Tunisia · Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 6

EGS Gafsa

24º · 0.60 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 5d 0h

–

Ariana

19º · 1.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 5d 0h

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EGS Gafsa and Ariana meet in the Ligue 2 2026 season on 1 November 2026. EGS Gafsa have recorded 1 wins from 5 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Ariana have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 1.69 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 31%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for EGS Gafsa and 0.76 for Ariana. The models give EGS Gafsa a 46% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Ariana win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 39%.

Season Statistics

EGS Gafsa

—

Ariana

24º

Position

19º

0.60

PPG

1.00

20%

Win %

20%

1.20

Goals / game

0.80

1.80

Conceded / game

0.80

40%

BTTS %

54%

20%

Clean sheet %

31%

80%

Over 2.5 %

46%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

EGS Gafsa

Home (2)

—

Ariana

Away (2)

1.50

PPG

0.50

50%

Win %

2.00

Goals / game

0.00

1.00

Conceded / game

0.50

50%

BTTS %

50%

Clean sheet %

17%

100%

Over 2.5 %

33%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	EGS Gafsa	Home	Away	Ariana	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	60%	100%	33%	77%	100%	50%
Over 1.5 Scored	40%	50%	33%	46%	57%	33%
Over 2.5 Scored	20%	50%	0%	31%	29%	33%
Failed To Score	40%	0%	67%	23%	0%	50%

Goals Conceded

	EGS Gafsa	Home	Away	Ariana	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	80%	50%	100%	69%	57%	83%
Over 1.5 Conceded	60%	50%	67%	15%	29%	0%
Over 2.5 Conceded	40%	0%	67%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	20%	50%	0%	31%	43%	17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	EGS Gafsa	Ariana
Over 0.5	100%	92%
Over 1.5	80%	77%
Over 2.5	80%	46%
Over 3.5	20%	23%
Over 4.5	20%	15%
BTTS	40%	54%
BTTS & Win	0%	23%
BTTS & Draw	0%	15%
BTTS & Over 2.5	40%	38%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	40%	8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	EGS Gafsa	Ariana
Win 1st Half	20%	18%
Draw 1st Half	40%	82%
Loss 1st Half	40%	0%
Scored 1st Half	40%	27%
Conceded 1st Half	60%	9%
Win 2nd Half	40%	36%
Draw 2nd Half	0%	27%
Loss 2nd Half	60%	36%
Scored 2nd Half	60%	64%
Conceded 2nd Half	60%	64%
Over 0.5 HT	80%	27%
Over 1.5 HT	60%	9%

Recent Venue Form

EGS Gafsa (H)

CO Medenine3–0

AS Kasserine1–2

EO Sidi Bouzid5–2

Jendouba Sport1–0

Redeyef0–0

Djelma2–1

Ariana (A)

Ksour Essef0–0

Jendouba Sport0–1

Moknine1–1

Bouchamma0–5

Korba0–1

Jendouba Sport2–2

Head to Head · 2 matches

EGS Gafsa

Draws

100%

Ariana

50%

Over 1.5

1/2

Over 2.5

0/2

Over 3.5

0/2

50%

BTTS

1/2

02/05/26

Ariana

1–1

EGS Gafsa

07/12/25

EGS Gafsa

0–0

Ariana

Ligue 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AS Kasserine	5	5	0	0	+7	15
2	M'saken	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	EM Mahdia	5	3	2	0	+3	11
4	Ksour Essef	5	3	2	0	+3	11
5	Korba	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Mégrine	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Jendouba Sport	5	3	1	1	+2	10
8	Bouchamma	5	3	1	1	0	10
9	JS Kairouanaise	5	3	0	2	+1	9
10	AS Soliman	5	2	2	1	+4	8
11	Sporting Ben Arous	5	2	2	1	+3	8
12	Stade Soussien	5	2	1	2	+1	7
13	CS Chebba	5	2	1	2	-1	7
14	US Tataouine	5	2	1	2	-2	7
15	Redeyef	5	2	0	3	+3	6
16	Kalaâ Sport	5	2	0	3	0	6
17	Stade Gabesien	5	1	3	1	0	6
18	Sfax Railways	5	1	3	1	0	6
19	Ariana	5	1	2	2	0	5
20	Béni-Khalled	5	1	2	2	-1	5
21	BS Bouhajla	5	1	2	2	-3	5
22	Olympique du Kef	5	1	1	3	-2	4
23	Kerkennah	5	1	1	3	-2	4
24	EGS Gafsa	5	1	0	4	-3	3
25	AS Agareb	5	0	3	2	-5	3
26	CO Medenine	5	1	0	4	-7	3
27	AS Gabes	5	0	1	4	-4	1
28	Moknine	5	0	1	4	-8	1