Uruguay · Segunda División · 2nd Phase - 25

Oriental

1º · 2.17 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 13d 14h

–

Paysandu

11º · 0.67 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 14d 20h

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Oriental and Paysandu meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Oriental have recorded 12 wins from 33 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Paysandu have won 33% of their 30 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 17%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Oriental and 0.89 for Paysandu. The models give Oriental a 47% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Paysandu win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 42%.

Season Statistics

Oriental

—

Paysandu

1º

Position

11º

2.17

PPG

0.67

67%

Win %

17%

1.33

Goals / game

0.67

0.83

Conceded / game

1.17

55%

BTTS %

53%

33%

Clean sheet %

17%

42%

Over 2.5 %

43%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Oriental

Home (3)

—

Paysandu

Away (3)

2.33

PPG

0.33

67%

Win %

1.00

Goals / game

0.67

0.33

Conceded / game

1.33

50%

BTTS %

60%

44%

Clean sheet %

44%

Over 2.5 %

47%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Oriental	Home	Away	Paysandu	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	79%	81%	76%	67%	67%	67%
Over 1.5 Scored	36%	38%	35%	43%	47%	40%
Over 2.5 Scored	9%	13%	6%	3%	0%	7%
Failed To Score	21%	19%	24%	33%	33%	33%

Goals Conceded

	Oriental	Home	Away	Paysandu	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	67%	56%	76%	83%	73%	93%
Over 1.5 Conceded	33%	31%	35%	30%	33%	27%
Over 2.5 Conceded	9%	6%	12%	10%	7%	13%
Clean Sheets	33%	44%	24%	17%	27%	7%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Oriental	Paysandu
Over 0.5	91%	97%
Over 1.5	73%	63%
Over 2.5	42%	43%
Over 3.5	24%	20%
Over 4.5	3%	13%
BTTS	55%	53%
BTTS & Win	12%	20%
BTTS & Draw	24%	17%
BTTS & Over 2.5	39%	43%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	3%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Oriental	Paysandu
Win 1st Half	27%	17%
Draw 1st Half	52%	43%
Loss 1st Half	21%	40%
Scored 1st Half	52%	43%
Conceded 1st Half	42%	63%
Win 2nd Half	36%	33%
Draw 2nd Half	30%	43%
Loss 2nd Half	33%	23%
Scored 2nd Half	55%	50%
Conceded 2nd Half	45%	37%
Over 0.5 HT	70%	77%
Over 1.5 HT	30%	37%

Recent Venue Form

Oriental (H)

Uruguay Montevideo1–1

Fenix3–2

Miramar1–3

Racing Montevideo1–2

Plaza Colonia2–0

Atenas0–1

Paysandu (A)

Fenix1–0

Miramar0–1

Plaza Colonia1–1

Cerrito2–1

Sportivo Huracan2–3

Uruguay Montevideo0–1

Head to Head · 2 matches

Oriental

50%

Draws

Paysandu

50%

Over 1.5

1/2

50%

Over 2.5

1/2

Over 3.5

0/2

50%

BTTS

1/2

03/08/26

Paysandu

2–1

Oriental

05/04/26

Oriental

1–0

Paysandu

Segunda División

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
2	Atenas	49	24	8	17	+16	80
2	Plaza Colonia	24	10	7	7	+6	37
3	Colón	49	21	15	13	+23	78
4	Oriental	49	20	18	11	+12	78
5	Fenix	49	19	13	17	+8	70
5	CA River Plate	24	9	6	9	+5	33
6	Rentistas	49	18	14	17	0	68
7	Tacuarembo	49	17	17	15	-1	68
8	Paysandu	23	9	4	10	0	31
11	Cerrito	49	13	15	21	-21	54
11	Miramar	23	7	8	8	-2	29
12	La Luz	48	9	24	15	-14	51
12	Sportivo Huracan	23	7	6	10	-9	27
14	Uruguay Montevideo	49	11	11	27	-29	44