Defensor Sporting vs Penarol — Primera División
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Estadio Luis Franzini·Montevideo·Uruguay·18,000
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Defensor Sporting and Penarol meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Defensor Sporting have recorded 9 wins from 42 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 0.88 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Penarol have won 42% of their 52 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 37%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.22 for Defensor Sporting and 1.17 for Penarol. The models give Defensor Sporting a 32% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Penarol win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Defensor Sporting—
Penarol8º
Position
4º
1.40
PPG
1.80
33%
Win %
53%
0.87
Goals / game
1.53
0.73
Conceded / game
1.07
50%
BTTS %
52%
26%
Clean sheet %
33%
29%
Over 2.5 %
37%
4.3
Avg corners
4.2
7.8
Avg shots
11.8
3.8
Avg shots on target
3.6
3.5
Avg yellow cards
3.5
14.0
Avg fouls
10.7
50.0%
Avg possession
48.1%
Home vs Away
Defensor Sporting
Home (7)
—
Penarol
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
2.14
57%
Win %
71%
1.14
Goals / game
1.43
0.57
Conceded / game
0.71
45%
BTTS %
41%
36%
Clean sheet %
45%
36%
Over 2.5 %
23%
4.3
Avg corners
4.2
7.8
Avg shots
11.8
3.8
Avg shots on target
3.6
3.5
Avg yellow cards
3.5
50.0%
Avg possession
48.1%
Goals Scored
| Defensor Sporting | Home | Away | Penarol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 68% | 60% | 75% | 73% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 21% | 23% | 20% | 37% | 40% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 2% | 5% | 0% | 15% | 20% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 32% | 40% | 25% | 27% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Defensor Sporting | Home | Away | Penarol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 64% | 85% | 67% | 77% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 32% | 20% | 19% | 20% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 18% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 36% | 15% | 33% | 23% | 45% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Defensor Sporting | Penarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 37% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 4% |
| BTTS | 50% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 26% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Defensor Sporting | Penarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Defensor Sporting (H)D
Racing Montevideo3–3
Racing Montevideo3–3L
Cerro2–3
Cerro2–3L
Plaza Colonia0–1
Plaza Colonia0–1W
Danubio1–0
Danubio1–0W
Deportivo Maldonado1–0
Deportivo Maldonado1–0L
Atletico Torque1–3
Atletico Torque1–3Penarol (A)D
Juventud0–0
Juventud0–0L
Liverpool Montevideo0–1
Liverpool Montevideo0–1WRacing Montevideo1–0
Racing Montevideo1–0DAtletico Torque1–1
Atletico Torque1–1DDanubio1–1
Danubio1–1WCerro2–1
Cerro2–1Number of Corners
7.5
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
8.6
41 games
7.4
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Defensor Sporting | Penarol | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 58% | 54% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 42% | 49% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 8% | 27% |
| Over 10 | 17% | 8% | 20% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Defensor Sporting | Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 25% |
Head to Head · 33 matches
6
Defensor Sporting
18%
8
Draws
24%
19
Penarol
58%
76%
Over 1.5
25/33
52%
Over 2.5
17/33
27%
Over 3.5
9/33
55%
BTTS
18/33
24/05/26Penarol
Defensor Sporting
0–2Penarol04/05/26Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1–1Defensor Sporting02/11/25Defensor Sporting
Penarol
2–1Defensor Sporting16/10/25Penarol
Defensor Sporting
0–2Penarol07/06/25Defensor Sporting
Penarol
3–0Defensor Sporting03/05/25Penarol
Defensor Sporting
0–1Penarol17/11/24Defensor Sporting
Penarol
2–0Defensor Sporting27/07/24Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1–0Defensor Sporting18/05/24Penarol
Defensor Sporting
0–2Penarol07/10/23Defensor Sporting
Penarol
2–1Defensor Sporting23/07/23Defensor Sporting
Penarol
2–1Defensor Sporting25/02/23Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2–2Penarol07/08/22Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2–3Penarol13/02/22Defensor Sporting
Penarol
0–1Defensor Sporting28/01/21Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1–2Defensor Sporting23/02/20Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2–1Penarol14/09/19Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1–0Defensor Sporting11/08/19Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2–2Penarol17/02/19Penarol
Defensor Sporting
0–1Penarol04/11/18Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1–2Penarol| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 72 | 43 | 15 | 14 | +56 | 144 |
| 2 |  Club Nacional | 72 | 43 | 14 | 15 | +54 | 140 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | +22 | 63 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 72 | 34 | 22 | 16 | +30 | 124 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 72 | 30 | 23 | 19 | +15 | 113 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 72 | 32 | 16 | 24 | +21 | 112 |
| 7 | Juventud | 72 | 28 | 18 | 26 | 0 | 102 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 72 | 27 | 19 | 26 | -4 | 100 |
| 8 |  Albion FC | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | +3 | 47 |
| 10 |  Boston River | 72 | 24 | 20 | 28 | -2 | 92 |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo | 72 | 21 | 23 | 28 | -8 | 86 |
| 12 |  Central Espanol | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Cerro | 72 | 22 | 18 | 32 | -33 | 83 |
| 14 |  Wanderers | 72 | 20 | 22 | 30 | -24 | 82 |
| 15 | Danubio | 72 | 16 | 27 | 29 | -16 | 75 |
| 16 |  Progreso | 72 | 20 | 14 | 38 | -40 | 74 |
Team Insights
Defensor Sporting- ●Defensor Sporting have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Defensor Sporting failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Defensor Sporting failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
Penarol- ●Penarol have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Penarol have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Penarol failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Penarol have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Penarol failed to keep a clean sheet in 17 of their 19 home matches.
- ●Penarol have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Penarol have won 10 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Penarol have scored in 13 of their 17 away matches.
- ●69% of Penarol's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Defensor SportingWAProgreso2–0
Progreso2–0DHRacing Montevideo3–3
Racing Montevideo3–3LABoston River0–1
Boston River0–1LHCerro2–3
Cerro2–3LAAlbion FC2–3
Albion FC2–3WHDanubio1–0
Danubio1–0–HPenarol15/11
Penarol15/11PenarolDHWanderers1–1
Wanderers1–1DAJuventud0–0
Juventud0–0LALiverpool Montevideo0–1
Liverpool Montevideo0–1DHProgreso1–1
Progreso1–1WARacing Montevideo1–0
Racing Montevideo1–0DAAtletico Torque1–1
Atletico Torque1–1–ADefensor Sporting15/11
Defensor Sporting15/11Top Scorers
Defensor SportingB. Montenegro7 ⚽
A. Machado3 ⚽
N. Wunsch3 ⚽
L. Agazzi3 ⚽
L. Navarro2 ⚽
F. Castro2 ⚽
PenarolM. Arezo14 ⚽
A. Hernandez8 ⚽
L. Umpierrez6 ⚽
L. Angulo4 ⚽
C. Jaime4 ⚽
M. Olivera4 ⚽
Cards Given
Defensor SportingAxel Frugone7 🟨
Guillermo De los Santos6 🟨
Lucas Paul De los Santos5 🟨
Juan Pablo Goicochea5 🟨
M. Amaro5 🟨
A. Frugone4 🟨
PenarolEric Remedi13 🟨
L. Ferreira8 🟨
Washington Aguerre7 🟨
Jesús Trindade7 🟨
Lucas Ferreira6 🟨
Mauricio Lemos6 🟨