Estudiantes L.P. vs Palmeiras — CONMEBOL Libertadores
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Estudiantes L.P. and Palmeiras meet in the CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Estudiantes L.P. have recorded 21 wins from 48 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 35% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Palmeiras have won 63% of their 62 matches, with 1.69 goals scored and 0.74 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Estudiantes L.P. and 1.06 for Palmeiras. The models give Estudiantes L.P. a 43% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Palmeiras win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Estudiantes L.P.—
Palmeiras2º
Position
2º
1.50
PPG
1.83
33%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
1.67
0.83
Conceded / game
0.83
35%
BTTS %
48%
42%
Clean sheet %
45%
38%
Over 2.5 %
47%
4.5
Avg corners
5.9
14.1
Avg shots
15.7
5.1
Avg shots on target
5.1
2.8
Avg yellow cards
1.9
12.4
Avg fouls
12.6
53.4%
Avg possession
53.2%
Home vs Away
Estudiantes L.P.
Home (3)
—
Palmeiras
Away (3)
2.33
PPG
1.67
67%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
1.33
0.67
Conceded / game
0.67
41%
BTTS %
50%
44%
Clean sheet %
43%
52%
Over 2.5 %
47%
4.5
Avg corners
5.9
14.1
Avg shots
15.7
5.1
Avg shots on target
5.1
2.8
Avg yellow cards
1.9
53.4%
Avg possession
53.2%
Goals Scored
| Estudiantes L.P. | Home | Away | Palmeiras | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 74% | 52% | 85% | 91% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 44% | 24% | 48% | 50% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 26% | 5% | 23% | 28% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 26% | 48% | 15% | 9% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Estudiantes L.P. | Home | Away | Palmeiras | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 56% | 62% | 55% | 53% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 15% | 11% | 19% | 11% | 3% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 2% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 44% | 38% | 45% | 47% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Estudiantes L.P. | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 2% | 13% |
| BTTS | 35% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 23% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Estudiantes L.P. | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 52% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 66% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 26% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 52% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Estudiantes L.P. (H)L
San Lorenzo1–2
San Lorenzo1–2D
Flamengo0–0
Flamengo0–0W
Gimnasia M.3–0
Gimnasia M.3–0L
Rosario Central1–3
Rosario Central1–3W
Platense2–1
Platense2–1D
Corinthians1–1
Corinthians1–1Palmeiras (A)W
Atletico Paranaense2–0
Atletico Paranaense2–0W
Fluminense2–1
Fluminense2–1D
Gremio0–0
Gremio0–0L
LDU de Quito2–3
LDU de Quito2–3D
Botafogo0–0
Botafogo0–0D
Santos0–0
Santos0–0Number of Corners
8.5
Corners / Match
42 games
League Avg
9.0
153 games
11.1
Corners / Match
62 games
| Match Corners | Estudiantes L.P. | Palmeiras | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 89% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 79% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 73% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 66% | 44% |
| Over 10 | 24% | 56% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 19% | 45% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 37% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 5% | 29% | 5% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Estudiantes L.P. | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 74% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 74% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 62% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 50% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 16 |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 16 |
| 1 |  U. Catolica | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 1 |  Cerro Porteno | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 1 | LDU de Quito | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 1 | Corinthians | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 1 |  Coquimbo Unido | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |  Mirassol | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 |  Cruzeiro | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 | Platense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 2 |  Deportes Tolima | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 |  UCV | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Lanus | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Club Nacional | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 3 |  Boca Juniors | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 3 |  Independiente Medellin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 3 |  Sporting Cristal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 3 |  Bolívar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 4 |  Universitario | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Junior | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 4 |  Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 4 |  Penarol | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Always Ready | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 4 |  Cusco | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
| 4 |  Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
Estudiantes L.P.- ●Estudiantes L.P. have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Estudiantes L.P. have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Estudiantes L.P. have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Estudiantes L.P. have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Estudiantes L.P. have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Estudiantes L.P. failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Estudiantes L.P. have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
Palmeiras- ●Palmeiras have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Estudiantes L.P.DAFlamengo0–0
Flamengo0–0DHFlamengo0–0
Flamengo0–0WACorinthians1–0
Corinthians1–0DHCorinthians1–1
Corinthians1–1WAU. Catolica3–0
U. Catolica3–0DHU. Catolica1–1
U. Catolica1–1–HPalmeiras28/11
Palmeiras28/11PalmeirasLHFluminense0–1
Fluminense0–1WAFluminense2–1
Fluminense2–1LALDU de Quito2–3
LDU de Quito2–3WHLDU de Quito1–0
LDU de Quito1–0WACerro Porteno1–0
Cerro Porteno1–0DHCerro Porteno1–1
Cerro Porteno1–1–AEstudiantes L.P.28/11
Estudiantes L.P.28/11Top Scorers
Estudiantes L.P.T. Palacios9 ⚽
G. Carrillo8 ⚽
A. Castro6 ⚽
M. Amondarain4 ⚽
A. Gaich3 ⚽
L. Alario3 ⚽
PalmeirasJ. Lopez21 ⚽
Mauricio11 ⚽
Vitor Roque10 ⚽
R. Sosa9 ⚽
J. Arias8 ⚽
Allan Elias6 ⚽
Cards Given
Estudiantes L.P.T. Palacios11 🟨
Santiago Núñez8 🟨
L. Piovi8 🟨
Leandro González Pírez7 🟨
Leandro Gonzalez Pirez6 🟨
Eric Meza6 🟨
PalmeirasAndreas Pereira9 🟨
Murilo7 🟨
Marlon Freitas7 🟨
Arthur Gabriel6 🟨
Agustin Giay6 🟨
Gustavo Gómez6 🟨