Paracatu vs Nacional AC MG — Mineiro - 3
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Paracatu and Nacional AC MG meet in the Mineiro - 3 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Paracatu have recorded 4 wins from 5 matches this season (80% win rate), averaging 2.40 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 20% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 60% of games. Nacional AC MG have won 60% of their 5 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for Paracatu and 1.08 for Nacional AC MG. The models give Paracatu a 56% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Nacional AC MG win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
ParacatuNacional AC MGHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Paracatu | Home | Away | Nacional AC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 50% | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 50% | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 67% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Paracatu | Home | Away | Nacional AC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 40% | 0% | 100% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 100% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paracatu | Nacional AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS | 20% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 40% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paracatu | Nacional AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 80% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 0% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 80% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 60% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 20% | 0% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Paracatu (H)
Betim 22–0
Funorte3–0
Siderurgica5–0
Novo Esporte Clube0–0
BOA1–1
Essube1–1Nacional AC (A)Novo Esporte Clube0–1
Inter de Minas1–0
Valeriodoce2–2
Betim0–0
Democrata SL0–1
Guarani MG0–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paracatu | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 12 |
| 1 |  Venda Nova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 2 | Betim 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | Novo Esporte Clube | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +21 | 10 |
| 3 | Nacional AC MG | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 |  Sao Joao del Rei | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 |  Nova Lavras | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 9 |
| 4 |  Araxá | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 | Funorte | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 5 | Inter de Minas | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 6 | Siderurgica | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -12 | 1 |
| 6 |  Santarritense | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -52 | 0 |
Team Insights
Paracatu- ●Paracatu have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Paracatu have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●83% of Paracatu's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Paracatu's points have been earned at home.
Nacional AC- ●Nacional AC MG have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
Season Schedule
ParacatuBetim 22–0Sao Joao del Rei0–1Funorte3–0Araxá2–1Siderurgica5–0Nacional AC MG24/10Betim 231/10Sao Joao del Rei07/11Nacional ACVenda Nova1–1Novo Esporte Clube0–1Nova Lavras2–1Inter de Minas1–0Santarritense3–0Paracatu24/10Venda Nova01/11Betim 207/11Top Scorers
ParacatuNacional ACCards Given
ParacatuNacional AC