford Town win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
UCD—
Longford Town3º
Position
5º
1.63
PPG
1.29
50%
Win %
33%
1.71
Goals / game
1.17
1.21
Conceded / game
1.33
63%
BTTS %
54%
29%
Clean sheet %
27%
63%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
UCD
Home (12)
—
Longford Town
Away (12)
2.08
PPG
0.92
67%
Win %
17%
1.92
Goals / game
1.17
0.83
Conceded / game
1.75
60%
BTTS %
61%
30%
Clean sheet %
22%
60%
Over 2.5 %
61%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| UCD | Home | Away | Longford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 85% | 86% | 73% | 72% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 55% | 33% | 34% | 39% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 25% | 19% | 15% | 17% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 15% | 14% | 27% | 28% | 26% |
Goals Conceded
| UCD | Home | Away | Longford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 70% | 71% | 73% | 67% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 40% | 43% | 46% | 28% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 0% | 26% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 30% | 29% | 27% | 33% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UCD | Longford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 20% |
| BTTS | 63% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 51% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UCD | Longford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 34% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 34% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
UCD (H)DLongford Town1–1
Longford Town1–1L
Bray Wanderers1–3
Bray Wanderers1–3D
Athlone Town2–2
Athlone Town2–2W
Finn Harps5–4
Finn Harps5–4L
Derry City1–2
Derry City1–2W
Wexford4–1
Wexford4–1Longford Town (A)DUCD1–1
UCD1–1DWexford3–3
Wexford3–3WFinn Harps1–0
Finn Harps1–0D
Cobh Ramblers2–2
Cobh Ramblers2–2L
Bohemians0–4
Bohemians0–4LAthlone Town1–2
Athlone Town1–2Head to Head · 16 matches
8
UCD
50%
5
Draws
31%
3
Longford Town
19%
75%
Over 1.5
12/16
50%
Over 2.5
8/16
19%
Over 3.5
3/16
63%
BTTS
10/16
09/10/26Longford Town
UCD
1–1Longford Town04/07/26UCD
Longford Town
2–1UCD01/05/26Longford Town
UCD
2–0Longford Town07/03/26UCD
Longford Town
0–0UCD12/09/25Longford Town
UCD
2–1Longford Town28/06/25UCD
Longford Town
0–2UCD09/05/25Longford Town
UCD
1–1Longford Town12/04/25UCD
Longford Town
0–1UCD18/10/24Longford Town
UCD
2–2Longford Town27/07/24UCD
Longford Town
1–2UCD03/05/24Longford Town
UCD
1–0Longford Town29/03/24UCD
Longford Town
1–2UCD27/08/21Longford Town
UCD
2–1Longford Town31/10/20Longford Town
UCD
2–3Longford Town21/09/20UCD
Longford Town
3–1UCD31/07/20Longford Town
UCD
0–0Longford Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cork City | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | +39 | 75 |
| 2 | UCD | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | +16 | 56 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | +14 | 54 |
| 4 |  Kerry | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | +4 | 52 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | +3 | 52 |
| 6 | Cobh Ramblers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 49 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | -1 | 48 |
| 8 | Wexford | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | -14 | 42 |
| 9 |  Treaty United | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | -16 | 42 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -37 | 28 |
Team Insights
UCD- ●UCD have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●UCD have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●UCD failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●UCD have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●UCD have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●UCD have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●UCD failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 18 home matches.
- ●UCD have scored in 15 of their 18 away matches.
Longford Town- ●Longford Town have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Longford Town have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Longford Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Longford Town have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Longford Town have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Longford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Longford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Longford Town have scored in 14 of their 18 away matches.
Season Schedule
UCDWAWexford5–2
Wexford5–2DHLongford Town1–1
Longford Town1–1WATreaty United4–0
Treaty United4–0LHBray Wanderers1–3
Bray Wanderers1–3LACork City1–5
Cork City1–5DHAthlone Town2–2
Athlone Town2–2–ALongford Town24/10
Longford Town24/10–HLongford Town27/10
Longford Town27/10Longford TownWHAthlone Town1–0
Athlone Town1–0DAUCD1–1
UCD1–1DAWexford3–3
Wexford3–3WHCork City2–1
Cork City2–1WAFinn Harps1–0
Finn Harps1–0LHTreaty United0–2
Treaty United0–2–HUCD24/10
UCD24/10–AUCD27/10
UCD27/10Top Scorers
UCDH. Smith15 ⚽
C. Behan14 ⚽
L. Dignam10 ⚽
C. Akinrintayo7 ⚽
K. Cailloce5 ⚽
N. Holohan4 ⚽
Longford TownS. Ugbesia8 ⚽
D. Williams8 ⚽
A. Doran8 ⚽
D. Murtagh7 ⚽
A. O'Brien5 ⚽
J. Bailey5 ⚽
Cards Given
UCDL. Dignam9 🟨
M. McCullagh8 🟨
S. Murphy7 🟨
E. Clancy6 🟨
C. Lennox5 🟨
A. Wells4 🟨
Longford TownP. Manuel9 🟨
S. Adenekan8 🟨
A. O'Brien8 🟨
D. Murtagh7 🟨
7 🟨
D. McKenna6 🟨