Vega Real vs Cibao — Liga Mayor
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Vega Real and Cibao meet in the Liga Mayor 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Vega Real have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Cibao have won 50% of their 18 matches, with 1.72 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Vega Real and 1.02 for Cibao. The models give Vega Real a 36% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Cibao win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Vega Real—
Cibao3º
Position
2º
1.55
PPG
1.91
45%
Win %
55%
1.27
Goals / game
2.00
0.82
Conceded / game
0.64
43%
BTTS %
56%
43%
Clean sheet %
39%
43%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Vega Real
Home (6)
—
Cibao
Away (6)
2.17
PPG
1.83
67%
Win %
50%
1.83
Goals / game
1.50
0.50
Conceded / game
0.67
43%
BTTS %
67%
43%
Clean sheet %
33%
43%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Vega Real | Home | Away | Cibao | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 71% | 71% | 78% | 78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 43% | 14% | 50% | 44% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 29% | 0% | 17% | 22% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 29% | 29% | 22% | 22% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Vega Real | Home | Away | Cibao | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 57% | 57% | 61% | 56% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 0% | 43% | 17% | 11% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 14% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 43% | 43% | 39% | 44% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vega Real | Cibao | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 17% |
| BTTS | 43% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vega Real | Cibao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Vega Real (H)D
Delfines Del Este1–1
Delfines Del Este1–1DCibao0–0
Cibao0–0L
Salcedo0–1
Salcedo0–1W
Moca1–0
Moca1–0W
Jarabacoa3–1
Jarabacoa3–1W
Atlántico5–0
Atlántico5–0Cibao (A)L
Universidad O&M2–3
Universidad O&M2–3DVega Real0–0
Vega Real0–0WDelfines Del Este2–1
Delfines Del Este2–1DSalcedo0–0
Salcedo0–0LMoca1–2
Moca1–2DSalcedo1–1
Salcedo1–1Head to Head · 24 matches
2
Vega Real
8%
5
Draws
21%
17
Cibao
71%
71%
Over 1.5
17/24
58%
Over 2.5
14/24
21%
Over 3.5
5/24
50%
BTTS
12/24
16/10/26Cibao
Vega Real
0–0Cibao05/09/26Vega Real
Cibao
2–1Vega Real26/10/25Cibao
Vega Real
1–3Cibao13/08/25Vega Real
Cibao
2–0Vega Real25/02/25Cibao
Vega Real
1–2Cibao23/06/24Vega Real
Cibao
3–0Vega Real17/05/24Cibao
Vega Real
0–0Cibao12/04/24Vega Real
Cibao
3–1Vega Real27/08/23Cibao
Vega Real
0–0Cibao28/07/23Vega Real
Cibao
3–0Vega Real08/07/23Cibao
Vega Real
2–1Cibao16/03/23Vega Real
Cibao
2–1Vega Real13/08/22Cibao
Vega Real
0–3Cibao28/05/22Cibao
Vega Real
0–1Cibao20/05/22Vega Real
Cibao
1–0Vega Real19/04/22Vega Real
Cibao
3–1Vega Real31/10/21Cibao
Vega Real
1–3Cibao24/10/21Vega Real
Cibao
1–1Vega Real02/10/21Cibao
Vega Real
1–0Cibao22/08/21Vega Real
Cibao
4–0Vega Real| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salcedo | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | +17 | 35 |
| 2 | Cibao | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +16 | 27 |
| 3 | Vega Real | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 | Moca | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 5 | Universidad O&M | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Delfines Del Este | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Jarabacoa | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -16 | 5 |
| 8 | Atlántico | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -31 | 3 |
Team Insights
Vega Real- ●Vega Real have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Vega Real have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Vega Real have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Vega Real's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Vega Real's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Vega Real have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Cibao- ●Cibao have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cibao have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cibao have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cibao have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cibao have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cibao have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cibao have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cibao have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Vega RealWAJarabacoa2–0
Jarabacoa2–0DHDelfines Del Este1–1
Delfines Del Este1–1LAAtlántico1–2
Atlántico1–2DHCibao0–0
Cibao0–0LHSalcedo0–1
Salcedo0–1WAUniversidad O&M1–0
Universidad O&M1–0–HCibao22/11
Cibao22/11–ACibao28/11
Cibao28/11CibaoWHSalcedo1–0
Salcedo1–0LAUniversidad O&M2–3
Universidad O&M2–3WHMoca2–1
Moca2–1DAVega Real0–0
Vega Real0–0WHAtlántico7–0
Atlántico7–0WADelfines Del Este2–1
Delfines Del Este2–1–AVega Real22/11
Vega Real22/11–HVega Real28/11
Vega Real28/11Top Scorers
Vega RealB. Frantz3 ⚽
J. Diaz2 ⚽
V. M. Morales Beato2 ⚽
A. Fernandez1 ⚽
J. Rosario1 ⚽
L. Andres Reyes1 ⚽
CibaoD. Ledesma8 ⚽
J. Lopez3 ⚽
Y. M. Peralta2 ⚽
A. Sosa2 ⚽
M. Nichele2 ⚽
2 ⚽
Cards Given
Vega RealV. M. Morales Beato2 🟨
CibaoD. Ledesma1 🟨
D. Palomeque1 🟨
J. Murillo1 🟨
L. Ramirez1 🟨
M. Nichele1 🟨
Quinones M1 🟨