Boise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves — USL League One
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Boise and Chattanooga Red Wolves meet in the USL League One 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Boise have recorded 21 wins from 38 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.66 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Chattanooga Red Wolves have won 37% of their 38 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Boise and 1.10 for Chattanooga Red Wolves. The models give Boise a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Chattanooga Red Wolves win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Boise—
Chattanooga Red Wolves4º
Position
7º
1.77
PPG
1.47
52%
Win %
44%
1.58
Goals / game
1.59
1.32
Conceded / game
1.41
63%
BTTS %
55%
32%
Clean sheet %
21%
58%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Boise
Home (16)
—
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Away (16)
2.06
PPG
1.13
63%
Win %
31%
1.50
Goals / game
1.31
0.94
Conceded / game
1.75
55%
BTTS %
65%
40%
Clean sheet %
5%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Boise | Home | Away | Chattanooga Red | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 90% | 94% | 76% | 83% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 61% | 60% | 61% | 39% | 44% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 10% | 6% | 16% | 28% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 10% | 6% | 24% | 17% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Boise | Home | Away | Chattanooga Red | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 60% | 78% | 79% | 61% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 20% | 56% | 34% | 22% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 10% | 17% | 18% | 22% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 40% | 22% | 21% | 39% | 5% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Boise | Chattanooga Red | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 21% |
| BTTS | 63% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Boise | Chattanooga Red | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 37% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 76% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 66% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Boise (H)W
One Knoxville2–0
One Knoxville2–0W
Alta2–1
Alta2–1W
Greenville Triumph1–0
Greenville Triumph1–0D
Charlotte Independence1–1
Charlotte Independence1–1W
NY Cosmos2–1
NY Cosmos2–1W
Sporting San Jose2–0
Sporting San Jose2–0Chattanooga Red (A)D
Union Omaha1–1
Union Omaha1–1DNY Cosmos1–1
NY Cosmos1–1L
Spokane Velocity0–1
Spokane Velocity0–1LOne Knoxville0–3
One Knoxville0–3L
Naples0–1
Naples0–1D
Richmond Kickers1–1
Richmond Kickers1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Boise
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Chattanooga Red
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
29/08/26Boise
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–3Boise03/05/26Chattanooga Red Wolves
Boise
2–1Chattanooga Red Wolves| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | +28 | 66 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | +20 | 62 |
| 3 | Boise | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 58 |
| 4 |  Forward Madison | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | +24 | 56 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +6 | 54 |
| 6 | One Knoxville | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +16 | 54 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Naples | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | -7 | 46 |
| 9 |  Fort Wayne | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | +5 | 45 |
| 10 |  Westchester SC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | +4 | 40 |
| 11 |  Sarasota Paradise | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | -2 | 40 |
| 12 |  Corpus Christi | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 13 | Alta | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -23 | 30 |
| 16 | NY Cosmos | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -26 | 27 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | -28 | 26 |
| 18 |  Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Insights
Boise- ●Boise have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Boise have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Boise have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Boise have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Boise have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Boise have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Boise have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Boise have scored in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Boise have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Boise failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Boise have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Boise have scored in 15 of their 16 away matches.
Chattanooga Red- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have scored in 13 of their 17 away matches.
Season Schedule
BoiseWHOne Knoxville2–0
One Knoxville2–0WAFort Wayne2–0
Fort Wayne2–0WHAlta2–1
Alta2–1WAPortland Hearts of Pine2–1
Portland Hearts of Pine2–1WHGreenville Triumph1–0
Greenville Triumph1–0LACorpus Christi1–2
Corpus Christi1–2–HChattanooga Red Wolves08/11
Chattanooga Red Wolves08/11Chattanooga RedDAUnion Omaha1–1
Union Omaha1–1DANY Cosmos1–1
NY Cosmos1–1LASpokane Velocity0–1
Spokane Velocity0–1LAOne Knoxville0–3
One Knoxville0–3WHCorpus Christi3–0
Corpus Christi3–0LHSpokane Velocity0–1
Spokane Velocity0–1–ABoise08/11
Boise08/11Top Scorers
BoiseT. Moshobane10 ⚽
D. Kostyshyn9 ⚽
N. Moon8 ⚽
T. Amang7 ⚽
J. Barea7 ⚽
B. Bodily4 ⚽
Chattanooga RedO. Hernandez13 ⚽
M. Bentley7 ⚽
P. Hernandez7 ⚽
T. Adewole5 ⚽
G. Mercer4 ⚽
Y. Lelin4 ⚽
Cards Given
BoiseP. Mayaka12 🟨
T. Amang8 🟨
D. Kostyshyn7 🟨
D. Gasso6 🟨
J. Crull6 🟨
J. Kliewer6 🟨
Chattanooga RedE. Kinzner12 🟨
M. Acosta7 🟨
A. Kelly-Rosales7 🟨
J. Ayimbila7 🟨
J. Ramos7 🟨
J. Vaughan6 🟨