Santa Cruz RJ vs Serra Macaense — Carioca B2
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Santa Cruz RJ and Serra Macaense meet in the Carioca B2 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Santa Cruz RJ have recorded 7 wins from 13 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.15 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 31% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Serra Macaense have won 64% of their 11 matches, with 2.18 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Santa Cruz RJ and 1.26 for Serra Macaense. The models give Santa Cruz RJ a 41% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Serra Macaense win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Santa Cruz RJ—
Serra Macaense5º
Position
2º
1.90
PPG
2.09
60%
Win %
64%
1.20
Goals / game
2.27
0.90
Conceded / game
1.00
31%
BTTS %
55%
38%
Clean sheet %
36%
54%
Over 2.5 %
64%
3.5
Avg corners
0.0
7.0
Avg shots
0.0
2.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
33.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Santa Cruz RJ
Home (4)
—
Serra Macaense
Away (6)
3.00
PPG
2.33
100%
Win %
67%
1.75
Goals / game
2.17
0.00
Conceded / game
0.83
17%
BTTS %
50%
67%
Clean sheet %
50%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.5
Avg corners
0.0
7.0
Avg shots
0.0
2.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
33.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Santa Cruz | Home | Away | Serra Macaense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 83% | 57% | 91% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 50% | 14% | 64% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 17% | 14% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 17% | 43% | 9% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Santa Cruz | Home | Away | Serra Macaense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 33% | 86% | 64% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 17% | 43% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 17% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 67% | 14% | 36% | 20% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Santa Cruz | Serra Macaense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 18% |
| BTTS | 31% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 23% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 31% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Santa Cruz | Serra Macaense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 15% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Santa Cruz (H)W
Campos AA2–1
Campos AA2–1W
Barra Mansa1–0
Barra Mansa1–0W
Cardoso Moreira1–0
Cardoso Moreira1–0W
Búzios3–0
Búzios3–0W
7 de Abril2–0
7 de Abril2–0L
Pérolas Negras0–5
Pérolas Negras0–5Serra Macaense (A)WCampos AA3–0
Campos AA3–0WBarra Mansa1–0
Barra Mansa1–0D
SE Belford Roxo1–1
SE Belford Roxo1–1WCardoso Moreira3–2
Cardoso Moreira3–2WBúzios2–0
Búzios2–0D7 de Abril2–2
7 de Abril2–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Santa Cruz | Serra Macaense |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 8.5 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Santa Cruz
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Serra Macaense
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
05/10/26Santa Cruz RJ
Serra Macaense
3–0Santa Cruz RJ19/10/25Serra Macaense
Santa Cruz RJ
0–0Serra Macaense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Friburguense | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +14 | 25 |
| 2 | Serra Macaense | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 23 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz RJ | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 22 |
| 3 | SE Belford Roxo | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 | Cardoso Moreira | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 19 |
| 6 | 7 de Abril | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |  Paduano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 16 |
| 8 | Campos AA | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Rio de Janeiro | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 | Búzios | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -16 | 6 |
| 12 |  Paraty | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -29 | 0 |
Team Insights
Santa Cruz- ●Santa Cruz RJ have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Santa Cruz RJ have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Santa Cruz RJ have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Santa Cruz RJ have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Santa Cruz RJ failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Santa Cruz RJ's goals have been scored at home.
- ●90% of Santa Cruz RJ's goals conceded were conceded away.
Serra Macaense- ●Serra Macaense have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Serra Macaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●61% of Serra Macaense's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Santa CruzDAFriburguense1–1
Friburguense1–1WHCampos AA2–1
Campos AA2–1WAParaty1–0
Paraty1–0WHBarra Mansa1–0
Barra Mansa1–0LASerra Macaense0–3
Serra Macaense0–3LASE Belford Roxo0–3
SE Belford Roxo0–3–HSerra Macaense08/11
Serra Macaense08/11–ASerra Macaense15/11
Serra Macaense15/11Serra MacaenseWACampos AA3–0
Campos AA3–0WHParaty6–2
Paraty6–2WABarra Mansa1–0
Barra Mansa1–0DASE Belford Roxo1–1
SE Belford Roxo1–1WHSanta Cruz RJ3–0
Santa Cruz RJ3–0WACardoso Moreira3–2
Cardoso Moreira3–2–ASanta Cruz RJ08/11
Santa Cruz RJ08/11–HSanta Cruz RJ15/11
Santa Cruz RJ15/11Top Scorers
Santa Cruz7 ⚽
L. Chaves3 ⚽
Brinquinho1 ⚽
Felipinho1 ⚽
P. Henrique1 ⚽
Serra Macaense15 ⚽
Vinicius Henrique2 ⚽
Wendel2 ⚽
Bernardo1 ⚽
David1 ⚽
Y. Lucas1 ⚽
Cards Given
Santa Cruz2 🟨
Serra Macaense1 🟨