Incheon United vs Gangwon FC — K League 1
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Incheon United and Gangwon FC meet in the K League 1 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Incheon United have recorded 12 wins from 37 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Gangwon FC have won 27% of their 44 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Incheon United and 1.27 for Gangwon FC. The models give Incheon United a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Gangwon FC win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Incheon United | Home | Away | Gangwon FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 78% | 68% | 69% | 73% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 28% | 32% | 33% | 32% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 22% | 32% | 31% | 27% | 35% |
Goals Conceded
| Incheon United | Home | Away | Gangwon FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 78% | 74% | 60% | 59% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 17% | 32% | 33% | 23% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 6% | 16% | 16% | 5% | 26% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 22% | 26% | 40% | 41% | 39% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Incheon United | Gangwon FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 7% |
| BTTS | 54% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 4% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Incheon United | Gangwon FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 61% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 49% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 51% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Incheon United | Gangwon FC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 72% | 79% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 56% | 68% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 47% | 45% |
| Over 9 | 17% | 37% | 32% |
| Over 10 | 11% | 16% | 18% |
| Over 11 | 11% | 11% | 14% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 6% | 11% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Incheon United | Gangwon FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 74% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 72% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 28% | 21% |
Head to Head · 27 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | +32 | 67 | |
| 2 | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | +5 | 51 | |
| 3 | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | +12 | 49 | |
| 4 | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | +10 | 48 | |
| 5 | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | +10 | 48 | |
| 6 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +8 | 46 | |
| 7 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +2 | 46 | |
| 8 | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | -8 | 43 | |
| 9 | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -9 | 42 | |
| 10 | 33 | 5 | 19 | 9 | -8 | 34 | |
| 11 | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | -15 | 32 | |
| 12 | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | -39 | 21 |
Team Insights
- ●Incheon United have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Incheon United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Incheon United have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Incheon United failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Incheon United have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Gangwon FC have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Gangwon FC have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Gangwon FC have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Gangwon FC have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Gangwon FC have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Gangwon FC have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Gangwon FC have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.