Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds — USL Championship
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Louisville City and Pittsburgh Riverhounds meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Louisville City have recorded 24 wins from 49 matches this season (49% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 37% of games. Pittsburgh Riverhounds have won 49% of their 41 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 37%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Louisville City and 1.14 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds. The models give Louisville City a 47% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Pittsburgh Riverhounds win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Louisville City | Home | Away | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 76% | 82% | 71% | 73% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 51% | 52% | 50% | 41% | 59% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 24% | 25% | 15% | 18% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 24% | 18% | 29% | 27% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| Louisville City | Home | Away | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 67% | 61% | 63% | 59% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 33% | 39% | 24% | 14% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 0% | 21% | 5% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 33% | 39% | 37% | 41% | 32% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Louisville City | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 5% |
| BTTS | 55% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 49% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Louisville City | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 51% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 49% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 66% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 28 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +26 | 61 | |
| 1 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 52 | |
| 2 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | +21 | 53 | |
| 2 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | +14 | 51 | |
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +13 | 51 | |
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | +10 | 50 | |
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +18 | 48 | |
| 4 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | +3 | 45 | |
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +2 | 45 | |
| 6 | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | +2 | 43 | |
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +3 | 43 | |
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | +9 | 42 | |
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | -1 | 40 | |
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -10 | 36 | |
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 | |
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -6 | 34 | |
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -1 | 38 | |
| 10 | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -10 | 31 | |
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -7 | 36 | |
| 11 | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 30 | |
| 12 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -20 | 24 | |
| 12 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -29 | 21 | |
| 13 | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | -46 | 14 |
Team Insights
- ●Louisville City have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Louisville City have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Louisville City have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Louisville City have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have scored in each of their last 15 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Louisville City failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Louisville City failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have scored in 15 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Pittsburgh Riverhounds have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Pittsburgh Riverhounds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Pittsburgh Riverhounds have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Pittsburgh Riverhounds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Pittsburgh Riverhounds failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Pittsburgh Riverhounds failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.