Danubio vs Club Nacional — Primera División
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Danubio and Club Nacional meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Danubio have recorded 8 wins from 38 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 0.97 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 37%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Club Nacional have won 50% of their 50 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Danubio and 1.34 for Club Nacional. The models give Danubio a 36% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Club Nacional win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Danubio—
Club Nacional11º
Position
7º
1.20
PPG
1.47
27%
Win %
47%
1.13
Goals / game
1.73
1.40
Conceded / game
1.40
45%
BTTS %
50%
24%
Clean sheet %
38%
37%
Over 2.5 %
52%
4.0
Avg corners
5.2
9.0
Avg shots
9.2
3.0
Avg shots on target
3.6
3.3
Avg yellow cards
2.5
0.0
Avg fouls
10.3
48.3%
Avg possession
43.6%
Home vs Away
Danubio
Home (7)
—
Club Nacional
Away (8)
1.43
PPG
1.50
29%
Win %
50%
1.43
Goals / game
1.88
0.86
Conceded / game
2.00
56%
BTTS %
57%
28%
Clean sheet %
30%
33%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.0
Avg corners
5.2
9.0
Avg shots
9.2
3.0
Avg shots on target
3.6
3.3
Avg yellow cards
2.5
48.3%
Avg possession
43.6%
Goals Scored
| Danubio | Home | Away | Club Nacional | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 67% | 45% | 78% | 78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 28% | 20% | 42% | 41% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 11% | 5% | 18% | 22% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 33% | 55% | 22% | 22% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Danubio | Home | Away | Club Nacional | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 72% | 80% | 62% | 56% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 22% | 40% | 34% | 26% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 6% | 15% | 14% | 4% | 26% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 28% | 20% | 38% | 44% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Danubio | Club Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 14% |
| BTTS | 45% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 26% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Danubio | Club Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 26% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Danubio (H)W
Central Espanol1–0
Central Espanol1–0W
Cerro Largo2–1
Cerro Largo2–1D
Penarol1–1
Penarol1–1D
Wanderers1–1
Wanderers1–1LPenarol0–4
Penarol0–4W
Atenas3–2
Atenas3–2Club Nacional (A)WCentral Espanol1–0
Central Espanol1–0WCerro Largo2–0
Cerro Largo2–0W
Progreso1–0
Progreso1–0DWanderers1–1
Wanderers1–1W
CA River Plate3–2
CA River Plate3–2WPenarol1–0
Penarol1–0Number of Corners
10.3
Corners / Match
3 games
League Avg
8.8
25 games
11.2
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Danubio | Club Nacional | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 91% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 91% | 56% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 73% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 64% | 28% |
| Over 10 | 67% | 45% | 24% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 45% | 16% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 27% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 18% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Danubio | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.3 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 64% |
Head to Head · 32 matches
11
Danubio
34%
5
Draws
16%
16
Club Nacional
50%
72%
Over 1.5
23/32
44%
Over 2.5
14/32
13%
Over 3.5
4/32
41%
BTTS
13/32
11/07/26Club Nacional
Danubio
0–0Club Nacional25/04/26Danubio
Club Nacional
1–2Danubio12/10/25Club Nacional
Danubio
0–0Club Nacional29/06/25Danubio
Club Nacional
3–2Danubio13/04/25Danubio
Club Nacional
2–0Danubio28/11/24Club Nacional
Danubio
0–0Club Nacional13/07/24Club Nacional
Danubio
0–6Club Nacional25/05/24Danubio
Club Nacional
1–0Danubio16/11/23Danubio
Club Nacional
1–3Danubio09/04/23Club Nacional
Danubio
0–0Club Nacional23/10/22Danubio
Club Nacional
2–0Danubio25/06/22Club Nacional
Danubio
0–1Club Nacional05/06/22Club Nacional
Danubio
2–1Club Nacional13/03/21Club Nacional
Danubio
2–1Club Nacional13/09/20Danubio
Club Nacional
2–0Danubio09/10/19Danubio
Club Nacional
1–0Danubio21/07/19Club Nacional
Danubio
1–2Club Nacional16/03/19Club Nacional
Danubio
2–0Club Nacional04/11/18Danubio
Club Nacional
1–0Danubio05/05/18Club Nacional
Danubio
1–2Club Nacional| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 70 | 43 | 13 | 14 | +56 | 142 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 70 | 42 | 14 | 14 | +54 | 137 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | +21 | 59 |
| 4 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 70 | 32 | 22 | 16 | +27 | 118 |
| 5 |  Racing Montevideo | 70 | 29 | 22 | 19 | +13 | 109 |
| 6 |  Atletico Torque | 70 | 30 | 16 | 24 | +18 | 106 |
| 7 |  Juventud | 70 | 28 | 17 | 25 | +2 | 101 |
| 8 |  Defensor Sporting | 70 | 26 | 18 | 26 | -6 | 96 |
| 8 |  Albion FC | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | +1 | 43 |
| 9 |  Boston River | 70 | 24 | 20 | 26 | +1 | 92 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 70 | 20 | 23 | 27 | -8 | 83 |
| 12 |  Cerro | 70 | 22 | 18 | 30 | -30 | 83 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 70 | 20 | 21 | 29 | -23 | 81 |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | -12 | 38 |
| 15 | Danubio | 70 | 16 | 27 | 27 | -14 | 75 |
| 16 | Progreso | 70 | 19 | 14 | 37 | -39 | 71 |
Team Insights
Danubio- ●Danubio have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Danubio have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Danubio failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Danubio failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Danubio have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Club Nacional- ●Club Nacional have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Club Nacional have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Club Nacional have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Club Nacional have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Club Nacional have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Club Nacional have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Club Nacional have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Club Nacional have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Club Nacional have won 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Club Nacional have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
DanubioWHCentral Espanol1–0
Central Espanol1–0LAAtletico Torque0–1
Atletico Torque0–1WHCerro Largo2–1
Cerro Largo2–1LADefensor Sporting0–1
Defensor Sporting0–1DHWanderers1–1
Wanderers1–1DAJuventud1–1
Juventud1–1–ADeportivo Maldonado24/10
Deportivo Maldonado24/10–HClub Nacional01/11
Club Nacional01/11Club NacionalWHDeportivo Maldonado3–2
Deportivo Maldonado3–2WACentral Espanol1–0
Central Espanol1–0WHAtletico Torque2–0
Atletico Torque2–0WACerro Largo2–0
Cerro Largo2–0WHDefensor Sporting3–2
Defensor Sporting3–2DAWanderers1–1
Wanderers1–1–HLiverpool Montevideo25/10
Liverpool Montevideo25/10–ADanubio01/11
Danubio01/11Top Scorers
DanubioE. Cabrera6 ⚽
S. Fernandez5 ⚽
M. Ferreira5 ⚽
M. Peralta5 ⚽
Mateo peralta2 ⚽
S. Rodriguez2 ⚽
Club NacionalM. Gomez20 ⚽
T. Veron6 ⚽
M. Silvera6 ⚽
T. Correa4 ⚽
F. Calvo3 ⚽
L. Boggio3 ⚽
Cards Given
DanubioS. Rodriguez6 🟨
M. Brasil5 🟨
Tomás Cavanagh5 🟨
Iván Rossi4 🟨
E. Velazquez4 🟨
M. Rinaldi4 🟨
Club NacionalL. Rodriguez8 🟨
Maximiliano Gómez6 🟨
M. Gomez6 🟨
E. Ancheta6 🟨
Sebastián Coates6 🟨
T. Viera6 🟨