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Serrano RJ vs Duque de Caxias — Carioca - 2

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Brazil · Carioca - 2 · Semi-finals
Serrano RJ
Serrano RJ
1º · 2.18 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 0h
vs
–
–
Duque de Caxias
Duque de Caxias
4º · 1.82 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 0h
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Serrano RJ and Duque de Caxias meet in the Carioca - 2 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Serrano RJ have recorded 9 wins from 24 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Duque de Caxias have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Serrano RJ and 1.15 for Duque de Caxias. The models give Serrano RJ a 43% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Duque de Caxias win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 47%.

Season Statistics

Serrano RJ
—
Duque de Caxias
1º
Position
4º
2.18
PPG
1.82
64%
Win %
55%
1.36
Goals / game
1.64
0.73
Conceded / game
0.91
50%
BTTS %
38%
38%
Clean sheet %
38%
46%
Over 2.5 %
62%
1.0
Avg corners
3.0
7.0
Avg shots
6.5
3.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
3.5
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
53.0%
Avg possession
37.5%

Home vs Away

Serrano RJ
Home (6)
—
Duque de Caxias
Away (6)
2.33
PPG
1.83
67%
Win %
50%
1.17
Goals / game
1.83
0.17
Conceded / game
0.83
33%
BTTS %
43%
58%
Clean sheet %
43%
25%
Over 2.5 %
71%
1.0
Avg corners
3.0
7.0
Avg shots
6.5
3.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
3.5
Avg yellow cards
2.0
53.0%
Avg possession
37.5%

Goals Scored

Serrano RJHomeAwayDuque deHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored71%67%75%69%67%71%
Over 1.5 Scored29%8%50%38%33%43%
Over 2.5 Scored8%8%8%23%17%29%
Failed To Score29%33%25%31%33%29%

Goals Conceded

Serrano RJHomeAwayDuque deHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded63%42%83%62%67%57%
Over 1.5 Conceded33%17%50%46%50%43%
Over 2.5 Conceded17%8%25%8%0%14%
Clean Sheets38%58%17%38%33%43%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Serrano RJDuque de
Over 0.583%92%
Over 1.567%77%
Over 2.546%62%
Over 3.517%23%
Over 4.513%8%
BTTS50%38%
BTTS & Win17%15%
BTTS & Draw21%8%
BTTS & Over 2.533%38%
BTTS No & Over 2.513%23%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Serrano RJDuque de
Win 1st Half33%31%
Draw 1st Half50%31%
Loss 1st Half17%38%
Scored 1st Half46%38%
Conceded 1st Half25%46%
Win 2nd Half21%38%
Draw 2nd Half42%46%
Loss 2nd Half38%15%
Scored 2nd Half46%54%
Conceded 2nd Half54%46%
Over 0.5 HT58%77%
Over 1.5 HT29%38%

Recent Venue Form

Serrano RJ (H)
WSão Cristóvão RJ1–0
WNova Cidade1–0
WCarapebus3–0
WMacaé1–0
DCampo Grande1–1
DGoytacaz0–0
Duque de (A)
DPetrópolis2–2
DMacaé0–0
WCampo Grande3–0
LGoytacaz1–2
WSão Cristóvão RJ1–0
WCarapebus4–1

Number of Corners

5.5
Corners / Match
2 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
12.0
Corners / Match
2 games
Match CornersSerrano RJDuque deLeague Avg
Over 60%100%—
Over 70%100%—
Over 80%100%—
Over 90%50%—
Over 100%50%—
Over 110%50%—
Over 120%50%—
Over 130%50%—

Team Corners

Team CornersSerrano RJDuque de
Corners Earned / Match1.03.0
Corners Against / Match4.59.0
Over 2.5 Corners For0%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against50%100%
Over 4.5 Corners Against50%100%

Head to Head · 10 matches

2
Serrano RJ
20%
2
Draws
20%
6
Duque de
60%
60%
Over 1.5
6/10
40%
Over 2.5
4/10
10%
Over 3.5
1/10
40%
BTTS
4/10
31/10/26
Duque de Caxias
1–2
Serrano RJ
13/09/25
Serrano RJ
2–1
Duque de Caxias
25/05/24
Duque de Caxias
1–0
Serrano RJ
02/12/23
Duque de Caxias
1–0
Serrano RJ
25/11/23
Serrano RJ
0–0
Duque de Caxias
03/11/23
Duque de Caxias
3–2
Serrano RJ
01/10/22
Duque de Caxias
1–1
Serrano RJ
06/11/21
Serrano RJ
0–1
Duque de Caxias
30/09/20
Serrano RJ
0–3
Duque de Caxias
06/07/19
Duque de Caxias
2–0
Serrano RJ
Carioca - 2
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Serrano RJ11731+724
2Goytacaz11641+722
3Niteroiense11713+422
4Duque de Caxias11623+820
5Petrópolis11470+519
6Artsul11452+417
7Campo Grande11434-415
8Macaé11326-211
9São Cristóvão RJ11245-310
10Nova Cidade11236-49
11Audax Rio11128-95
12Carapebus11128-135

Team Insights

Serrano RJ
  • ●Serrano RJ have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Serrano RJ have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●Serrano RJ have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Serrano RJ have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Serrano RJ have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Serrano RJ have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Serrano RJ have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Serrano RJ have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Serrano RJ failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Serrano RJ have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●87% of Serrano RJ's goals conceded were conceded away.
Duque de
  • ●Duque de Caxias have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Duque de Caxias have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Duque de Caxias have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Duque de Caxias have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Duque de Caxias have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Duque de Caxias have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Serrano RJSerrano RJ
WHSão Cristóvão RJ9º1–0
WHSão Cristóvão RJ9º1–0
WADuque de Caxias4º2–1
WADuque de Caxias4º2–1
WHNova Cidade10º1–0
WHNova Cidade10º1–0
DAPetrópolis5º1–1
DAPetrópolis5º1–1
WHCarapebus12º3–0
WHCarapebus12º3–0
Duque de CaxiasDuque de Caxias
DAPetrópolis5º2–2
DAPetrópolis5º2–2
LHSerrano RJ1º1–2
LHSerrano RJ1º1–2
DAMacaé8º0–0
DAMacaé8º0–0
WHArtsul6º2–1
WHArtsul6º2–1
WACampo Grande7º3–0
WACampo Grande7º3–0

Season Schedule

Serrano RJ
WHSão Cristóvão RJ1–0
WADuque de Caxias2–1
WHNova Cidade1–0
DAPetrópolis1–1
WHCarapebus3–0
WHMacaé1–0
–ADuque de Caxias14/11
–HDuque de Caxias21/11
Duque de
DAPetrópolis2–2
LHSerrano RJ1–2
DAMacaé0–0
WHArtsul2–1
WACampo Grande3–0
WHAudax Rio1–0
–HSerrano RJ14/11
–ASerrano RJ21/11

Top Scorers

Serrano RJ
9 ⚽
Davi Santos2 ⚽
Douglas Lima2 ⚽
Abner2 ⚽
V. Ramos1 ⚽
Vitinho1 ⚽
Duque de
10 ⚽
Paulo Marcos2 ⚽
Mamed1 ⚽
Nathan1 ⚽
Israel1 ⚽
Rafael Pernao1 ⚽

Cards Given

Serrano RJ
1 🟨
Duque de
1 🟨