Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · Regular Season - 28

Neftchi

8º · 1.33 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 9d 0h

–

Ilbirs

12º · 1.12 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 5d 0h

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Neftchi and Ilbirs meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Neftchi have recorded 11 wins from 28 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Ilbirs have won 21% of their 28 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 39%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for Neftchi and 1.17 for Ilbirs. The models give Neftchi a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Ilbirs win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Neftchi

—

Ilbirs

8º

Position

12º

1.33

PPG

1.12

41%

Win %

23%

1.41

Goals / game

1.15

1.63

Conceded / game

1.69

57%

BTTS %

57%

21%

Clean sheet %

25%

57%

Over 2.5 %

39%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Neftchi

Home (14)

—

Ilbirs

Away (12)

1.64

PPG

1.00

50%

Win %

25%

1.50

Goals / game

1.08

1.21

Conceded / game

2.42

60%

BTTS %

54%

20%

Clean sheet %

31%

53%

Over 2.5 %

46%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Neftchi	Home	Away	Ilbirs	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	75%	73%	77%	75%	73%	77%
Over 1.5 Scored	43%	47%	38%	25%	27%	23%
Over 2.5 Scored	21%	27%	15%	7%	13%	0%
Failed To Score	25%	27%	23%	25%	27%	23%

Goals Conceded

	Neftchi	Home	Away	Ilbirs	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	79%	80%	77%	75%	80%	69%
Over 1.5 Conceded	46%	40%	54%	32%	20%	46%
Over 2.5 Conceded	21%	13%	31%	25%	7%	46%
Clean Sheets	21%	20%	23%	25%	20%	31%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Neftchi	Ilbirs
Over 0.5	96%	93%
Over 1.5	82%	82%
Over 2.5	57%	39%
Over 3.5	39%	29%
Over 4.5	21%	21%
BTTS	57%	57%
BTTS & Win	21%	4%
BTTS & Draw	7%	36%
BTTS & Over 2.5	50%	25%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	7%	14%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Neftchi	Ilbirs
Win 1st Half	26%	26%
Draw 1st Half	41%	41%
Loss 1st Half	33%	33%
Scored 1st Half	44%	37%
Conceded 1st Half	56%	44%
Win 2nd Half	37%	33%
Draw 2nd Half	26%	22%
Loss 2nd Half	37%	44%
Scored 2nd Half	52%	56%
Conceded 2nd Half	52%	48%
Over 0.5 HT	70%	70%
Over 1.5 HT	44%	26%

Recent Venue Form

Neftchi (H)

Toktogul3–2

Muras United0–0

Asiagoal3–1

Alga3–1

Abdish-Ata4–1

Talant2–0

Ilbirs (A)

Alga0–6

Abdish-Ata0–1

Asiagoal1–0

Muras United1–1

Talant2–0

Ozgon1–5

Head to Head · 26 matches

Neftchi

62%

Draws

Ilbirs

31%

69%

Over 1.5

18/26

58%

Over 2.5

15/26

35%

Over 3.5

9/26

54%

BTTS

14/26

13/03/26

Ilbirs

2–1

Neftchi

08/08/25

Neftchi

2–0

Ilbirs

22/05/25

Ilbirs

2–2

Neftchi

03/11/24

Ilbirs

1–0

Neftchi

24/08/24

Ilbirs

1–2

Neftchi

11/04/24

Neftchi

3–2

Ilbirs

20/10/23

Neftchi

1–3

Ilbirs

04/08/23

Ilbirs

1–1

Neftchi

03/04/23

Neftchi

1–0

Ilbirs

10/11/22

Neftchi

1–0

Ilbirs

11/04/22

Ilbirs

3–1

Neftchi

07/04/22

Neftchi

1–0

Ilbirs

30/09/21

Neftchi

1–2

Ilbirs

12/08/21

Ilbirs

0–3

Neftchi

29/05/21

Neftchi

0–1

Ilbirs

06/05/21

Ilbirs

0–3

Neftchi

26/09/20

Neftchi

1–0

Ilbirs

19/08/20

Ilbirs

1–4

Neftchi

19/10/19

Neftchi

3–1

Ilbirs

21/08/19

Ilbirs

2–1

Neftchi

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bars	27	18	4	5	+36	58
2	Alga	27	16	8	3	+26	56
3	Ozgon	26	17	3	6	+23	54
4	Muras United	26	15	8	3	+29	53
5	Asia Talas	27	15	7	5	+19	52
6	Alay	27	11	8	8	0	41
7	Bishkek City	27	9	9	9	+1	36
8	Neftchi	27	11	3	13	-6	36
9	Talant	27	8	9	10	+6	33
10	Toktogul	26	9	4	13	-10	31
11	Dordoi Bishkek	26	8	5	13	0	29
12	Ilbirs	26	6	11	9	-14	29
13	OshMU Aldier	27	7	7	13	-19	28
14	Asiagoal	27	5	9	13	-11	24
15	Abdish-Ata	26	3	6	17	-30	15
16	Kara-Balta	27	1	7	19	-50	10

Team Insights

Neftchi

●Neftchi have won their last 2 matches.
●Neftchi have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
●Neftchi failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
●Neftchi failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
●Neftchi have lost 8 of their 13 away matches.
●Neftchi have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.

Ilbirs

●Ilbirs have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
●Ilbirs have lost their last 2 away matches.
●Ilbirs failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
●Ilbirs have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
●67% of Ilbirs's goals conceded were conceded away.

Neftchi

WHToktogul10º3–2

WHToktogul13º3–2

WAKara-Balta16º2–0

DHMuras United4º0–0

DHMuras United2º0–0

LAAsia Talas5º2–3

WHAsiagoal14º3–1

WHAsiagoal12º3–1

Ilbirs

DHKara-Balta16º1–1

LAAlga2º0–6

LAAlga1º0–6

LHBars1º0–3

LHBars4º0–3

LAAbdish-Ata15º0–1

WAAsiagoal14º1–0

WAAsiagoal12º1–0

Season Schedule

Neftchi

Toktogul3–2

Kara-Balta2–0

Muras United0–0

Asia Talas2–3

Asiagoal3–1

Bishkek City0–1

–H

Ilbirs28/10

–A

Alay02/11

Ilbirs

Kara-Balta1–1

Alga0–6

Bars0–3

Abdish-Ata0–1

Asiagoal1–0

Bishkek City1–1

–A

Neftchi28/10

–H

Toktogul04/11

Top Scorers

Neftchi

M. Ergemlidze5 ⚽

N. Basheleishvili4 ⚽

A. Cobet4 ⚽

D. Toktosunov4 ⚽

S. Sindarov4 ⚽

M. Yusupov3 ⚽

Ilbirs

I. Karpuk11 ⚽

A. Levkovets4 ⚽

3 ⚽

A. Isakov2 ⚽

T. Gevlych2 ⚽

D. Prytykovsky1 ⚽

Cards Given

Neftchi

S. Sindarov2 🟨

A. Baker1 🟨

Ilbirs

Neftchi vs Ilbirs — Premier League

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Head to Head · 26 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given