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Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive — USL Championship

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United States · USL Championship · Quarter-finals
Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic
5º · 1.53 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 6d 1h
vs
–
–
El Paso Locomotive
El Paso Locomotive
8º · 1.38 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 8d 2h
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Sacramento Republic and El Paso Locomotive meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Sacramento Republic have recorded 18 wins from 39 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 31%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. El Paso Locomotive have won 53% of their 40 matches, with 1.70 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Sacramento Republic and 1.29 for El Paso Locomotive. The models give Sacramento Republic a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an El Paso Locomotive win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

Sacramento Republic
—
El Paso Locomotive
5º
Position
8º
1.53
PPG
1.38
40%
Win %
38%
1.27
Goals / game
1.69
1.00
Conceded / game
1.56
46%
BTTS %
60%
41%
Clean sheet %
25%
31%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Sacramento Republic
Home (7)
—
El Paso Locomotive
Away (9)
1.86
PPG
1.56
57%
Win %
44%
1.57
Goals / game
1.67
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
45%
BTTS %
55%
50%
Clean sheet %
30%
40%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Sacramento RepublicHomeAwayEl PasoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored77%85%68%85%85%85%
Over 1.5 Scored33%50%16%55%55%55%
Over 2.5 Scored21%25%16%20%15%25%
Failed To Score23%15%32%15%15%15%

Goals Conceded

Sacramento RepublicHomeAwayEl PasoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded59%50%68%75%80%70%
Over 1.5 Conceded23%25%21%33%35%30%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%15%20%10%
Clean Sheets41%50%32%25%20%30%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Sacramento RepublicEl Paso
Over 0.590%100%
Over 1.567%83%
Over 2.531%63%
Over 3.523%35%
Over 4.513%20%
BTTS46%60%
BTTS & Win15%28%
BTTS & Draw26%13%
BTTS & Over 2.523%53%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%10%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Sacramento RepublicEl Paso
Win 1st Half21%38%
Draw 1st Half54%43%
Loss 1st Half26%20%
Scored 1st Half31%63%
Conceded 1st Half38%43%
Win 2nd Half49%33%
Draw 2nd Half41%28%
Loss 2nd Half10%40%
Scored 2nd Half64%57%
Conceded 2nd Half31%60%
Over 0.5 HT54%75%
Over 1.5 HT33%48%

Recent Venue Form

Sacramento Republic (H)
WFC Tulsa1–0
WOakland Roots3–2
DColorado Springs1–1
WLas Vegas Lights3–2
DSan Antonio0–0
WDetroit City1–0
El Paso (A)
LLexington1–3
WPhoenix Rising3–1
WLouisville City2–1
WColorado Springs1–0
WSan Antonio3–0
LOrange County SC0–2

Head to Head · 14 matches

6
Sacramento Republic
43%
0
Draws
0%
8
El Paso
57%
64%
Over 1.5
9/14
50%
Over 2.5
7/14
14%
Over 3.5
2/14
36%
BTTS
5/14
18/10/26
El Paso Locomotive
0–1
Sacramento Republic
29/03/26
Sacramento Republic
1–2
El Paso Locomotive
24/08/25
El Paso Locomotive
1–0
Sacramento Republic
13/07/25
Sacramento Republic
3–0
El Paso Locomotive
20/10/24
El Paso Locomotive
2–1
Sacramento Republic
15/08/24
Sacramento Republic
2–0
El Paso Locomotive
17/09/23
Sacramento Republic
1–0
El Paso Locomotive
12/03/23
El Paso Locomotive
0–1
Sacramento Republic
19/05/22
El Paso Locomotive
1–0
Sacramento Republic
13/03/22
Sacramento Republic
3–1
El Paso Locomotive
12/09/21
El Paso Locomotive
2–0
Sacramento Republic
03/11/19
El Paso Locomotive
3–0
Sacramento Republic
29/09/19
Sacramento Republic
1–2
El Paso Locomotive
19/05/19
El Paso Locomotive
3–1
Sacramento Republic
USL Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3Detroit City301497+1351
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
4Louisville City301389+847
5Colorado Springs301389+647
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6San Antonio3011127+245
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Monterey Bay306618-2024
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

Team Insights

Sacramento Republic
  • ●Sacramento Republic have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Sacramento Republic have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Sacramento Republic have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Sacramento Republic have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Sacramento Republic have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Sacramento Republic have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Sacramento Republic have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Sacramento Republic have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Sacramento Republic failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Sacramento Republic have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●65% of Sacramento Republic's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Sacramento Republic have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
El Paso
  • ●El Paso Locomotive failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●El Paso Locomotive failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●El Paso Locomotive have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●El Paso Locomotive failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●El Paso Locomotive have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●El Paso Locomotive failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●El Paso Locomotive have won 8 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●El Paso Locomotive have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●El Paso Locomotive have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
WHFC Tulsa6º1–0
WHFC Tulsa7º1–0
WHOakland Roots11º3–2
WHOakland Roots10º3–2
WAEl Paso Locomotive8º1–0
WAEl Paso Locomotive3º1–0
DHColorado Springs3º1–1
DHColorado Springs5º1–1
DAFC Tulsa6º1–1
DAFC Tulsa7º1–1
El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
WHSan Antonio2º2–1
WHSan Antonio6º2–1
LHNew Mexico United4º0–1
LHNew Mexico United1º0–1
LHSacramento Republic5º0–1
LHSacramento Republic2º0–1
WHOrange County SC1º2–1
WHOrange County SC9º2–1
LALexington7º1–3
LALexington4º1–3

Season Schedule

Sacramento Republic
WHFC Tulsa1–0
WHOakland Roots3–2
WAEl Paso Locomotive1–0
DHColorado Springs1–1
DAFC Tulsa1–1
WHLas Vegas Lights3–2
–HEl Paso Locomotive08/11
El Paso
WHSan Antonio2–1
LHNew Mexico United0–1
LHSacramento Republic0–1
WHOrange County SC2–1
LALexington1–3
DHFC Tulsa1–1
–ASacramento Republic08/11

Top Scorers

Sacramento Republic
K. Edwards12 ⚽
M. Rodriguez7 ⚽
T. Wolff6 ⚽
F. Ajago5 ⚽
M. Benitez5 ⚽
M. Malango4 ⚽
El Paso
R. Rubin19 ⚽
A. Mendez10 ⚽
A. Moreno8 ⚽
D. Abitia4 ⚽
E. Calvillo4 ⚽
Tony Alfaro4 ⚽

Cards Given

Sacramento Republic
D. Crisostomo12 🟨
A. Essel10 🟨
M. Kaye6 🟨
F. Ajago5 🟨
F. Kleemann5 🟨
A. Rodriguez4 🟨
El Paso
A. Ortiz11 🟨
E. Calvillo10 🟨
A. Mendez6 🟨
K. Twumasi6 🟨
R. Coronado6 🟨
R. Ruiz6 🟨