Novo Esporte Clube vs Paracatu — Mineiro - 3
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Novo Esporte Clube and Paracatu meet in the Mineiro - 3 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Novo Esporte Clube have recorded 3 wins from 5 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 5.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Paracatu have won 80% of their 5 matches, with 2.40 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 20%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 60%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Novo Esporte Clube and 1.24 for Paracatu. The models give Novo Esporte Clube a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Paracatu win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Novo Esporte ClubeParacatuHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Novo Esporte | Home | Away | Paracatu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 67% | 50% | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 33% | 50% | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 50% | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 33% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Novo Esporte | Home | Away | Paracatu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 33% | 100% | 40% | 0% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 67% | 0% | 60% | 100% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Novo Esporte | Paracatu | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 40% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Novo Esporte | Paracatu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 80% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 0% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 80% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 60% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 20% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Novo Esporte (H)
Nacional AC MG1–0
Venda Nova0–0
Inter de Minas2–1
Coimbra0–2
Essube2–0Inter de Minas2–1Paracatu (A)
Sao Joao del Rei0–1
Araxá2–1
Tupi2–1Coimbra1–2Essube2–0
Juventus FC Minas Novas1–1Head to Head · 1 matches
Novo Esporte Clube| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paracatu | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 12 |
| 1 | Venda Nova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 2 |  Betim 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | Novo Esporte Clube | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +21 | 10 |
| 3 | Nacional AC MG | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 | Sao Joao del Rei | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 |  Nova Lavras | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 9 |
| 4 | Araxá | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 |  Funorte | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 5 | Inter de Minas | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 6 |  Siderurgica | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -12 | 1 |
| 6 |  Santarritense | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -52 | 0 |
Team Insights
Novo Esporte- ●Novo Esporte Clube have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Novo Esporte Clube have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Novo Esporte Clube have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●88% of Novo Esporte Clube's goals have been scored away.
Paracatu- ●Paracatu have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Paracatu have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●83% of Paracatu's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Paracatu's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Novo EsporteSantarritense23–1Nacional AC MG1–0Venda Nova0–0Nova Lavras0–3Inter de Minas2–1Betim 224/10Sao Joao del Rei30/10Venda Nova07/11ParacatuBetim 22–0Sao Joao del Rei0–1Funorte3–0Araxá2–1Siderurgica5–0Nacional AC MG24/10Betim 231/10Sao Joao del Rei07/11Top Scorers
Novo EsporteParacatuCards Given
Novo EsporteParacatu