South Korea · K League 1 · Championship Group - 35

Daejeon Citizen

9º · 1.10 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 11d 19h

–

Incheon United

6º · 1.38 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 15d 0h

Daejeon World Cup Stadium·Daejeon·South Korea·41,295

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Daejeon Citizen and Incheon United meet in the K League 1 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Daejeon Citizen have recorded 17 wins from 42 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Incheon United have won 32% of their 37 matches, with 1.19 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 24%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Daejeon Citizen and 1.43 for Incheon United. The models give Daejeon Citizen a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Incheon United win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

Daejeon Citizen

—

Incheon United

9º

Position

6º

1.10

PPG

1.38

24%

Win %

38%

1.19

Goals / game

1.33

1.10

Conceded / game

1.14

57%

BTTS %

54%

24%

Clean sheet %

24%

50%

Over 2.5 %

46%

5.2

Avg corners

4.3

12.0

Avg shots

11.1

4.3

Avg shots on target

3.8

1.4

Avg yellow cards

1.3

11.0

Avg fouls

9.8

51.9%

Avg possession

53.2%

Home vs Away

Daejeon Citizen

Home (11)

—

Incheon United

Away (10)

0.73

PPG

1.60

Win %

40%

0.82

Goals / game

1.60

1.27

Conceded / game

1.20

50%

BTTS %

53%

25%

Clean sheet %

26%

45%

Over 2.5 %

47%

5.2

Avg corners

4.3

12.0

Avg shots

11.1

4.3

Avg shots on target

3.8

1.4

Avg yellow cards

1.3

51.9%

Avg possession

53.2%

Goals Scored

	Daejeon Citizen	Home	Away	Incheon United	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	74%	70%	77%	73%	78%	68%
Over 1.5 Scored	48%	45%	50%	30%	28%	32%
Over 2.5 Scored	21%	15%	27%	14%	17%	11%
Failed To Score	26%	30%	23%	27%	22%	32%

Goals Conceded

	Daejeon Citizen	Home	Away	Incheon United	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	76%	75%	77%	76%	78%	74%
Over 1.5 Conceded	33%	40%	27%	24%	17%	32%
Over 2.5 Conceded	10%	0%	18%	11%	6%	16%
Clean Sheets	24%	25%	23%	24%	22%	26%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Daejeon Citizen	Incheon United
Over 0.5	93%	95%
Over 1.5	74%	62%
Over 2.5	50%	46%
Over 3.5	33%	19%
Over 4.5	21%	8%
BTTS	57%	54%
BTTS & Win	24%	14%
BTTS & Draw	24%	22%
BTTS & Over 2.5	43%	38%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	7%	8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Daejeon Citizen	Incheon United
Win 1st Half	19%	22%
Draw 1st Half	52%	61%
Loss 1st Half	29%	17%
Scored 1st Half	29%	44%
Conceded 1st Half	40%	39%
Win 2nd Half	38%	28%
Draw 2nd Half	38%	36%
Loss 2nd Half	24%	36%
Scored 2nd Half	64%	47%
Conceded 2nd Half	55%	50%
Over 0.5 HT	55%	61%
Over 1.5 HT	26%	36%

Recent Venue Form

Daejeon Citizen (H)

Vissel Kobe0–1

Gwangju FC3–2

Jeonbuk Motors2–1

Kyoto Sanga1–0

Pohang Steelers2–2

FC Anyang3–2

Incheon United (A)

Gangwon FC1–1

Gangwon FC0–0

Ulsan Hyundai FC1–2

FC Seoul0–1

FC Anyang1–2

Gwangju FC1–0

Number of Corners

9.3

Corners / Match

20 games

League Avg

8.5

103 games

8.1

Corners / Match

18 games

Match Corners	Daejeon Citizen	Incheon United	League Avg
Over 6	90%	72%	76%
Over 7	80%	56%	63%
Over 8	60%	33%	45%
Over 9	40%	17%	32%
Over 10	30%	11%	18%
Over 11	20%	11%	14%
Over 12	10%	11%	11%
Over 13	5%	6%	7%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Daejeon Citizen	Incheon United
Corners Earned / Match	5.2	4.3
Corners Against / Match	4.2	3.7
Over 2.5 Corners For	90%	78%
Over 3.5 Corners For	75%	67%
Over 4.5 Corners For	60%	50%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	80%	72%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	55%	33%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	50%	28%

