Venda Nova vs Sao Joao del Rei — Mineiro - 3
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Venda Nova and Sao Joao del Rei meet in the Mineiro - 3 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Venda Nova have recorded 3 wins from 5 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 2.80 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 60% of games. Sao Joao del Rei have won 60% of their 5 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 20%, Over 2.5 at 20%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.92 for Venda Nova and 1.54 for Sao Joao del Rei. The models give Venda Nova a 48% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Sao Joao del Rei win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Venda NovaSao Joao del ReiHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Venda Nova | Home | Away | Sao Joao | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 67% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 100% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 50% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Venda Nova | Home | Away | Sao Joao | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 40% | 50% | 33% | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 50% | 67% | 40% | 67% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Venda Nova | Sao Joao | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 40% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Venda Nova | Sao Joao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 80% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 60% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 20% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 0% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 80% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Venda Nova (H)
Inter de Minas3–0
Nova Lavras2–1Sao Joao (A)
Siderurgica4–1
Funorte0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paracatu | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 12 |
| 1 | Venda Nova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 2 |  Betim 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 |  Novo Esporte Clube | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +21 | 10 |
| 3 |  Nacional AC MG | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 | Sao Joao del Rei | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Nova Lavras | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 9 |
| 4 |  Araxá | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 | Funorte | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 5 | Inter de Minas | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 6 | Siderurgica | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -12 | 1 |
| 6 |  Santarritense | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -52 | 0 |
Team Insights
Venda Nova- ●Venda Nova have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Venda Nova have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Venda Nova have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of Venda Nova's goals have been scored away.
Sao Joao- ●Sao Joao del Rei have won their last 2 matches.
Season Schedule
Venda NovaNacional AC MG1–1Inter de Minas3–0Novo Esporte Clube0–0Santarritense8–0Nova Lavras2–1Sao Joao del Rei24/10Nacional AC MG01/11Novo Esporte Clube07/11Sao JoaoSiderurgica4–1Paracatu1–0Betim 20–1Funorte0–1Araxá2–0Venda Nova24/10Novo Esporte Clube30/10Paracatu07/11Top Scorers
Venda NovaSao JoaoCards Given
Venda NovaSao Joao