New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising — USL Championship
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New Mexico United and Phoenix Rising meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 1 November 2026. New Mexico United have recorded 20 wins from 40 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Phoenix Rising have won 34% of their 38 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for New Mexico United and 1.14 for Phoenix Rising. The models give New Mexico United a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Phoenix Rising win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
New Mexico United—
Phoenix Rising4º
Position
10º
1.71
PPG
1.24
50%
Win %
29%
1.36
Goals / game
1.35
1.07
Conceded / game
1.41
53%
BTTS %
61%
30%
Clean sheet %
16%
60%
Over 2.5 %
61%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
New Mexico United
Home (7)
—
Phoenix Rising
Away (8)
2.00
PPG
1.00
57%
Win %
25%
1.71
Goals / game
1.00
1.14
Conceded / game
1.50
68%
BTTS %
58%
23%
Clean sheet %
11%
73%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| New Mexico | Home | Away | Phoenix Rising | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 91% | 56% | 74% | 79% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 64% | 28% | 42% | 63% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 27% | 17% | 24% | 37% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 9% | 44% | 26% | 21% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| New Mexico | Home | Away | Phoenix Rising | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 77% | 61% | 84% | 79% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 41% | 33% | 45% | 37% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 16% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 23% | 39% | 16% | 21% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| New Mexico | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 11% |
| BTTS | 53% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| New Mexico | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
New Mexico (H)W
Monterey Bay3–1
Monterey Bay3–1WPhoenix Rising2–1
Phoenix Rising2–1L
Sacramento Republic2–3
Sacramento Republic2–3D
Indy Eleven2–2
Indy Eleven2–2L
San Antonio1–2
San Antonio1–2W
Lexington2–1
Lexington2–1Phoenix Rising (A)W
Orange County SC3–1
Orange County SC3–1LNew Mexico United1–2
New Mexico United1–2L
Oakland Roots0–3
Oakland Roots0–3DMonterey Bay1–1
Monterey Bay1–1DSacramento Republic2–2
Sacramento Republic2–2LLexington0–1
Lexington0–1Head to Head · 22 matches
10
New Mexico
45%
4
Draws
18%
8
Phoenix Rising
36%
82%
Over 1.5
18/22
82%
Over 2.5
18/22
45%
Over 3.5
10/22
64%
BTTS
14/22
04/10/26Phoenix Rising
New Mexico United
2–1Phoenix Rising07/06/26Phoenix Rising
New Mexico United
4–0Phoenix Rising12/04/26New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
3–0New Mexico United05/10/25New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
0–1New Mexico United01/06/25New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
3–3New Mexico United11/05/25Phoenix Rising
New Mexico United
1–2Phoenix Rising04/11/24Phoenix Rising
New Mexico United
2–1Phoenix Rising10/10/24Phoenix Rising
New Mexico United
1–2Phoenix Rising31/03/24New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
0–1New Mexico United08/10/23New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
1–2New Mexico United22/06/23Phoenix Rising
New Mexico United
1–3Phoenix Rising27/04/23Phoenix Rising
New Mexico United
2–1Phoenix Rising25/05/22Phoenix Rising
New Mexico United
7–0Phoenix Rising21/04/22New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
2–1New Mexico United17/04/22New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
1–0New Mexico United29/08/21New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
3–2New Mexico United24/04/21New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
0–4New Mexico United09/08/20New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
5–2New Mexico United26/02/20New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
0–1New Mexico United29/09/19Phoenix Rising
New Mexico United
2–2Phoenix Rising| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +26 | 61 |
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 52 |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | +21 | 53 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | +14 | 51 |
| 3 |  Detroit City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +13 | 51 |
| 3 |  El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | +10 | 50 |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +18 | 48 |
| 4 |  Louisville City | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |  Colorado Springs | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 5 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | +3 | 45 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 |  Hartford Athletic | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | +2 | 43 |
| 7 |  FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +3 | 43 |
| 7 |  Rhode Island | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | +9 | 42 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | -1 | 40 |
| 8 |  Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 |  Loudoun United | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 |  Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -7 | 36 |
| 11 |  Birmingham Legion | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -20 | 24 |
| 12 |  Brooklyn | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -29 | 21 |
| 13 |  Sporting JAX | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | -46 | 14 |
Team Insights
New Mexico- ●New Mexico United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●New Mexico United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●New Mexico United have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●New Mexico United failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●New Mexico United have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●New Mexico United have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●New Mexico United have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
Phoenix Rising- ●Phoenix Rising have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●64% of Phoenix Rising's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
New MexicoWAEl Paso Locomotive1–0
El Paso Locomotive1–0LASan Antonio0–1
San Antonio0–1WHMonterey Bay3–1
Monterey Bay3–1WHPhoenix Rising2–1
Phoenix Rising2–1LAFC Tulsa0–1
FC Tulsa0–1LHSacramento Republic2–3
Sacramento Republic2–3–HPhoenix Rising01/11
Phoenix Rising01/11Phoenix RisingDHLexington3–3
Lexington3–3WAOrange County SC3–1
Orange County SC3–1WHLas Vegas Lights3–2
Las Vegas Lights3–2LANew Mexico United1–2
New Mexico United1–2LAOakland Roots0–3
Oakland Roots0–3LHEl Paso Locomotive1–3
El Paso Locomotive1–3–ANew Mexico United01/11
New Mexico United01/11Top Scorers
New MexicoG. Hurst12 ⚽
N. Reid-Stephen6 ⚽
D. Harris6 ⚽
V. Noel6 ⚽
K. Keller4 ⚽
Z. Bailey4 ⚽
Phoenix RisingI. Sacko17 ⚽
G. Studenhofft8 ⚽
K. Arase3 ⚽
D. Badji3 ⚽
JP Scearce3 ⚽
D. Flores2 ⚽
Cards Given
New MexicoO. Jabang12 🟨
Z. Bailey12 🟨
N. Hamalainen8 🟨
L. Archimede7 🟨
C. Gloster7 🟨
M. Howell6 🟨
Phoenix RisingJ. Moursou15 🟨
L. Biasi13 🟨
A. Pelayo8 🟨
JP Scearce6 🟨
C. Smith6 🟨
P. Mar Boye6 🟨