Head to Head · 10 matches

Daejeon Citizen

30%

Draws

30%

Incheon United

40%

80%

Over 1.5

8/10

50%

Over 2.5

5/10

30%

Over 3.5

3/10

60%

BTTS

6/10

20/09/26

Incheon United

1–1

Daejeon Citizen

05/05/26

Daejeon Citizen

0–0

Incheon United

18/03/26

Incheon United

1–3

Daejeon Citizen

10/11/24

Incheon United

1–2

Daejeon Citizen

17/08/24

Daejeon Citizen

2–1

Incheon United

18/05/24

Daejeon Citizen

0–1

Incheon United

30/03/24

Incheon United

2–0

Daejeon Citizen

16/07/23

Incheon United

2–0

Daejeon Citizen

04/06/23

Daejeon Citizen

1–3

Incheon United

04/03/23

Incheon United

3–3

Daejeon Citizen

K League 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	33	20	7	6	+32	67
2	Ulsan Hyundai FC	33	15	6	12	+5	51
3	Daejeon Citizen	33	13	10	10	+12	49
4	Jeonbuk Motors	33	12	12	9	+10	48
5	Gangwon FC	33	11	15	7	+10	48
6	Incheon United	33	12	10	11	+8	46
7	Jeju United FC	33	12	10	11	+2	46
8	FC Anyang	33	10	13	10	-8	43
9	Pohang Steelers	33	11	9	13	-9	42
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	33	5	19	9	-8	34
11	Bucheon FC 1995	33	7	11	15	-15	32
12	Gwangju FC	33	3	12	18	-39	21

Team Insights

Daejeon Citizen

●Daejeon Citizen have won their last 3 matches.
●Daejeon Citizen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
●Daejeon Citizen have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
●Daejeon Citizen have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
●Daejeon Citizen have won their last 2 home matches.
●Daejeon Citizen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Daejeon Citizen have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
●Daejeon Citizen have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
●Daejeon Citizen have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
●Daejeon Citizen failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 home matches.
●Daejeon Citizen have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
●Daejeon Citizen have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.

Incheon United

●Incheon United have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
●Incheon United have won their last 2 home matches.
●Incheon United have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
●Incheon United failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 home matches.
●Incheon United have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.

Daejeon Citizen

LHVissel Kobe2º0–1

WAGimcheon Sangmu FC10º2–1

WHGwangju FC12º3–2

DASHANGHAI SIPG8º1–1

Incheon United

WHJeju United FC7º3–1

DAGangwon FC3º1–1

DAGangwon FC5º1–1

WHPohang Steelers8º3–0

WHPohang Steelers9º3–0

Season Schedule

Daejeon Citizen

Gimcheon Sangmu FC2–1

Gwangju FC3–2

Jeonbuk Motors2–1

Incheon United1–1

Pohang Steelers2–2

FC Anyang3–2

–A

Jeonbuk Motors31/10

–H

Incheon United08/11

–A

Gangwon FC21/11

Incheon United

Jeju United FC3–1

Gangwon FC1–1

Pohang Steelers3–0

Gangwon FC0–0

Daejeon Citizen1–1

Ulsan Hyundai FC1–2

–A

FC Seoul01/11

–A

Daejeon Citizen08/11

–H

Ulsan Hyundai FC21/11

Top Scorers

Daejeon Citizen

Diogo Oliveira10 ⚽

Jeong Jae-Hee7 ⚽

Joo Min-Kyu7 ⚽

Seo Jin-Su5 ⚽

M. Ishida4 ⚽

G. Ludwigson4 ⚽

Incheon United

S. Mugosa10 ⚽

M. Ferrier6 ⚽

Gerso4 ⚽

Stefan Mugoša4 ⚽

Lee Chung-Yong3 ⚽

Lee Dong-Ryul3 ⚽

Cards Given

Daejeon Citizen

Kim Bong-Soo5 🟨

Jo Seong-Kwon5 🟨

Anton Kryvotsiuk3 🟨

Min-deok Kim3 🟨

Diogo Oliveira3 🟨

Victor Bobsin3 🟨

Incheon United

Juan Ibiza10 🟨

Myung Joo Lee4 🟨

Choi Seung-Gu4 🟨

Morgan Ferrier4 🟨

Chung-yong Lee3 🟨

Chi-in Jeong3 🟨

Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United — K League 1

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 10 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given