Ilbirs vs Toktogul — Premier League
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Ilbirs and Toktogul meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Ilbirs have recorded 6 wins from 28 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 39%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Toktogul have won 35% of their 26 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Ilbirs and 1.05 for Toktogul. The models give Ilbirs a 44% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Toktogul win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Ilbirs
ToktogulHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ilbirs | Home | Away | Toktogul | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 73% | 77% | 65% | 79% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 27% | 23% | 35% | 43% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 13% | 0% | 15% | 21% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 27% | 23% | 35% | 21% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Ilbirs | Home | Away | Toktogul | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 80% | 69% | 85% | 79% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 20% | 46% | 54% | 50% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 7% | 46% | 12% | 14% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 20% | 31% | 15% | 21% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ilbirs | Toktogul | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 39% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 23% |
| BTTS | 57% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 4% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 36% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ilbirs | Toktogul | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Ilbirs (H)
Kara-Balta1–1
Bars0–3
Bishkek City1–1
Dordoi Bishkek3–0
Asia Talas1–1
OshMU Aldier4–0Toktogul (A)
Neftchi2–3Asia Talas0–2
Alay0–1Bishkek City1–1
Ozgon1–2
Asiagoal0–2Head to Head · 1 matches
Ilbirs| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bars | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | +36 | 58 |
| 2 |  Alga | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +26 | 56 |
| 3 | Ozgon | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | +23 | 54 |
| 4 |  Muras United | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | +29 | 53 |
| 5 | Asia Talas | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | +19 | 52 |
| 6 | Alay | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 41 |
| 7 | Bishkek City | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +1 | 36 |
| 8 | Neftchi | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | -6 | 36 |
| 9 |  Talant | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | +6 | 33 |
| 10 | Toktogul | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 | Dordoi Bishkek | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | Ilbirs | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | -14 | 29 |
| 13 | OshMU Aldier | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -19 | 28 |
| 14 | Asiagoal | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -11 | 24 |
| 15 |  Abdish-Ata | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | -30 | 15 |
| 16 | Kara-Balta | 27 | 1 | 7 | 19 | -50 | 10 |
Team Insights
Ilbirs- ●Ilbirs have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Ilbirs have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ilbirs failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Ilbirs have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●67% of Ilbirs's goals conceded were conceded away.
Toktogul- ●Toktogul have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Toktogul have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Toktogul have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Toktogul failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Toktogul failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Toktogul failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Toktogul have lost 8 of their 12 away matches.
- ●67% of Toktogul's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
IlbirsKara-Balta1–1Alga0–6Bars0–3Abdish-Ata0–1Asiagoal1–0Bishkek City1–1Neftchi28/10Toktogul04/11ToktogulNeftchi2–3Abdish-Ata2–0Asia Talas0–2Talant1–1Kara-Balta1–1OshMU Aldier2–1Bars27/10Dordoi Bishkek31/10Ilbirs04/11Top Scorers
IlbirsToktogulCards Given
IlbirsToktogul