Serra Macaense vs Santa Cruz RJ — Carioca B2
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Serra Macaense and Santa Cruz RJ meet in the Carioca B2 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Serra Macaense have recorded 7 wins from 11 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 2.18 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Santa Cruz RJ have won 54% of their 13 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 31%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Serra Macaense and 1.17 for Santa Cruz RJ. The models give Serra Macaense a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Santa Cruz RJ win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Serra Macaense—
Santa Cruz RJ2º
Position
5º
2.09
PPG
1.90
64%
Win %
60%
2.27
Goals / game
1.20
1.00
Conceded / game
0.90
55%
BTTS %
31%
36%
Clean sheet %
38%
64%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
3.5
0.0
Avg shots
7.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
2.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
33.0%
Home vs Away
Serra Macaense
Home (5)
—
Santa Cruz RJ
Away (6)
1.80
PPG
1.17
60%
Win %
33%
2.40
Goals / game
0.83
1.20
Conceded / game
1.50
60%
BTTS %
43%
20%
Clean sheet %
14%
80%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
3.5
0.0
Avg shots
7.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
2.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0%
Avg possession
33.0%
Goals Scored
| Serra Macaense | Home | Away | Santa Cruz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 80% | 100% | 69% | 83% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 60% | 67% | 31% | 50% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 40% | 33% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 20% | 0% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Serra Macaense | Home | Away | Santa Cruz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 80% | 50% | 62% | 33% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 40% | 33% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 20% | 50% | 38% | 67% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Serra Macaense | Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS | 55% | 31% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 23% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 31% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Serra Macaense | Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 15% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Serra Macaense (H)W
Paraty6–2
Paraty6–2WSanta Cruz RJ3–0
Santa Cruz RJ3–0W
Rio de Janeiro2–1
Rio de Janeiro2–1L
Paduano1–2
Paduano1–2L
Friburguense0–1
Friburguense0–1W
Macaé2–1
Macaé2–1Santa Cruz (A)DFriburguense1–1
Friburguense1–1WParaty1–0
Paraty1–0LSerra Macaense0–3
Serra Macaense0–3L
SE Belford Roxo0–3
SE Belford Roxo0–3WRio de Janeiro3–1
Rio de Janeiro3–1LPaduano0–1
Paduano0–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Serra Macaense | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 3.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 8.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Serra Macaense
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Santa Cruz
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
05/10/26Santa Cruz RJ
Serra Macaense
3–0Santa Cruz RJ19/10/25Serra Macaense
Santa Cruz RJ
0–0Serra Macaense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +14 | 25 |
| 2 | Serra Macaense | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 23 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz RJ | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 22 |
| 3 | SE Belford Roxo | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Cardoso Moreira | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 19 |
| 6 |  7 de Abril | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Paduano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 16 |
| 8 |  Campos AA | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rio de Janeiro | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 |  Barra Mansa | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 |  Búzios | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -16 | 6 |
| 12 | Paraty | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -29 | 0 |
Team Insights
Serra Macaense- ●Serra Macaense have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Serra Macaense failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●61% of Serra Macaense's points have been earned away.
Santa Cruz- ●Santa Cruz RJ have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Santa Cruz RJ have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Santa Cruz RJ have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Santa Cruz RJ have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Santa Cruz RJ failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Santa Cruz RJ's goals have been scored at home.
- ●90% of Santa Cruz RJ's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Serra MacaenseWACampos AA3–0
Campos AA3–0WHParaty6–2
Paraty6–2WABarra Mansa1–0
Barra Mansa1–0DASE Belford Roxo1–1
SE Belford Roxo1–1WHSanta Cruz RJ3–0
Santa Cruz RJ3–0WACardoso Moreira3–2
Cardoso Moreira3–2–ASanta Cruz RJ08/11
Santa Cruz RJ08/11–HSanta Cruz RJ15/11
Santa Cruz RJ15/11Santa CruzDAFriburguense1–1
Friburguense1–1WHCampos AA2–1
Campos AA2–1WAParaty1–0
Paraty1–0WHBarra Mansa1–0
Barra Mansa1–0LASerra Macaense0–3
Serra Macaense0–3LASE Belford Roxo0–3
SE Belford Roxo0–3–HSerra Macaense08/11
Serra Macaense08/11–ASerra Macaense15/11
Serra Macaense15/11Top Scorers
Serra Macaense15 ⚽
Vinicius Henrique2 ⚽
Wendel2 ⚽
Bernardo1 ⚽
David1 ⚽
Y. Lucas1 ⚽
Santa Cruz7 ⚽
L. Chaves3 ⚽
Brinquinho1 ⚽
Felipinho1 ⚽
P. Henrique1 ⚽
Cards Given
Serra Macaense1 🟨
Santa Cruz2 🟨