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Ulaanbaatar vs Deren — Premier League

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Mongolia · Premier League · Regular Season - 11
Ulaanbaatar
Ulaanbaatar
1º · 2.75 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 4d 3h
vs
–
–
Deren
Deren
3º · 2.13 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 4d 0h
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Ulaanbaatar and Deren meet in the Premier League 2027 season on 29 October 2026. Ulaanbaatar have recorded 8 wins from 9 matches this season (89% win rate), averaging 4.44 goals scored and 0.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 22% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 78% of games. Deren have won 67% of their 9 matches, with 3.11 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 44%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.99 for Ulaanbaatar and 2.20 for Deren. The models give Ulaanbaatar a 55% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Deren win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 89% and BTTS at 84%.

Season Statistics

Ulaanbaatar
—
Deren
1º
Position
3º
2.75
PPG
2.13
88%
Win %
63%
4.88
Goals / game
3.25
0.50
Conceded / game
1.13
22%
BTTS %
56%
78%
Clean sheet %
44%
67%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Ulaanbaatar
Home (4)
—
Deren
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
2.25
100%
Win %
75%
5.75
Goals / game
3.25
0.75
Conceded / game
1.00
25%
BTTS %
75%
75%
Clean sheet %
25%
75%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

UlaanbaatarHomeAwayDerenHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored89%100%80%89%80%100%
Over 1.5 Scored78%100%60%78%80%75%
Over 2.5 Scored67%75%60%56%60%50%
Failed To Score11%0%20%11%20%0%

Goals Conceded

UlaanbaatarHomeAwayDerenHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded22%25%20%56%40%75%
Over 1.5 Conceded11%25%0%33%40%25%
Over 2.5 Conceded11%25%0%11%20%0%
Clean Sheets78%75%80%44%60%25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

UlaanbaatarDeren
Over 0.589%89%
Over 1.578%89%
Over 2.567%78%
Over 3.567%56%
Over 4.544%56%
BTTS22%56%
BTTS & Win22%33%
BTTS & Draw0%11%
BTTS & Over 2.522%56%
BTTS No & Over 2.544%22%

1st Half / 2nd Half

UlaanbaatarDeren
Win 1st Half44%56%
Draw 1st Half44%33%
Loss 1st Half11%11%
Scored 1st Half56%78%
Conceded 1st Half22%33%
Win 2nd Half89%44%
Draw 2nd Half11%56%
Loss 2nd Half0%0%
Scored 2nd Half89%78%
Conceded 2nd Half11%44%
Over 0.5 HT67%89%
Over 1.5 HT56%67%

Recent Venue Form

Ulaanbaatar (H)
WCentral Stallions2–0
WKhovd Western8–0
WUlaangom City8–0
WHunters5–3
LHang Yuen1–2
LDeren2–3
Deren (A)
LCentral Stallions1–2
WKhovd Western5–1
WUlaangom City5–0
WHunters2–1
WUlaanbaatar3–2
WCentral Stallions3–0

Head to Head · 16 matches

8
Ulaanbaatar
50%
3
Draws
19%
5
Deren
31%
75%
Over 1.5
12/16
38%
Over 2.5
6/16
38%
Over 3.5
6/16
50%
BTTS
8/16
17/09/26
Deren
0–0
Ulaanbaatar
06/07/26
Ulaanbaatar
2–3
Deren
27/06/26
Deren
0–2
Ulaanbaatar
23/05/26
Ulaanbaatar
2–0
Deren
26/10/25
Deren
1–1
Ulaanbaatar
20/07/25
Deren
0–1
Ulaanbaatar
11/06/25
Ulaanbaatar
4–1
Deren
09/03/25
Deren
2–0
Ulaanbaatar
22/06/24
Deren
1–1
Ulaanbaatar
21/04/24
Ulaanbaatar
5–1
Deren
21/10/23
Deren
1–0
Ulaanbaatar
28/05/23
Ulaanbaatar
4–2
Deren
16/04/23
Deren
1–0
Ulaanbaatar
09/10/22
Ulaanbaatar
2–0
Deren
19/06/22
Ulaanbaatar
2–3
Deren
16/04/22
Deren
2–3
Ulaanbaatar
Premier League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Ulaanbaatar8710+3522
2Central Stallions8701+2021
3Deren8521+1717
4Hunters8503+1415
5Khovd8314+210
6Erchim9306-189
7Amtat FC9306-239
8Khovd Western9207-236
9Ulaangom City7007-240

Team Insights

Ulaanbaatar
  • ●Ulaanbaatar have won their last 8 matches.
  • ●Ulaanbaatar have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Ulaanbaatar have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
  • ●Ulaanbaatar have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Ulaanbaatar have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Ulaanbaatar have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Ulaanbaatar have won their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Ulaanbaatar have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Ulaanbaatar have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Ulaanbaatar have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
Deren
  • ●Deren have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Deren have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
  • ●Deren have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Deren have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Deren have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Deren have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Deren have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Deren have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Deren have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
UlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar
WACentral Stallions2º1–0
WHCentral Stallions2º2–0
WHKhovd Western8º8–0
WAErchim6º3–1
WHUlaangom City9º8–0
WAKhovd5º4–0
WHHunters4º5–3
WAAmtat FC7º9–0
DADeren3º0–0
LHHang Yuen1–2
DerenDeren
WHHunters4º2–0
WHErchim6º5–0
LACentral Stallions2º1–2
DHKhovd5º3–3
WAKhovd Western8º5–1
WHAmtat FC7º5–2
WAUlaangom City9º5–0
DHUlaanbaatar1º0–0
WAHunters4º2–1
WAUlaanbaatar1º3–2

Season Schedule

Ulaanbaatar
WACentral Stallions1–0
WHCentral Stallions2–0
WHKhovd Western8–0
WAErchim3–1
WHUlaangom City8–0
WAKhovd4–0
–HDeren29/10
–AHunters02/11
–HCentral Stallions06/11
Deren
WHHunters2–0
WHErchim5–0
LACentral Stallions1–2
DHKhovd3–3
WAKhovd Western5–1
WHAmtat FC5–2
–AUlaanbaatar29/10
–ACentral Stallions02/11
–AHunters06/11

Top Scorers

Ulaanbaatar
10 ⚽
U. Temuulen8 ⚽
T. Altansukh5 ⚽
M. Yondonjamts3 ⚽
O. Mijiddorj2 ⚽
D. Amaraa2 ⚽
Deren
8 ⚽
B. Myagmar6 ⚽
A. Purevsuren3 ⚽
M. Enkhbayar3 ⚽
B. Batmunkh2 ⚽
E. Erkhembayar1 ⚽