Nacional AC MG vs Novo Esporte Clube — Mineiro - 3
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Nacional AC MG and Novo Esporte Clube meet in the Mineiro - 3 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Nacional AC MG have recorded 3 wins from 5 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Novo Esporte Clube have won 60% of their 5 matches, with 5.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Nacional AC MG and 3.18 for Novo Esporte Clube. The models give Nacional AC MG a 28% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Novo Esporte Clube win at 52%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 88% and BTTS at 82%.
Season Statistics
Nacional AC MGNovo Esporte ClubeHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nacional AC | Home | Away | Novo Esporte | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 50% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 67% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Nacional AC | Home | Away | Novo Esporte | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 67% | 50% | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% | 67% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nacional AC | Novo Esporte | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nacional AC | Novo Esporte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 0% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Nacional AC (H)
Venda Nova1–1
Nova Lavras2–1
Santarritense3–0
North Esporte0–3
Guarani MG2–1
Betim1–1Novo Esporte (A)Santarritense23–1Nova Lavras0–3
Paracatu0–0
BOA0–3
Tupi3–0
Boston City FC Brasil2–3Head to Head · 1 matches
Nacional AC MG| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paracatu | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 12 |
| 1 | Venda Nova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 2 |  Betim 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | Novo Esporte Clube | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +21 | 10 |
| 3 | Nacional AC MG | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 |  Sao Joao del Rei | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Nova Lavras | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 9 |
| 4 |  Araxá | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 |  Funorte | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 5 |  Inter de Minas | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 6 |  Siderurgica | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -12 | 1 |
| 6 | Santarritense | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -52 | 0 |
Team Insights
Nacional AC- ●Nacional AC MG have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
Novo Esporte- ●Novo Esporte Clube have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Novo Esporte Clube have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Novo Esporte Clube have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●88% of Novo Esporte Clube's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
Nacional ACVenda Nova1–1Novo Esporte Clube0–1Nova Lavras2–1Inter de Minas1–0Santarritense3–0Paracatu24/10Venda Nova01/11Betim 207/11Novo EsporteSantarritense23–1Nacional AC MG1–0Venda Nova0–0Nova Lavras0–3Inter de Minas2–1Betim 224/10Sao Joao del Rei30/10Venda Nova07/11Top Scorers
Nacional ACNovo Esporte