Alay vs Neftchi — Premier League
← BackUnlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Alay and Neftchi meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Alay have recorded 11 wins from 28 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Neftchi have won 39% of their 28 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Alay and 1.15 for Neftchi. The models give Alay a 49% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Neftchi win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alay | Home | Away | Neftchi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 69% | 73% | 75% | 73% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 31% | 53% | 43% | 47% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 0% | 13% | 21% | 27% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 31% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Alay | Home | Away | Neftchi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 62% | 80% | 79% | 80% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 23% | 40% | 46% | 40% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 8% | 13% | 21% | 13% | 31% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 38% | 20% | 21% | 20% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alay | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 21% |
| BTTS | 54% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alay | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 30 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | +36 | 58 | |
| 2 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +26 | 56 | |
| 3 | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | +23 | 54 | |
| 4 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | +29 | 53 | |
| 5 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | +19 | 52 | |
| 6 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 41 | |
| 7 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +1 | 36 | |
| 8 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | -6 | 36 | |
| 9 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | +6 | 33 | |
| 10 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | -10 | 31 | |
| 11 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 29 | |
| 12 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | -14 | 29 | |
| 13 | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -19 | 28 | |
| 14 | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -11 | 24 | |
| 15 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | -30 | 15 | |
| 16 | 27 | 1 | 7 | 19 | -50 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Alay have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Alay have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Alay have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Alay have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Alay failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Alay have won 7 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Alay have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●62% of Alay's goals have been scored away.
- ●65% of Alay's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Neftchi have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Neftchi have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Neftchi failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Neftchi failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have lost 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.

