FC Seoul vs Incheon United — K League 1
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FC Seoul and Incheon United meet in the K League 1 2026 season on 1 November 2026. FC Seoul have recorded 21 wins from 37 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 49% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Incheon United have won 32% of their 37 matches, with 1.19 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for FC Seoul and 1.29 for Incheon United. The models give FC Seoul a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Incheon United win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| FC Seoul | Home | Away | Incheon United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 76% | 75% | 73% | 78% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 41% | 50% | 30% | 28% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 24% | 25% | 14% | 17% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | 22% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Seoul | Home | Away | Incheon United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 53% | 70% | 76% | 78% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 24% | 25% | 24% | 17% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 12% | 5% | 11% | 6% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 47% | 30% | 24% | 22% | 26% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Seoul | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 8% |
| BTTS | 49% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Seoul | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 49% | 61% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 49% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 51% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | FC Seoul | Incheon United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 72% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 65% | 56% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 33% | 45% |
| Over 9 | 30% | 17% | 32% |
| Over 10 | 15% | 11% | 18% |
| Over 11 | 10% | 11% | 14% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 11% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 5% | 6% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC Seoul | Incheon United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 3.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 20% | 28% |
Head to Head · 29 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | +32 | 67 | |
| 2 | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | +5 | 51 | |
| 3 | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | +12 | 49 | |
| 4 | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | +10 | 48 | |
| 5 | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | +10 | 48 | |
| 6 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +8 | 46 | |
| 7 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +2 | 46 | |
| 8 | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | -8 | 43 | |
| 9 | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -9 | 42 | |
| 10 | 33 | 5 | 19 | 9 | -8 | 34 | |
| 11 | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | -15 | 32 | |
| 12 | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | -39 | 21 |
Team Insights
- ●FC Seoul have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●FC Seoul failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●FC Seoul have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●FC Seoul have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●FC Seoul have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●FC Seoul have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 home matches.
- ●FC Seoul failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●FC Seoul have won 11 of their 17 away matches.
- ●FC Seoul have scored in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Incheon United have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Incheon United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Incheon United have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Incheon United failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Incheon United have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.