Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa — USL Championship
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Sacramento Republic and FC Tulsa meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Sacramento Republic have recorded 17 wins from 38 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 32%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. FC Tulsa have won 40% of their 40 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 35%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Sacramento Republic and 1.14 for FC Tulsa. The models give Sacramento Republic a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an FC Tulsa win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sacramento Republic | Home | Away | FC Tulsa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 84% | 68% | 70% | 75% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 53% | 16% | 28% | 30% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 26% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 16% | 32% | 30% | 25% | 35% |
Goals Conceded
| Sacramento Republic | Home | Away | FC Tulsa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 53% | 68% | 57% | 45% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 26% | 21% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 5% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 47% | 32% | 43% | 55% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sacramento Republic | FC Tulsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 32% | 35% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 15% |
| BTTS | 47% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 24% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sacramento Republic | FC Tulsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 34% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 32% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 34% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 19 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +26 | 61 | |
| 1 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 52 | |
| 2 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | +21 | 53 | |
| 2 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | +14 | 51 | |
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +13 | 51 | |
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | +10 | 50 | |
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +18 | 48 | |
| 4 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | +3 | 45 | |
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +2 | 45 | |
| 6 | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | +2 | 43 | |
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +3 | 43 | |
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | +9 | 42 | |
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | -1 | 40 | |
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -10 | 36 | |
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 | |
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -6 | 34 | |
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -1 | 38 | |
| 10 | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -10 | 31 | |
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -7 | 36 | |
| 11 | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 30 | |
| 12 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -20 | 24 | |
| 12 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -29 | 21 | |
| 13 | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | -46 | 14 |
Team Insights
- ●Sacramento Republic have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●64% of Sacramento Republic's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Sacramento Republic have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
- ●FC Tulsa have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●FC Tulsa have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●FC Tulsa have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●FC Tulsa failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.