Independiente F.b.c. vs Paraguari AC — Division Intermedia
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Independiente F.b.c. and Paraguari AC meet in the Division Intermedia 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Independiente F.b.c. have recorded 12 wins from 31 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Paraguari AC have won 43% of their 30 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Independiente F.b.c. and 1.14 for Paraguari AC. The models give Independiente F.b.c. a 41% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Paraguari AC win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Independiente F.b.c.—
Paraguari AC6º
Position
5º
1.48
PPG
1.52
38%
Win %
45%
1.55
Goals / game
1.45
1.31
Conceded / game
1.28
58%
BTTS %
53%
35%
Clean sheet %
23%
52%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Independiente F.b.c.
Home (14)
—
Paraguari AC
Away (14)
1.43
PPG
1.07
36%
Win %
29%
1.07
Goals / game
1.43
0.79
Conceded / game
1.71
38%
BTTS %
64%
50%
Clean sheet %
14%
31%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Independiente F.b.c. | Home | Away | Paraguari AC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 75% | 93% | 73% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 31% | 80% | 40% | 38% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 6% | 20% | 23% | 25% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 25% | 7% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Independiente F.b.c. | Home | Away | Paraguari AC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 50% | 80% | 77% | 69% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 31% | 53% | 43% | 25% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 27% | 10% | 0% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 50% | 20% | 23% | 31% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Independiente F.b.c. | Paraguari AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 20% |
| BTTS | 58% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Independiente F.b.c. | Paraguari AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Independiente F.b.c. (H)W
Atlético Tembetary3–0
Atlético Tembetary3–0D
Nacional Asuncion2–2
Nacional Asuncion2–2L
Sportivo Carapeguá0–1
Sportivo Carapeguá0–1W
Encarnación1–0
Encarnación1–0D
Fernando De La Mora0–0
Fernando De La Mora0–0D
General Caballero0–0
General Caballero0–0Paraguari AC (A)W
Tacuary4–2
Tacuary4–2LAtlético Tembetary1–2
Atlético Tembetary1–2W
Benjamín Aceval3–1
Benjamín Aceval3–1WSportivo Carapeguá3–2
Sportivo Carapeguá3–2L
12 de Junio VH2–3
12 de Junio VH2–3WEncarnación1–0
Encarnación1–0Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Independiente F.b.c.
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Paraguari AC
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
18/07/26Independiente F.b.c.
Paraguari AC
3–2Independiente F.b.c.| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportivo Santani | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | +22 | 57 |
| 2 | General Caballero | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 56 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio VH | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |  SOL DE America | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | +7 | 44 |
| 5 | Paraguari AC | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | +5 | 44 |
| 6 | Independiente F.b.c. | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | +7 | 43 |
| 7 | Benjamín Aceval | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | +4 | 42 |
| 8 | Sportivo Carapeguá | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | -6 | 42 |
| 9 |  Resistencia | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 | Atlético Tembetary | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 36 |
| 11 |  Deportivo Capiata | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | -3 | 35 |
| 12 | Fernando De La Mora | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 |  3 de Noviembre | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -8 | 29 |
| 14 |  Guairena FC | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -15 | 28 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | Encarnación | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 25 |
Team Insights
Independiente F.b.c.- ●Independiente F.b.c. have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have scored in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have scored in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●67% of Independiente F.b.c.'s goals have been scored away.
- ●71% of Independiente F.b.c.'s goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Paraguari AC- ●Paraguari AC have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Paraguari AC have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Paraguari AC have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Paraguari AC have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Paraguari AC have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Paraguari AC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Paraguari AC have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Paraguari AC failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Paraguari AC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Paraguari AC have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●65% of Paraguari AC's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Independiente F.b.c.LATacuary2–3
Tacuary2–3WHAtlético Tembetary3–0
Atlético Tembetary3–0WABenjamín Aceval3–2
Benjamín Aceval3–2LHSportivo Carapeguá0–1
Sportivo Carapeguá0–1WA12 de Junio VH4–0
12 de Junio VH4–0WHEncarnación1–0
Encarnación1–0–HParaguari AC23/10
Paraguari AC23/10Paraguari ACWHFernando De La Mora2–0
Fernando De La Mora2–0WATacuary4–2
Tacuary4–2WH3 de Noviembre1–0
3 de Noviembre1–0LAAtlético Tembetary1–2
Atlético Tembetary1–2WHGeneral Caballero3–2
General Caballero3–2WABenjamín Aceval3–1
Benjamín Aceval3–1–AIndependiente F.b.c.23/10
Independiente F.b.c.23/10Top Scorers
Independiente F.b.c.D. Dramane9 ⚽
S. Dietze8 ⚽
R. Roa5 ⚽
F. Morel5 ⚽
E. Sarquis5 ⚽
D. Zarate3 ⚽
Paraguari ACR. Escobar9 ⚽
V. G. Velazco Ramirez7 ⚽
J. Ayala4 ⚽
W. Candia3 ⚽
A. Samaniego3 ⚽
E. Maidana2 ⚽
Cards Given
Independiente F.b.c.S. Dietze2 🟨
A. Vera1 🟨
Paraguari AC2 🟨
E. Maidana1 🟨
R. Escobar1 🟨