Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo — Primera División
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Danubio and Liverpool Montevideo meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Danubio have recorded 9 wins from 41 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.02 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Liverpool Montevideo have won 47% of their 43 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 37%, Over 2.5 at 37%, and clean sheets at 51%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Danubio and 1.32 for Liverpool Montevideo. The models give Danubio a 30% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Liverpool Montevideo win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Danubio—
Liverpool Montevideo11º
Position
9º
1.20
PPG
1.33
27%
Win %
33%
1.13
Goals / game
1.33
1.40
Conceded / game
1.20
46%
BTTS %
37%
24%
Clean sheet %
51%
41%
Over 2.5 %
37%
3.6
Avg corners
4.1
8.6
Avg shots
9.0
2.6
Avg shots on target
4.0
3.2
Avg yellow cards
3.3
0.0
Avg fouls
10.0
47.8%
Avg possession
51.6%
Home vs Away
Danubio
Home (7)
—
Liverpool Montevideo
Away (8)
1.43
PPG
1.50
29%
Win %
38%
1.43
Goals / game
1.25
0.86
Conceded / game
1.00
58%
BTTS %
48%
26%
Clean sheet %
43%
37%
Over 2.5 %
33%
3.6
Avg corners
4.1
8.6
Avg shots
9.0
2.6
Avg shots on target
4.0
3.2
Avg yellow cards
3.3
47.8%
Avg possession
51.6%
Goals Scored
| Danubio | Home | Away | Liverpool Montevideo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 59% | 68% | 50% | 74% | 68% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 26% | 23% | 35% | 32% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 11% | 9% | 16% | 23% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 41% | 32% | 50% | 26% | 32% | 19% |
Goals Conceded
| Danubio | Home | Away | Liverpool Montevideo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 74% | 77% | 49% | 41% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 34% | 26% | 41% | 26% | 36% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 5% | 14% | 9% | 9% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 26% | 23% | 51% | 59% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Danubio | Liverpool Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 37% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 16% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 7% |
| BTTS | 46% | 37% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 28% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Danubio | Liverpool Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 34% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 49% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 49% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 26% |
Recent Venue Form
Danubio (H)L
Club Nacional1–2
Club Nacional1–2W
Central Espanol1–0
Central Espanol1–0W
Cerro Largo2–1
Cerro Largo2–1D
Penarol1–1
Penarol1–1D
Wanderers1–1
Wanderers1–1LPenarol0–4
Penarol0–4Liverpool Montevideo (A)W
Gladiador2–0
Gladiador2–0WClub Nacional1–0
Club Nacional1–0D
Deportivo Maldonado1–1
Deportivo Maldonado1–1WCentral Espanol2–1
Central Espanol2–1L
Atletico Torque1–3
Atletico Torque1–3DCerro Largo1–1
Cerro Largo1–1Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
5 games
League Avg
8.6
41 games
9.1
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Danubio | Liverpool Montevideo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 71% | 54% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 57% | 49% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 29% | 27% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 14% | 20% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 14% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 14% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 14% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Danubio | Liverpool Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.6 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 40% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 20% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 43% |
Head to Head · 26 matches
11
Danubio
42%
7
Draws
27%
8
Liverpool Montevideo
31%
69%
Over 1.5
18/26
54%
Over 2.5
14/26
19%
Over 3.5
5/26
38%
BTTS
10/26
02/05/26Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
3–0Danubio03/08/25Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0–0Danubio01/02/25Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
1–1Liverpool Montevideo22/09/24Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
1–0Liverpool Montevideo28/07/24Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
2–0Liverpool Montevideo10/03/24Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
1–2Danubio26/08/23Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
1–0Danubio12/02/23Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
1–1Liverpool Montevideo03/09/22Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
1–1Liverpool Montevideo26/02/22Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0–1Danubio07/03/21Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
0–1Liverpool Montevideo10/09/20Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
2–1Danubio16/11/19Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
1–2Liverpool Montevideo11/05/19Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0–5Danubio26/08/18Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
3–0Danubio10/03/18Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
0–3Liverpool Montevideo26/11/17Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
5–0Danubio06/05/17Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
0–0Liverpool Montevideo11/12/16Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
3–2Liverpool Montevideo08/05/16Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0–3Danubio| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 72 | 43 | 15 | 14 | +56 | 144 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 72 | 43 | 14 | 15 | +54 | 140 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | +22 | 63 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 72 | 34 | 22 | 16 | +30 | 124 |
| 5 |  Racing Montevideo | 72 | 30 | 23 | 19 | +15 | 113 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 72 | 32 | 16 | 24 | +21 | 112 |
| 7 |  Juventud | 72 | 28 | 18 | 26 | 0 | 102 |
| 8 |  Defensor Sporting | 72 | 27 | 19 | 26 | -4 | 100 |
| 8 |  Albion FC | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | +3 | 47 |
| 10 |  Boston River | 72 | 24 | 20 | 28 | -2 | 92 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 72 | 21 | 23 | 28 | -8 | 86 |
| 12 | Central Espanol | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 |  Cerro | 72 | 22 | 18 | 32 | -33 | 83 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 72 | 20 | 22 | 30 | -24 | 82 |
| 15 | Danubio | 72 | 16 | 27 | 29 | -16 | 75 |
| 16 |  Progreso | 72 | 20 | 14 | 38 | -40 | 74 |
Team Insights
Danubio- ●Danubio have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Danubio have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Danubio failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Danubio failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Danubio failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Danubio have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Liverpool Montevideo- ●Liverpool Montevideo have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have kept a clean sheet in 11 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have won 8 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have scored in 15 of their 18 away matches.
Season Schedule
DanubioLHClub Nacional1–2
Club Nacional1–2LADeportivo Maldonado1–2
Deportivo Maldonado1–2WHCentral Espanol1–0
Central Espanol1–0LAAtletico Torque0–1
Atletico Torque0–1WHCerro Largo2–1
Cerro Largo2–1LADefensor Sporting0–1
Defensor Sporting0–1–HLiverpool Montevideo15/11
Liverpool Montevideo15/11Liverpool MontevideoWHJuventud2–0
Juventud2–0WAClub Nacional1–0
Club Nacional1–0WHPenarol1–0
Penarol1–0DADeportivo Maldonado1–1
Deportivo Maldonado1–1WHProgreso3–2
Progreso3–2WACentral Espanol2–1
Central Espanol2–1–ADanubio15/11
Danubio15/11Top Scorers
DanubioS. Fernandez6 ⚽
E. Cabrera6 ⚽
M. Peralta5 ⚽
M. Ferreira5 ⚽
Mateo peralta2 ⚽
I. Costantino2 ⚽
Liverpool MontevideoF. Martinez10 ⚽
F. Barcelo9 ⚽
R. Bentancourt7 ⚽
D. Romero5 ⚽
Federico Martinez4 ⚽
R. Machado3 ⚽
Cards Given
DanubioS. Rodriguez6 🟨
Tomás Cavanagh5 🟨
M. Brasil5 🟨
E. Velazquez4 🟨
M. Rinaldi4 🟨
Iván Rossi4 🟨
Liverpool MontevideoN. Garayalde7 🟨
Rubén Bentancourt7 🟨
Enzo Castillo6 🟨
Nicolás Garayalde5 🟨
A. Cayetano5 🟨
F. Barcelo4 🟨