Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves — USL League One
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Union Omaha and Chattanooga Red Wolves meet in the USL League One 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Union Omaha have recorded 23 wins from 41 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Chattanooga Red Wolves have won 38% of their 37 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 49%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for Union Omaha and 1.13 for Chattanooga Red Wolves. The models give Union Omaha a 57% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Chattanooga Red Wolves win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Union Omaha—
Chattanooga Red Wolves2º
Position
7º
1.97
PPG
1.47
61%
Win %
44%
1.74
Goals / game
1.59
1.10
Conceded / game
1.41
61%
BTTS %
54%
17%
Clean sheet %
22%
61%
Over 2.5 %
49%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Union Omaha
Home (16)
—
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Away (16)
2.31
PPG
1.13
69%
Win %
31%
2.06
Goals / game
1.31
0.94
Conceded / game
1.75
72%
BTTS %
63%
22%
Clean sheet %
5%
61%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Union Omaha | Home | Away | Chattanooga Red | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 94% | 61% | 76% | 83% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 61% | 72% | 52% | 41% | 44% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 28% | 22% | 16% | 28% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 6% | 39% | 24% | 17% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| Union Omaha | Home | Away | Chattanooga Red | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 78% | 87% | 78% | 61% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 28% | 35% | 35% | 22% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 6% | 9% | 19% | 22% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 22% | 13% | 22% | 39% | 5% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Union Omaha | Chattanooga Red | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 22% |
| BTTS | 61% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 41% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Union Omaha | Chattanooga Red | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 51% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Union Omaha (H)L
Fort Wayne0–1
Fort Wayne0–1W
One Knoxville2–1
One Knoxville2–1W
Spokane Velocity3–1
Spokane Velocity3–1W
Charlotte Independence2–0
Charlotte Independence2–0D
NY Cosmos1–1
NY Cosmos1–1D
Sarasota Paradise1–1
Sarasota Paradise1–1Chattanooga Red (A)DNY Cosmos1–1
NY Cosmos1–1LSpokane Velocity0–1
Spokane Velocity0–1LOne Knoxville0–3
One Knoxville0–3L
Naples0–1
Naples0–1D
Richmond Kickers1–1
Richmond Kickers1–1W
Westchester SC1–0
Westchester SC1–0Head to Head · 17 matches
9
Union Omaha
53%
4
Draws
24%
4
Chattanooga Red
24%
76%
Over 1.5
13/17
53%
Over 2.5
9/17
35%
Over 3.5
6/17
59%
BTTS
10/17
08/08/26Union Omaha
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–3Union Omaha24/05/26Chattanooga Red Wolves
Union Omaha
2–0Chattanooga Red Wolves27/09/25Union Omaha
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0–3Union Omaha09/08/25Chattanooga Red Wolves
Union Omaha
2–2Chattanooga Red Wolves28/07/24Chattanooga Red Wolves
Union Omaha
0–1Chattanooga Red Wolves28/06/24Chattanooga Red Wolves
Union Omaha
4–2Chattanooga Red Wolves05/06/24Union Omaha
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–5Union Omaha16/09/23Union Omaha
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–3Union Omaha20/08/23Chattanooga Red Wolves
Union Omaha
2–1Chattanooga Red Wolves20/05/23Union Omaha
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3–3Union Omaha22/10/22Union Omaha
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–0Union Omaha04/09/22Chattanooga Red Wolves
Union Omaha
2–1Chattanooga Red Wolves31/07/22Chattanooga Red Wolves
Union Omaha
1–1Chattanooga Red Wolves04/06/22Union Omaha
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0–1Union Omaha21/08/21Union Omaha
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–0Union Omaha04/07/21Chattanooga Red Wolves
Union Omaha
1–1Chattanooga Red Wolves15/09/20Union Omaha
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–0Union Omaha| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | +28 | 66 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | +20 | 62 |
| 3 |  Boise | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 58 |
| 4 |  Forward Madison | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | +24 | 56 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +6 | 54 |
| 6 | One Knoxville | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +16 | 54 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Naples | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | -7 | 46 |
| 9 | Fort Wayne | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | +5 | 45 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | +4 | 40 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | -2 | 40 |
| 12 |  Corpus Christi | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 13 |  Alta | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 |  Greenville Triumph | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -23 | 30 |
| 16 | NY Cosmos | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -26 | 27 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | -28 | 26 |
| 18 |  Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Insights
Union Omaha- ●Union Omaha have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Union Omaha failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Union Omaha have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Union Omaha failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Union Omaha have won 8 of their 16 away matches.
Chattanooga Red- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Union OmahaDAForward Madison0–0
Forward Madison0–0LAWestchester SC1–2
Westchester SC1–2LHFort Wayne0–1
Fort Wayne0–1WAGreenville Triumph3–1
Greenville Triumph3–1WHOne Knoxville2–1
One Knoxville2–1WHSpokane Velocity3–1
Spokane Velocity3–1–HChattanooga Red Wolves30/10
Chattanooga Red Wolves30/10Chattanooga RedDANY Cosmos1–1
NY Cosmos1–1LASpokane Velocity0–1
Spokane Velocity0–1LAOne Knoxville0–3
One Knoxville0–3WHCorpus Christi3–0
Corpus Christi3–0LHSpokane Velocity0–1
Spokane Velocity0–1LANaples0–1
Naples0–1–AUnion Omaha30/10
Union Omaha30/10Top Scorers
Union OmahaS. Ors Navarro15 ⚽
D. Gutierrez11 ⚽
K. Tekiela8 ⚽
P. Botello Faz7 ⚽
A. Gomez6 ⚽
A. Gavilanes5 ⚽
Chattanooga RedO. Hernandez13 ⚽
M. Bentley6 ⚽
P. Hernandez6 ⚽
T. Adewole5 ⚽
G. Mercer4 ⚽
J. Ramos3 ⚽
Cards Given
Union OmahaL. Wootton9 🟨
S. Guediri8 🟨
B. Kallman8 🟨
Gabriel Cabral7 🟨
S. Owusu7 🟨
Y. Boudadi7 🟨
Chattanooga RedE. Kinzner12 🟨
M. Acosta7 🟨
A. Kelly-Rosales7 🟨
J. Ayimbila7 🟨
J. Ramos7 🟨
M. Knapp6 🟨