Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity — USL League One
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Forward Madison and Spokane Velocity meet in the USL League One 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Forward Madison have recorded 17 wins from 38 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Spokane Velocity have won 51% of their 39 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Forward Madison and 1.03 for Spokane Velocity. The models give Forward Madison a 52% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Spokane Velocity win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Forward Madison—
Spokane Velocity3º
Position
5º
1.77
PPG
1.74
52%
Win %
52%
1.74
Goals / game
1.61
0.97
Conceded / game
1.39
50%
BTTS %
56%
29%
Clean sheet %
26%
45%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Forward Madison
Home (15)
—
Spokane Velocity
Away (15)
2.13
PPG
1.27
60%
Win %
33%
2.33
Goals / game
1.27
0.73
Conceded / game
1.53
56%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
25%
44%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Forward Madison | Home | Away | Spokane Velocity | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 83% | 60% | 79% | 89% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 56% | 40% | 49% | 63% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 44% | 5% | 26% | 32% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 17% | 40% | 21% | 11% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Forward Madison | Home | Away | Spokane Velocity | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 67% | 75% | 74% | 74% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 11% | 40% | 28% | 21% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 6% | 15% | 23% | 16% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 33% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Forward Madison | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 10% |
| BTTS | 50% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Forward Madison | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 37% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Forward Madison (H)D
Union Omaha0–0
Union Omaha0–0W
Portland Hearts of Pine2–0
Portland Hearts of Pine2–0LSpokane Velocity0–1
Spokane Velocity0–1W
Alta3–0
Alta3–0D
Sarasota Paradise1–1
Sarasota Paradise1–1D
One Knoxville1–1
One Knoxville1–1Spokane Velocity (A)L
Naples0–1
Naples0–1D
NY Cosmos3–3
NY Cosmos3–3L
Greenville Triumph3–4
Greenville Triumph3–4WOne Knoxville2–0
One Knoxville2–0W
Chattanooga Red Wolves1–0
Chattanooga Red Wolves1–0WForward Madison1–0
Forward Madison1–0Head to Head · 7 matches
3
Forward Madison
43%
1
Draws
14%
3
Spokane Velocity
43%
43%
Over 1.5
3/7
29%
Over 2.5
2/7
0%
Over 3.5
0/7
14%
BTTS
1/7
26/09/26Spokane Velocity
Forward Madison
0–1Spokane Velocity02/07/26Forward Madison
Spokane Velocity
0–1Forward Madison22/08/25Spokane Velocity
Forward Madison
0–1Spokane Velocity15/06/25Forward Madison
Spokane Velocity
2–1Forward Madison10/11/24Spokane Velocity
Forward Madison
0–0Spokane Velocity21/09/24Spokane Velocity
Forward Madison
2–0Spokane Velocity19/05/24Forward Madison
Spokane Velocity
0–3Forward Madison| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Independence | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | +28 | 66 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | +20 | 62 |
| 3 |  Boise | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 58 |
| 4 | Forward Madison | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | +24 | 56 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +6 | 54 |
| 6 | One Knoxville | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +16 | 54 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Naples | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | -7 | 46 |
| 9 |  Fort Wayne | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | +5 | 45 |
| 10 |  Westchester SC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | +4 | 40 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | -2 | 40 |
| 12 |  Corpus Christi | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 13 | Alta | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -23 | 30 |
| 16 | NY Cosmos | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -26 | 27 |
| 17 |  Richmond Kickers | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | -28 | 26 |
| 18 |  Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Insights
Forward Madison- ●Forward Madison have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Forward Madison have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Forward Madison have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Forward Madison failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Forward Madison have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●65% of Forward Madison's goals have been scored at home.
Spokane Velocity- ●Spokane Velocity have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●62% of Spokane Velocity's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Forward MadisonDHUnion Omaha0–0
Union Omaha0–0WHPortland Hearts of Pine2–0
Portland Hearts of Pine2–0LAWestchester SC2–3
Westchester SC2–3DAFort Wayne0–0
Fort Wayne0–0LHSpokane Velocity0–1
Spokane Velocity0–1WHAlta3–0
Alta3–0–HSpokane Velocity30/10
Spokane Velocity30/10Spokane VelocityLANaples0–1
Naples0–1DANY Cosmos3–3
NY Cosmos3–3WHChattanooga Red Wolves1–0
Chattanooga Red Wolves1–0LAGreenville Triumph3–4
Greenville Triumph3–4WAOne Knoxville2–0
One Knoxville2–0DHPortland Hearts of Pine3–3
Portland Hearts of Pine3–3–AForward Madison30/10
Forward Madison30/10Top Scorers
Forward MadisonR. Carmichael16 ⚽
H. Karamoko7 ⚽
S. Gyamfi6 ⚽
J. Bolma6 ⚽
R. Torres4 ⚽
K. Toure4 ⚽
Spokane VelocityN. Brett10 ⚽
S. John-Brown8 ⚽
L. Gil7 ⚽
N. Vinyals7 ⚽
A. Lewis6 ⚽
J. Gallardo4 ⚽
Cards Given
Forward MadisonR. Torres16 🟨
K. Toure11 🟨
A. Edwards10 🟨
M. Glaeser8 🟨
E. Munjoma7 🟨
G. Kanyane7 🟨
Spokane VelocityN. Spielman7 🟨
C. Miller6 🟨
A. Lewis6 🟨
L. Veidman5 🟨
G. Margvelashvili5 🟨
I. Covi5 🟨