Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati — Major League Soccer
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Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 20 November 2026. Orlando City SC have recorded 18 wins from 45 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. FC Cincinnati have won 41% of their 46 matches, with 2.13 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.24 for Orlando City SC and 1.55 for FC Cincinnati. The models give Orlando City SC a 51% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an FC Cincinnati win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Orlando City SC—
FC Cincinnati8º
Position
9º
1.35
PPG
1.35
38%
Win %
35%
1.85
Goals / game
1.97
2.29
Conceded / game
2.21
73%
BTTS %
67%
13%
Clean sheet %
20%
80%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.0
Avg corners
4.9
12.3
Avg shots
14.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.7
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
10.6
Avg fouls
11.1
49.1%
Avg possession
50.7%
Home vs Away
Orlando City SC
Home (17)
—
FC Cincinnati
Away (17)
1.94
PPG
0.94
59%
Win %
18%
1.94
Goals / game
1.65
1.29
Conceded / game
2.53
79%
BTTS %
77%
17%
Clean sheet %
9%
75%
Over 2.5 %
73%
4.0
Avg corners
4.9
12.3
Avg shots
14.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.7
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
49.1%
Avg possession
50.7%
Goals Scored
| Orlando City | Home | Away | FC Cincinnati | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 96% | 76% | 87% | 88% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 54% | 62% | 61% | 71% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 29% | 29% | 35% | 46% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 4% | 24% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Orlando City | Home | Away | FC Cincinnati | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 83% | 90% | 80% | 71% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 50% | 81% | 54% | 46% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 13% | 62% | 33% | 25% | 41% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 17% | 10% | 20% | 29% | 9% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Orlando City | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 47% | 37% |
| BTTS | 73% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Orlando City | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 51% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Orlando City (H)W
New England Revolution1–0
New England Revolution1–0D
New York City FC2–2
New York City FC2–2W
DC United4–1
DC United4–1W
Columbus Crew3–2
Columbus Crew3–2W
Toronto FC3–0
Toronto FC3–0W
San Diego1–0
San Diego1–0FC Cincinnati (A)D
Inter Miami2–2
Inter Miami2–2WDC United2–0
DC United2–0W
Atlanta United FC3–1
Atlanta United FC3–1L
CF Montreal1–3
CF Montreal1–3D
Houston Dynamo2–2
Houston Dynamo2–2L
Philadelphia Union0–5
Philadelphia Union0–5Number of Corners
10.6
Corners / Match
37 games
League Avg
10.0
506 games
9.9
Corners / Match
40 games
| Match Corners | Orlando City | FC Cincinnati | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 88% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 73% | 74% |
| Over 8 | 76% | 65% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 59% | 53% | 54% |
| Over 10 | 49% | 38% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 43% | 23% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 32% | 23% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 24% | 20% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Orlando City | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.5 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 70% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 54% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 97% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 84% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 73% | 55% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
6
Orlando City
38%
5
Draws
31%
5
FC Cincinnati
31%
69%
Over 1.5
11/16
44%
Over 2.5
7/16
25%
Over 3.5
4/16
63%
BTTS
10/16
15/08/26FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
1–1FC Cincinnati23/05/26Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
6–2Orlando City SC11/02/26FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
3–2FC Cincinnati28/09/25Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
1–1Orlando City SC28/06/25FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
1–2FC Cincinnati05/10/24Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
1–3Orlando City SC04/05/24FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
0–1FC Cincinnati02/09/23Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
0–1Orlando City SC05/03/23FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
0–0FC Cincinnati24/06/22Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
1–0Orlando City SC13/03/22FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
1–2FC Cincinnati16/10/21Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
0–1Orlando City SC07/08/21Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
1–1Orlando City SC01/05/21FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
3–0FC Cincinnati29/09/19Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
1–1Orlando City SC19/05/19FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
5–1FC Cincinnati| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | +46 | 77 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +21 | 60 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | +8 | 58 |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | +10 | 55 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +15 | 54 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +14 | 50 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | +7 | 47 |
| 7 |  Portland Timbers | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 46 |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 46 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |  Minnesota United FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -2 | 44 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -7 | 44 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |  Colorado Rapids | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -3 | 43 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -6 | 38 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |  Austin | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -23 | 34 |
| 14 | DC United | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | -41 | 26 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -32 | 26 |
Team Insights
Orlando City- ●Orlando City SC have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in 16 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Orlando City SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Orlando City SC have scored in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●72% of Orlando City SC's goals conceded were conceded away.
FC Cincinnati- ●FC Cincinnati have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 home matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
- ●FC Cincinnati have scored in 14 of their 17 away matches.
Season Schedule
Orlando CityWHNew England Revolution1–0
New England Revolution1–0LACharlotte0–4
Charlotte0–4DAChicago Fire2–2
Chicago Fire2–2DHNew York City FC2–2
New York City FC2–2WHDC United4–1
DC United4–1DAToronto FC3–3
Toronto FC3–3–HFC Cincinnati20/11
FC Cincinnati20/11FC CincinnatiLHNashville SC0–2
Nashville SC0–2WHPhiladelphia Union1–0
Philadelphia Union1–0DAInter Miami2–2
Inter Miami2–2WADC United2–0
DC United2–0WHDC United2–1
DC United2–1LHColumbus Crew0–2
Columbus Crew0–2–AOrlando City SC20/11
Orlando City SC20/11Top Scorers
Orlando CityM. Ojeda13 ⚽
Antoine Griezmann10 ⚽
T. Spicer8 ⚽
A. Griezmann6 ⚽
G. Dorsey5 ⚽
Iván Angulo5 ⚽
FC CincinnatiK. Denkey19 ⚽
Evander16 ⚽
T. Barlow9 ⚽
K. Mboma9 ⚽
P. Bucha7 ⚽
A. Jabbari5 ⚽
Cards Given
Orlando CityEduard Atuesta7 🟨
David Brekalo6 🟨
Iván Angulo5 🟨
Iago Teodoro5 🟨
W. Cartagena5 🟨
Iago Silva4 🟨
FC CincinnatiObinna Nwobodo8 🟨
Evander7 🟨
Bryan Ramirez6 🟨
Tom Barlow6 🟨
Kévin Denkey5 🟨
Teenage Hadebe5 🟨